AFC Hornchurch vs Carlisle United

Sat 27 Feb, 15:00 UTC · Matchweek 36 · probabilities and historical statistics

Predicted outcome

AFC Hornchurch win 24.1%
Draw 23.8%
Carlisle United win · Most likely 52.1%

Limited history for AFC Hornchurch. Fewer past top flight matches on record means these figures are less reliable than usual.

Event markets

Both teams to score 55%Avg 57%
Over 1.5 goals 76%Avg 80%
Over 2.5 goals 53%Avg 56%
AFC Hornchurch clean sheet 18%Avg 27%
Carlisle United clean sheet 33%Avg 21%
Over 8.5 corners 73%Avg 64%
Over 9.5 corners 61%Avg 53%
Over 2.5 cards 77%Avg 74%
Over 3.5 cards 57%Avg 57%

This match League average

Predicted Score

0-110.7%
1-29.8%
0-28.5%

Team comparison

Attack Defense Form Discipline Cleansheets
  • AFC Hornchurch
  • Carlisle United

Did you know?

  • Carlisle United's matches have had over 9.5 corners in 9 of their last 10 (corner data on file).
  • Carlisle United are unbeaten in their last 6 matches.
  • AFC Hornchurch have won 5 of their last 7 home matches.
  • AFC Hornchurch have won just 3 of their last 10 matches.

H2H

All 1 meeting on file.

DateHomeScoreAway
22 Aug 26 Carlisle United 4–1 AFC Hornchurch
1meetings
  • AFC Hornchurch win · 0 (0%)
  • Draw · 0 (0%)
  • Carlisle United win · 1 (100%)
Avg. total goals 5.00 League avg: 2.89
Over 2.5 goals 100% League avg: 56%
Both teams to score 100% League avg: 57%
Whoever hosts wins 100% League avg: 44%
Avg. total corners 15.00 League avg: 10.00
Avg. total cards 1.00 League avg: 4.03
AFC Hornchurch avg. goals 1.00 League avg: 1.45
Carlisle United avg. goals 4.00 League avg: 1.45

Biggest win: Carlisle United 4–1 AFC Hornchurch (22 Aug 26).

AFC Hornchurch vs Carlisle United head to head: in their only meeting on file, AFC Hornchurch have not won, Carlisle United have won once and none ended in a draw. AFC Hornchurch scored 1 goal and Carlisle United scored 4 goals in that match. The latest meeting, on 22 Aug 2026, was won 4-1 by Carlisle United, at home against AFC Hornchurch. Both teams scored. Neither side has kept a clean sheet against the other.

How they play

Each line runs across the 24 clubs of the league, from up to the last 19 league games of each. A marker at either end means the most or least of that measure.

AFC Hornchurch
  • Cedes possession
  • Set piece heavy
  • Crosses and headers
Carlisle United
  • Crosses and headers
  • Possession
    Cedes the ballKeeps the ball
    37% 24th of 24 51% 10th of 24
  • Shot selection
    Shoots on sightWaits for the chance
    0.14 xG a shot 15th of 24 0.14 xG a shot 11th of 24
  • Set pieces
    Open playSet pieces
    40% of xG 3rd of 24 27% of xG 12th of 24
  • Route to goal
    On the groundCrosses and headers
    17% of shots 5th of 24 17% of shots 7th of 24

Where they differ

  • Carlisle United see much more of the ball than AFC Hornchurch, 51% against 37%.
  • AFC Hornchurch get more of their chances from set pieces than Carlisle United, 40% against 27%.

Ball Stats (Last 10 games)

AFC Hornchurch Carlisle United
8 (0.8 avg) Goals 19 (1.9 avg)
105 (10.5 avg) Total Shots 152 (15.2 avg)
28 (2.8 avg) Shots on Target 57 (5.7 avg)
37 (3.7 avg) Blocked Shots 48 (4.8 avg)
54 (5.4 avg) Corners 64 (6.4 avg)
896 (89.6 avg) Attacks 1080 (108.0 avg)
476 (47.6 avg) Dangerous Attacks 577 (57.7 avg)
N/A Key Passes N/A
2793 (279.3 avg) Passes 3730 (373.0 avg)
2053 (74%) Pass Accuracy 2856 (77%)
38% Ball Possession 50%

Disciplinary/Tackles (Last 10 games)

AFC Hornchurch Carlisle United
0 (0.0 avg) Red Cards 2 (0.2 avg)
17 (1.7 avg) Yellow Cards 21 (2.1 avg)
19 (1.9 avg) Tackles 24 (2.4 avg)
116 (11.6 avg) Fouls 141 (14.1 avg)
20 (2.0 avg) Offsides 23 (2.3 avg)
N/A Duels Won N/A
N/A Aerial Duels Won N/A

Previous Game Statistics (Last 10)

AFC Hornchurch

1.5Goals
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 3 (30%)
  • Over · 7 (70%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 3 (30%)
  • Over · 7 (70%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 3 (30%)
  • Over · 7 (70%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 9 (90%)
  • Over · 1 (10%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 3 (30%)
  • Over · 7 (70%)
CS
  • Yes · 2 (20%)
  • No · 8 (80%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 4 (40%)
  • No · 6 (60%)

Carlisle United

1.5Goals
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 0 (0%)
  • Over · 10 (100%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 1 (10%)
  • Over · 9 (90%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 6 (60%)
  • Over · 4 (40%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 1 (10%)
  • Over · 9 (90%)
CS
  • Yes · 3 (30%)
  • No · 7 (70%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 6 (60%)
  • No · 4 (40%)