About TotalOdds
A passion project built to bring football's data together in one clear, easy place.
Independent and informational. TotalOdds is a football statistics site. It is not a bookmaker or gambling operator, it does not take bets, and nothing on it is betting advice or an invitation to gamble. Please read the responsible gambling notice below.
How it started
TotalOdds began as a passion project. Anyone who follows football closely knows how scattered the numbers can be. Results sit in one place, expected goals in another, squad news and lineups somewhere else, and form, head to head records and referee tendencies are buried several clicks deeper.
The idea was simple: gather all of it, keep it fresh, and present it clearly on one site. What began as a personal tool for exploring the game through data has grown into a home for football statistics across Europe's top five leagues: the Premier League, La Liga, Serie A, Ligue 1 and the Bundesliga.
The aim has stayed the same throughout. Make it quick to find the numbers behind the game, and make them easy to read, whether you are checking a table, preparing for a fixture or settling an argument about who really creates the most chances.
What you will find here
About the probabilities
Win, draw and loss chances on fixture, club and league pages come from a statistical model. It is a Dixon-Coles style goals model, a well-known approach in football analytics. It was trained on several seasons of historical match results, goals, expected goals and shot data for each league, weighted towards recent matches and adjusted for home advantage. From that history it rates each club's attack and defence, then turns those ratings into a probability for each possible result.
The same ratings power the other estimates you will see: the predicted score, the chances of both teams scoring, of over 1.5 and 2.5 goals, and of clean sheets, the opponent difficulty rating on form guides, and the list of clubs whose strength has moved most over the last 30 days. They all carry the same limits. Where a club has little history on record, for example after promotion, its figures are less reliable and the site says so.
Please read this. The probabilities are statistical estimates, provided for interest only. They should not be taken as accurate, and they must not be used in any way as a gambling aid, including to choose a bet, a market or a stake.
The model cannot know everything that shapes a match, such as late injuries, tactics, motivation, weather or refereeing decisions. In our own testing on matches it had never seen, it did not beat the bookmakers' odds. A probability that turns out to be right is not the same as a bet that turns a profit. Past results say nothing certain about future ones, football is unpredictable, and any figure shown on this site can be wrong or out of date.
Gambling and responsible gambling 18+
TotalOdds is made for football fans who enjoy data. Gambling is not the purpose of this site. Please read the following.
- Not a gambling service
- TotalOdds does not accept bets, run betting or gaming products, or hold customer funds. It is not a bookmaker or a tipster service, and it does not pass customers to gambling operators or take payment for doing so.
- No gambling promotion
- Nothing on this site is an advertisement for, or an invitation or inducement to use, any gambling product or operator. TotalOdds is not sponsored by, paid by or affiliated with any bookmaker. The odds comparison shows each bookmaker’s logo and links to its own homepage so you can see who is quoting a price; the logos belong to their owners, TotalOdds earns nothing from the links, and neither is an offer or an endorsement. Where bookmaker odds appear they are for information only, may be out of date, are not offers, and do not imply any endorsement. If this ever changes, any commercial relationship will be clearly disclosed.
- Not advice
- Nothing here is betting, financial or professional advice, or a recommendation to place a bet. No statistic, probability or price is a guarantee of any outcome. To the fullest extent permitted by law, we accept no responsibility or liability for any loss arising, directly or indirectly, from use of or reliance on this site.
- Adults only
- You must be 18 or over to gamble in the UK. Content on this site that relates to betting odds is intended for adults aged 18 and over.
- Know the risks
- Gambling can be addictive. It is not a way to make money or to solve financial problems, and most people who gamble lose over time. Only ever gamble with money you can afford to lose, set your limits before you start, and stop if it stops being fun.
Free, confidential support
- National Gambling Helpline
- 0808 8020 133, free and confidential, 24 hours a day, every day. Run by GamCare, which also offers live chat.
- GambleAware
- gambleaware.org offers advice, tools and a service finder for support across Great Britain.
- GAMSTOP
- gamstop.co.uk is the free national self-exclusion scheme for online gambling.
- BetBlocker
- betblocker.org provides free software to block gambling websites and apps on your devices.
Betting operators serving Great Britain must be licensed by the Gambling Commission, whose public register lets you check a licence before you use a site. Concerns about a gambling advert can be raised with the Advertising Standards Authority.
Independence and trademarks
TotalOdds is an independent site. It is not affiliated with, endorsed by or sponsored by any league, club, player, match official or data provider. Club names, badges and league logos belong to their respective owners and appear here for identification only.