Carlisle United vs Hartlepool United

Mon 28 Dec, 15:00 UTC · Matchweek 25 · probabilities and historical statistics

Predicted outcome

Carlisle United win · Most likely 63.6%
Draw 19.6%
Hartlepool United win 16.8%

Event markets

Both teams to score 59%Avg 57%
Over 1.5 goals 83%Avg 80%
Over 2.5 goals 63%Avg 56%
Carlisle United clean sheet 34%Avg 27%
Hartlepool United clean sheet 11%Avg 21%
Over 8.5 corners 67%Avg 64%
Over 9.5 corners 55%Avg 53%
Over 2.5 cards 69%Avg 74%
Over 3.5 cards 48%Avg 57%

This match League average

Predicted Score

2-19.9%
2-09.1%
1-09.0%

Team comparison

Attack Defense Form Discipline Cleansheets
  • Carlisle United
  • Hartlepool United

Did you know?

  • Hartlepool United have conceded in each of their last 10 matches.
  • Carlisle United's matches have had over 9.5 corners in 9 of their last 10 (corner data on file).
  • Hartlepool United have won just 2 of their last 10 matches.
  • Hartlepool United have won just 2 of their last 10 away matches.

H2H

All 2 meetings on file.

DateHomeScoreAway
25 Feb 26 Hartlepool United 3–1 Carlisle United
01 Oct 25 Carlisle United 3–1 Hartlepool United
2meetings
  • Carlisle United win · 1 (50%)
  • Draw · 0 (0%)
  • Hartlepool United win · 1 (50%)
Avg. total goals 4.00 League avg: 2.89
Over 2.5 goals 100% League avg: 56%
Both teams to score 100% League avg: 57%
Whoever hosts wins 100% League avg: 44%
Avg. total corners N/A League avg: 10.00
Avg. total cards 1.50 League avg: 4.03
Carlisle United avg. goals 2.00 League avg: 1.45
Hartlepool United avg. goals 2.00 League avg: 1.45

Biggest win: Hartlepool United 3–1 Carlisle United (25 Feb 26).

Carlisle United vs Hartlepool United head to head: in the previous 2 meetings, Carlisle United have won once, Hartlepool United have won once and none ended in a draw. Carlisle United scored 4 goals and Hartlepool United scored 4 goals in these matches. The latest meeting, on 25 Feb 2026, was won 3-1 by Hartlepool United, at home against Carlisle United. Across these matches, both teams scored in 2 of 2 and 2 had over 2.5 goals. Neither side has kept a clean sheet against the other.

How they play

Each line runs across the 24 clubs of the league, from up to the last 19 league games of each. A marker at either end means the most or least of that measure.

Carlisle United
  • Crosses and headers
Hartlepool United
  • Crosses and headers
  • Set piece heavy
  • Cedes possession
  • Possession
    Cedes the ballKeeps the ball
    51% 10th of 24 46% 19th of 24
  • Shot selection
    Shoots on sightWaits for the chance
    0.14 xG a shot 11th of 24 0.12 xG a shot 18th of 24
  • Set pieces
    Open playSet pieces
    27% of xG 12th of 24 38% of xG 5th of 24
  • Route to goal
    On the groundCrosses and headers
    17% of shots 7th of 24 19% of shots 2nd of 24

Where they differ

  • Carlisle United see much more of the ball than Hartlepool United, 51% against 46%.
  • Carlisle United wait for better chances than Hartlepool United, 0.14 xG a shot against 0.12.
  • Hartlepool United get more of their chances from set pieces than Carlisle United, 38% against 27%.

Ball Stats (Last 10 games)

Carlisle United Hartlepool United
19 (1.9 avg) Goals 13 (1.3 avg)
152 (15.2 avg) Total Shots 99 (9.9 avg)
57 (5.7 avg) Shots on Target 37 (3.7 avg)
48 (4.8 avg) Blocked Shots 31 (3.1 avg)
64 (6.4 avg) Corners 43 (4.3 avg)
1080 (108.0 avg) Attacks 1072 (107.2 avg)
577 (57.7 avg) Dangerous Attacks 543 (54.3 avg)
N/A Key Passes N/A
3730 (373.0 avg) Passes 3205 (320.5 avg)
2856 (77%) Pass Accuracy 2339 (73%)
50% Ball Possession 43%

Disciplinary/Tackles (Last 10 games)

Carlisle United Hartlepool United
2 (0.2 avg) Red Cards 3 (0.3 avg)
21 (2.1 avg) Yellow Cards 17 (1.7 avg)
24 (2.4 avg) Tackles 22 (2.2 avg)
141 (14.1 avg) Fouls 135 (13.5 avg)
23 (2.3 avg) Offsides 13 (1.3 avg)
N/A Duels Won N/A
N/A Aerial Duels Won N/A

Previous Game Statistics (Last 10)

Carlisle United

1.5Goals
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 0 (0%)
  • Over · 10 (100%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 1 (10%)
  • Over · 9 (90%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 6 (60%)
  • Over · 4 (40%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 1 (10%)
  • Over · 9 (90%)
CS
  • Yes · 3 (30%)
  • No · 7 (70%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 6 (60%)
  • No · 4 (40%)

Hartlepool United

1.5Goals
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 0 (0%)
  • Over · 10 (100%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 3 (30%)
  • Over · 7 (70%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 7 (70%)
  • Over · 3 (30%)
CS
  • Yes · 0 (0%)
  • No · 10 (100%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 7 (70%)
  • No · 3 (30%)