Harrogate Town vs Carlisle United

Sat 09 Jan, 15:00 UTC · Matchweek 27 · probabilities and historical statistics

Predicted outcome

Harrogate Town win · Most likely 40.6%
Draw 23.1%
Carlisle United win 36.3%

Limited history for Harrogate Town. Fewer past top flight matches on record means these figures are less reliable than usual.

Event markets

Both teams to score 66%Avg 57%
Over 1.5 goals 83%Avg 80%
Over 2.5 goals 64%Avg 56%
Harrogate Town clean sheet 20%Avg 27%
Carlisle United clean sheet 18%Avg 21%
Over 8.5 corners 76%Avg 64%
Over 9.5 corners 65%Avg 53%
Over 2.5 cards 73%Avg 74%
Over 3.5 cards 53%Avg 57%

This match League average

Predicted Score

2-18.4%
1-06.7%
2-05.1%

Team comparison

Attack Defense Form Discipline Cleansheets
  • Harrogate Town
  • Carlisle United

Did you know?

  • Carlisle United's matches have had over 9.5 corners in 9 of their last 10 (corner data on file).
  • Harrogate Town's matches have gone over 2.5 goals in 8 of their last 10.
  • Carlisle United are unbeaten in their last 6 matches.
  • Harrogate Town have won 7 of their last 10 home matches.

H2H

All 1 meeting on file.

DateHomeScoreAway
28 Oct 26 Carlisle United 3–0 Harrogate Town
1meetings
  • Harrogate Town win · 0 (0%)
  • Draw · 0 (0%)
  • Carlisle United win · 1 (100%)
Avg. total goals 3.00 League avg: 2.89
Over 2.5 goals 100% League avg: 56%
Both teams to score 0% League avg: 57%
Whoever hosts wins 100% League avg: 44%
Avg. total corners 11.00 League avg: 10.00
Avg. total cards 7.00 League avg: 4.03
Harrogate Town avg. goals 0.00 League avg: 1.45
Carlisle United avg. goals 3.00 League avg: 1.45

Biggest win: Carlisle United 3–0 Harrogate Town (28 Oct 26).

Harrogate Town vs Carlisle United head to head: in their only meeting on file, Harrogate Town have not won, Carlisle United have won once and none ended in a draw. Harrogate Town scored 0 goals and Carlisle United scored 3 goals in that match. The latest meeting, on 28 Oct 2026, was won 3-0 by Carlisle United, at home against Harrogate Town. At least one side failed to score. Carlisle United kept 1.

How they play

Each line runs across the 24 clubs of the league, from up to the last 19 league games of each. A marker at either end means the most or least of that measure.

Harrogate Town
  • Keeps the ball
Carlisle United
  • Crosses and headers
  • Possession
    Cedes the ballKeeps the ball
    56% 4th of 24 51% 10th of 24
  • Shot selection
    Shoots on sightWaits for the chance
    0.14 xG a shot 13th of 24 0.14 xG a shot 11th of 24
  • Set pieces
    Open playSet pieces
    27% of xG 15th of 24 27% of xG 12th of 24
  • Route to goal
    On the groundCrosses and headers
    14% of shots 11th of 24 17% of shots 7th of 24

Where they differ

These two are close to each other on every one of these measures.

Ball Stats (Last 10 games)

Harrogate Town Carlisle United
19 (1.9 avg) Goals 19 (1.9 avg)
157 (15.7 avg) Total Shots 152 (15.2 avg)
54 (5.4 avg) Shots on Target 57 (5.7 avg)
49 (4.9 avg) Blocked Shots 48 (4.8 avg)
58 (5.8 avg) Corners 64 (6.4 avg)
1003 (100.3 avg) Attacks 1080 (108.0 avg)
535 (53.5 avg) Dangerous Attacks 577 (57.7 avg)
N/A Key Passes N/A
4973 (497.3 avg) Passes 3730 (373.0 avg)
4118 (83%) Pass Accuracy 2856 (77%)
58% Ball Possession 50%

Disciplinary/Tackles (Last 10 games)

Harrogate Town Carlisle United
0 (0.0 avg) Red Cards 2 (0.2 avg)
21 (2.1 avg) Yellow Cards 21 (2.1 avg)
12 (1.2 avg) Tackles 24 (2.4 avg)
126 (12.6 avg) Fouls 141 (14.1 avg)
15 (1.5 avg) Offsides 23 (2.3 avg)
N/A Duels Won N/A
N/A Aerial Duels Won N/A

Previous Game Statistics (Last 10)

Harrogate Town

1.5Goals
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 3 (30%)
  • Over · 7 (70%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
CS
  • Yes · 3 (30%)
  • No · 7 (70%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 6 (60%)
  • No · 4 (40%)

Carlisle United

1.5Goals
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 0 (0%)
  • Over · 10 (100%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 1 (10%)
  • Over · 9 (90%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 6 (60%)
  • Over · 4 (40%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 1 (10%)
  • Over · 9 (90%)
CS
  • Yes · 3 (30%)
  • No · 7 (70%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 6 (60%)
  • No · 4 (40%)