Hartlepool United vs Carlisle United

Fri 26 Mar, 15:00 UTC · Matchweek 41 · probabilities and historical statistics

Predicted outcome

Hartlepool United win 22.8%

Draw 24.6%

Carlisle United win · Most likely 52.6%

Event markets

Both teams to score 52%Avg 57%

Over 1.5 goals 73%Avg 80%

Over 2.5 goals 49%Avg 56%

Hartlepool United clean sheet 19%Avg 27%

Carlisle United clean sheet 36%Avg 21%

Over 8.5 corners 71%Avg 64%

Over 9.5 corners 59%Avg 53%

Over 2.5 cards 74%Avg 74%

Over 3.5 cards 53%Avg 57%

This match League average

Predicted Score

0-112.2%

1-29.7%

0-29.3%

Team comparison

Hartlepool United
Carlisle United

Did you know?

Hartlepool United have conceded in each of their last 10 matches.
Carlisle United's matches have had over 9.5 corners in 9 of their last 10 (corner data on file).
Hartlepool United have won just 2 of their last 10 matches.
Carlisle United are unbeaten in their last 6 matches.

H2H

All 2 meetings on file.

Date	Home	Score	Away
25 Feb 26	Hartlepool United	3–1	Carlisle United
01 Oct 25	Carlisle United	3–1	Hartlepool United

2meetings

Hartlepool United win · 1 (50%)
Draw · 0 (0%)
Carlisle United win · 1 (50%)

Avg. total goals 4.00 League avg: 2.89

Over 2.5 goals 100% League avg: 56%

Both teams to score 100% League avg: 57%

Whoever hosts wins 100% League avg: 44%

Avg. total corners N/A League avg: 10.00

Avg. total cards 1.50 League avg: 4.03

Hartlepool United avg. goals 2.00 League avg: 1.45

Carlisle United avg. goals 2.00 League avg: 1.45

Biggest win: Hartlepool United 3–1 Carlisle United (25 Feb 26).

Hartlepool United vs Carlisle United head to head: in the previous 2 meetings, Hartlepool United have won once, Carlisle United have won once and none ended in a draw. Hartlepool United scored 4 goals and Carlisle United scored 4 goals in these matches. The latest meeting, on 25 Feb 2026, was won 3-1 by Hartlepool United, at home against Carlisle United. Across these matches, both teams scored in 2 of 2 and 2 had over 2.5 goals. Neither side has kept a clean sheet against the other.

How they play

Each line runs across the 24 clubs of the league, from up to the last 19 league games of each. A marker at either end means the most or least of that measure.

Hartlepool United

Crosses and headers
Set piece heavy
Cedes possession

Carlisle United

Crosses and headers

Possession

Cedes the ballKeeps the ball

46% 19th of 24 51% 10th of 24
Shot selection

Shoots on sightWaits for the chance

0.12 xG a shot 18th of 24 0.14 xG a shot 11th of 24
Set pieces

Open playSet pieces

38% of xG 5th of 24 27% of xG 12th of 24
Route to goal

On the groundCrosses and headers

19% of shots 2nd of 24 17% of shots 7th of 24

Where they differ

Carlisle United see much more of the ball than Hartlepool United, 51% against 46%.
Carlisle United wait for better chances than Hartlepool United, 0.14 xG a shot against 0.12.
Hartlepool United get more of their chances from set pieces than Carlisle United, 38% against 27%.

Ball Stats (Last 10 games)

13 (1.3 avg) Goals 19 (1.9 avg)

99 (9.9 avg) Total Shots 152 (15.2 avg)

37 (3.7 avg) Shots on Target 57 (5.7 avg)

31 (3.1 avg) Blocked Shots 48 (4.8 avg)

43 (4.3 avg) Corners 64 (6.4 avg)

1072 (107.2 avg) Attacks 1080 (108.0 avg)

543 (54.3 avg) Dangerous Attacks 577 (57.7 avg)

N/A Key Passes N/A

3205 (320.5 avg) Passes 3730 (373.0 avg)

2339 (73%) Pass Accuracy 2856 (77%)

43% Ball Possession 50%

Disciplinary/Tackles (Last 10 games)

3 (0.3 avg) Red Cards 2 (0.2 avg)

17 (1.7 avg) Yellow Cards 21 (2.1 avg)

22 (2.2 avg) Tackles 24 (2.4 avg)

135 (13.5 avg) Fouls 141 (14.1 avg)

13 (1.3 avg) Offsides 23 (2.3 avg)

N/A Duels Won N/A

N/A Aerial Duels Won N/A

Previous Game Statistics (Last 10)

Hartlepool United

1.5Goals

Under · 2 (20%)
Over · 8 (80%)

7.5Corners

Under · 0 (0%)
Over · 10 (100%)

2.5Goals

Under · 3 (30%)
Over · 7 (70%)

8.5Corners

Under · 5 (50%)
Over · 5 (50%)

3.5Goals

Under · 5 (50%)
Over · 5 (50%)

9.5Corners

Under · 7 (70%)
Over · 3 (30%)

Yes · 0 (0%)
No · 10 (100%)

BTTS

Yes · 7 (70%)
No · 3 (30%)

Carlisle United