Pachuca vs Toluca

Sat 21 Nov, 23:00 UTC · Apertura Matchweek 17 · probabilities and historical statistics

Predicted outcome

Pachuca win 30.2%
Draw 26.1%
Toluca win · Most likely 43.7%

Event markets

Both teams to score 62%Avg 60%
Over 1.5 goals 81%Avg 79%
Over 2.5 goals 58%Avg 56%
Pachuca clean sheet 19%Avg 26%
Toluca clean sheet 25%Avg 19%
Over 8.5 corners 73%Avg 65%
Over 9.5 corners 62%Avg 51%
Over 2.5 cards 89%Avg 83%
Over 3.5 cards 75%Avg 69%

This match League average

Predicted Score

1-29.2%
0-17.4%
0-26.5%

Team comparison

Attack Defense Form Discipline Cleansheets
  • Pachuca
  • Toluca

Did you know?

  • Toluca have scored in 10 consecutive matches.
  • Pachuca have outscored their xG by 0.72 goals per game over their last 10. Finishing that hot rarely keeps up.
  • Toluca beat Pachuca 5-0 in the biggest recent win between these two.
  • These two have gone over 2.5 goals in 9 of their last 10 meetings.

H2H

All 10 meetings on file.

DateHomeScoreAway
22 Mar 26 Pachuca 1–1 Toluca
27 Oct 25 Toluca 2–2 Pachuca
29 Mar 25 Toluca 3–2 Pachuca
18 Sep 24 Pachuca 2–2 Toluca
31 Mar 24 Pachuca 2–3 Toluca
03 Sep 23 Toluca 5–0 Pachuca
20 Feb 23 Pachuca 1–2 Toluca
28 Aug 22 Toluca 1–4 Pachuca
13 Mar 22 Toluca 0–3 Pachuca
14 Sep 21 Pachuca 1–2 Toluca
10meetings
  • Pachuca win · 2 (20%)
  • Draw · 3 (30%)
  • Toluca win · 5 (50%)
Avg. total goals 3.90 League avg: 2.93
Over 2.5 goals 90% League avg: 56%
Both teams to score 80% League avg: 60%
Whoever hosts wins 20% League avg: 45%
Avg. total corners 9.50 League avg: 10.32
Avg. total cards 7.50 League avg: 4.58
Pachuca avg. goals 1.80 League avg: 1.46
Toluca avg. goals 2.10 League avg: 1.46

Biggest win: Toluca 5–0 Pachuca (03 Sep 23).

Pachuca vs Toluca head to head: in the previous 10 meetings, Pachuca have won 2 times, Toluca have won 5 times and 3 ended in a draw. Pachuca scored 18 goals and Toluca scored 21 goals in these matches. The latest meeting, on 22 Mar 2026, ended 1-1 at Pachuca. Toluca are unbeaten in the last 7 meetings. Across these matches, both teams scored in 8 of 10 and 9 had over 2.5 goals. Pachuca kept 1 clean sheet and Toluca kept 1.

How they play

Each line runs across the 18 clubs of the league, from up to the last 19 league games of each. A marker at either end means the most or least of that measure.

Pachuca
  • Crosses and headers
  • Shoots on sight
  • Cedes possession
Toluca
  • Keeps the ball
  • Plays on the floor
  • Open play side
  • Possession
    Cedes the ballKeeps the ball
    45% 13th of 18 59% 1st of 18
  • Shot selection
    Shoots on sightWaits for the chance
    0.09 xG a shot 17th of 18 0.10 xG a shot 8th of 18
  • Set pieces
    Open playSet pieces
    23% of xG 12th of 18 19% of xG 15th of 18
  • Route to goal
    On the groundCrosses and headers
    25% of shots 1st of 18 14% of shots 16th of 18

Where they differ

  • Pachuca go more through the air than Toluca, 25% of shots against 14%.
  • Toluca see much more of the ball than Pachuca, 59% against 45%.
  • Toluca wait for better chances than Pachuca, 0.10 xG a shot against 0.09.

Ball Stats (Last 10 games)

Pachuca Toluca
21 (2.1 avg) Goals 23 (2.3 avg)
170 (17.0 avg) Total Shots 186 (18.6 avg)
56 (5.6 avg) Shots on Target 65 (6.5 avg)
46 (4.6 avg) Blocked Shots 50 (5.0 avg)
50 (5.0 avg) Corners 77 (7.7 avg)
828 (82.8 avg) Attacks 829 (82.9 avg)
521 (52.1 avg) Dangerous Attacks 482 (48.2 avg)
133 (13.3 avg) Key Passes 120 (13.3 avg)
3754 (375.4 avg) Passes 4835 (483.5 avg)
2975 (79%) Pass Accuracy 4095 (85%)
47% Ball Possession 60%

Disciplinary/Tackles (Last 10 games)

Pachuca Toluca
0 (0.0 avg) Red Cards 2 (0.2 avg)
29 (2.9 avg) Yellow Cards 15 (1.5 avg)
180 (18.0 avg) Tackles 177 (17.7 avg)
163 (16.3 avg) Fouls 128 (12.8 avg)
20 (2.0 avg) Offsides 28 (2.8 avg)
466 (46.6 avg) Duels Won 429 (47.7 avg)
127 (12.7 avg) Aerial Duels Won 92 (10.2 avg)

Previous Game Statistics (Last 10)

Pachuca

1.5Goals
  • Under · 1 (10%)
  • Over · 9 (90%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 1 (10%)
  • Over · 9 (90%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 7 (70%)
  • Over · 3 (30%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
CS
  • Yes · 3 (30%)
  • No · 7 (70%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 6 (60%)
  • No · 4 (40%)

Toluca

1.5Goals
  • Under · 1 (10%)
  • Over · 9 (90%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 0 (0%)
  • Over · 10 (100%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 3 (30%)
  • Over · 7 (70%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 0 (0%)
  • Over · 10 (100%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 3 (30%)
  • Over · 7 (70%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
CS
  • Yes · 2 (20%)
  • No · 8 (80%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 8 (80%)
  • No · 2 (20%)