Sao Bernardo vs Athletic-MG

Thu 12 Nov, 23:00 UTC · Matchweek 38 · probabilities and historical statistics

Predicted outcome

Sao Bernardo win · Most likely 43.5%
Draw 28.2%
Athletic-MG win 28.3%

Event markets

Both teams to score 43%Avg 49%
Over 1.5 goals 62%Avg 68%
Over 2.5 goals 37%Avg 42%
Sao Bernardo clean sheet 39%Avg 37%
Athletic-MG clean sheet 29%Avg 23%
Over 8.5 corners 64%Avg 68%
Over 9.5 corners 51%Avg 59%
Over 2.5 cards 84%Avg 85%
Over 3.5 cards 68%Avg 71%

This match League average

Predicted Score

1-015.0%
2-08.4%
2-18.3%

Team comparison

Attack Defense Form Discipline Cleansheets
  • Sao Bernardo
  • Athletic-MG

Did you know?

  • Sao Bernardo have conceded in each of their last 7 matches.
  • Athletic-MG have won just 2 of their last 10 matches.
  • Athletic-MG have won just 2 of their last 10 away matches.
  • Sao Bernardo have outscored their xG by 0.53 goals per game over their last 10. Finishing that hot rarely keeps up.

H2H

All 1 meeting on file.

DateHomeScoreAway
23 Jul 26 Athletic-MG 2–1 Sao Bernardo
1meetings
  • Sao Bernardo win · 0 (0%)
  • Draw · 0 (0%)
  • Athletic-MG win · 1 (100%)
Avg. total goals 3.00 League avg: 2.30
Over 2.5 goals 100% League avg: 42%
Both teams to score 100% League avg: 49%
Whoever hosts wins 100% League avg: 45%
Avg. total corners 9.00 League avg: 10.66
Avg. total cards 4.00 League avg: 4.91
Sao Bernardo avg. goals 1.00 League avg: 1.15
Athletic-MG avg. goals 2.00 League avg: 1.15

Biggest win: Athletic-MG 2–1 Sao Bernardo (23 Jul 26).

Sao Bernardo vs Athletic-MG head to head: in their only meeting on file, Sao Bernardo have not won, Athletic-MG have won once and none ended in a draw. Sao Bernardo scored 1 goal and Athletic-MG scored 2 goals in that match. The latest meeting, on 23 Jul 2026, was won 2-1 by Athletic-MG, at home against Sao Bernardo. Both teams scored. Neither side has kept a clean sheet against the other.

How they play

Each line runs across the 20 clubs of the league, from up to the last 19 league games of each. A marker at either end means the most or least of that measure.

Sao Bernardo
  • Plays on the floor
Athletic-MG
  • Cedes possession
  • Open play side
  • Selective shooters
  • Possession
    Cedes the ballKeeps the ball
    50% 12th of 20 44% 19th of 20
  • Shot selection
    Shoots on sightWaits for the chance
    0.08 xG a shot 12th of 20 0.09 xG a shot 5th of 20
  • Set pieces
    Open playSet pieces
    26% of xG 13th of 20 20% of xG 19th of 20
  • Route to goal
    On the groundCrosses and headers
    15% of shots 20th of 20 18% of shots 14th of 20

Where they differ

  • Sao Bernardo see much more of the ball than Athletic-MG, 50% against 44%.
  • Athletic-MG wait for better chances than Sao Bernardo, 0.09 xG a shot against 0.08.
  • Athletic-MG go more through the air than Sao Bernardo, 18% of shots against 15%.

Ball Stats (Last 10 games)

Sao Bernardo Athletic-MG
15 (1.5 avg) Goals 13 (1.3 avg)
110 (11.0 avg) Total Shots 146 (14.6 avg)
42 (4.2 avg) Shots on Target 39 (3.9 avg)
26 (2.6 avg) Blocked Shots 41 (4.1 avg)
49 (4.9 avg) Corners 42 (4.2 avg)
715 (79.4 avg) Attacks 745 (82.8 avg)
341 (37.9 avg) Dangerous Attacks 352 (39.1 avg)
81 (8.1 avg) Key Passes 107 (10.7 avg)
4393 (439.3 avg) Passes 3708 (370.8 avg)
3707 (84%) Pass Accuracy 3006 (81%)
47% Ball Possession 44%

Disciplinary/Tackles (Last 10 games)

Sao Bernardo Athletic-MG
0 (0.0 avg) Red Cards 2 (0.2 avg)
22 (2.2 avg) Yellow Cards 16 (1.6 avg)
116 (11.6 avg) Tackles 137 (13.7 avg)
128 (12.8 avg) Fouls 134 (13.4 avg)
8 (0.9 avg) Offsides 11 (1.2 avg)
394 (39.4 avg) Duels Won 452 (45.2 avg)
116 (11.6 avg) Aerial Duels Won 106 (10.6 avg)

Previous Game Statistics (Last 10)

Sao Bernardo

1.5Goals
  • Under · 3 (30%)
  • Over · 7 (70%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 1 (10%)
  • Over · 9 (90%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 1 (10%)
  • Over · 9 (90%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 7 (70%)
  • Over · 3 (30%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 3 (30%)
  • Over · 7 (70%)
CS
  • Yes · 3 (30%)
  • No · 7 (70%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 6 (60%)
  • No · 4 (40%)

Athletic-MG

1.5Goals
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 7 (70%)
  • Over · 3 (30%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
CS
  • Yes · 2 (20%)
  • No · 8 (80%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 7 (70%)
  • No · 3 (30%)