Scunthorpe United vs Carlisle United

Tue 09 Mar, 19:45 UTC · Matchweek 38 · probabilities and historical statistics

Predicted outcome

Scunthorpe United win 33.6%
Draw 23.2%
Carlisle United win · Most likely 43.2%

Event markets

Both teams to score 65%Avg 57%
Over 1.5 goals 82%Avg 80%
Over 2.5 goals 62%Avg 56%
Scunthorpe United clean sheet 18%Avg 27%
Carlisle United clean sheet 22%Avg 21%
Over 8.5 corners 73%Avg 64%
Over 9.5 corners 61%Avg 53%
Over 2.5 cards 77%Avg 74%
Over 3.5 cards 58%Avg 57%

This match League average

Predicted Score

1-28.8%
0-17.3%
0-25.7%

Team comparison

Attack Defense Form Discipline Cleansheets
  • Scunthorpe United
  • Carlisle United

Did you know?

  • Scunthorpe United have conceded in each of their last 8 matches.
  • Scunthorpe United's matches have gone over 1.5 goals in 9 of their last 10.
  • Carlisle United's matches have had over 9.5 corners in 9 of their last 10 (corner data on file).
  • Scunthorpe United have won just 2 of their last 10 matches.

H2H

All 3 meetings on file.

DateHomeScoreAway
31 Aug 26 Carlisle United 4–2 Scunthorpe United
10 Feb 26 Carlisle United 3–2 Scunthorpe United
04 Oct 25 Scunthorpe United 0–1 Carlisle United
3meetings
  • Scunthorpe United win · 0 (0%)
  • Draw · 0 (0%)
  • Carlisle United win · 3 (100%)
Avg. total goals 4.00 League avg: 2.89
Over 2.5 goals 67% League avg: 56%
Both teams to score 67% League avg: 57%
Whoever hosts wins 67% League avg: 44%
Avg. total corners 11.00 League avg: 10.00
Avg. total cards 6.00 League avg: 4.03
Scunthorpe United avg. goals 1.33 League avg: 1.45
Carlisle United avg. goals 2.67 League avg: 1.45

Biggest win: Carlisle United 4–2 Scunthorpe United (31 Aug 26).

Scunthorpe United vs Carlisle United head to head: in the previous 3 meetings, Scunthorpe United have not won, Carlisle United have won 3 times and none ended in a draw. Scunthorpe United scored 4 goals and Carlisle United scored 8 goals in these matches. The latest meeting, on 31 Aug 2026, was won 4-2 by Carlisle United, at home against Scunthorpe United. Carlisle United have won each of the last 3 meetings. Across these matches, both teams scored in 2 of 3 and 2 had over 2.5 goals. Carlisle United kept 1.

How they play

Each line runs across the 24 clubs of the league, from up to the last 19 league games of each. A marker at either end means the most or least of that measure.

Scunthorpe United
  • Shoots on sight
  • Set piece heavy
Carlisle United
  • Crosses and headers
  • Possession
    Cedes the ballKeeps the ball
    51% 14th of 24 51% 10th of 24
  • Shot selection
    Shoots on sightWaits for the chance
    0.11 xG a shot 24th of 24 0.14 xG a shot 11th of 24
  • Set pieces
    Open playSet pieces
    39% of xG 4th of 24 27% of xG 12th of 24
  • Route to goal
    On the groundCrosses and headers
    14% of shots 9th of 24 17% of shots 7th of 24

Where they differ

  • Carlisle United wait for better chances than Scunthorpe United, 0.14 xG a shot against 0.11.
  • Scunthorpe United get more of their chances from set pieces than Carlisle United, 39% against 27%.

Ball Stats (Last 10 games)

Scunthorpe United Carlisle United
11 (1.1 avg) Goals 19 (1.9 avg)
130 (13.0 avg) Total Shots 152 (15.2 avg)
50 (5.0 avg) Shots on Target 57 (5.7 avg)
40 (4.0 avg) Blocked Shots 48 (4.8 avg)
54 (5.4 avg) Corners 64 (6.4 avg)
923 (92.3 avg) Attacks 1080 (108.0 avg)
520 (52.0 avg) Dangerous Attacks 577 (57.7 avg)
N/A Key Passes N/A
3953 (395.3 avg) Passes 3730 (373.0 avg)
3017 (76%) Pass Accuracy 2856 (77%)
51% Ball Possession 50%

Disciplinary/Tackles (Last 10 games)

Scunthorpe United Carlisle United
0 (0.0 avg) Red Cards 2 (0.2 avg)
25 (2.5 avg) Yellow Cards 21 (2.1 avg)
7 (0.7 avg) Tackles 24 (2.4 avg)
120 (12.0 avg) Fouls 141 (14.1 avg)
15 (1.5 avg) Offsides 23 (2.3 avg)
N/A Duels Won N/A
N/A Aerial Duels Won N/A

Previous Game Statistics (Last 10)

Scunthorpe United

1.5Goals
  • Under · 1 (10%)
  • Over · 9 (90%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 7 (70%)
  • Over · 3 (30%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 6 (60%)
  • Over · 4 (40%)
CS
  • Yes · 1 (10%)
  • No · 9 (90%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 5 (50%)
  • No · 5 (50%)

Carlisle United

1.5Goals
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 0 (0%)
  • Over · 10 (100%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 1 (10%)
  • Over · 9 (90%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 6 (60%)
  • Over · 4 (40%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 1 (10%)
  • Over · 9 (90%)
CS
  • Yes · 3 (30%)
  • No · 7 (70%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 6 (60%)
  • No · 4 (40%)