Worthing vs Carlisle United

Sat 30 Jan, 17:30 UTC · Matchweek 30 · probabilities and historical statistics

Predicted outcome

Worthing win 33.6%
Draw 23.1%
Carlisle United win · Most likely 43.3%

Limited history for Worthing. Fewer past top flight matches on record means these figures are less reliable than usual.

Event markets

Both teams to score 65%Avg 57%
Over 1.5 goals 83%Avg 80%
Over 2.5 goals 63%Avg 56%
Worthing clean sheet 17%Avg 27%
Carlisle United clean sheet 22%Avg 21%
Over 8.5 corners 71%Avg 64%
Over 9.5 corners 59%Avg 53%
Over 2.5 cards 73%Avg 74%
Over 3.5 cards 52%Avg 57%

This match League average

Predicted Score

1-28.8%
0-17.2%
0-25.6%

Team comparison

Attack Defense Form Discipline Cleansheets
  • Worthing
  • Carlisle United

Did you know?

  • Worthing's matches have gone over 1.5 goals in 9 of their last 10.
  • Carlisle United's matches have had over 9.5 corners in 9 of their last 10 (corner data on file).
  • Worthing's matches have gone over 2.5 goals in 8 of their last 10.
  • Carlisle United are unbeaten in their last 6 matches.

H2H

All 1 meeting on file.

DateHomeScoreAway
08 Aug 26 Carlisle United 2–3 Worthing
1meetings
  • Worthing win · 1 (100%)
  • Draw · 0 (0%)
  • Carlisle United win · 0 (0%)
Avg. total goals 5.00 League avg: 2.89
Over 2.5 goals 100% League avg: 56%
Both teams to score 100% League avg: 57%
Whoever hosts wins 0% League avg: 44%
Avg. total corners 6.00 League avg: 10.00
Avg. total cards 2.00 League avg: 4.03
Worthing avg. goals 3.00 League avg: 1.45
Carlisle United avg. goals 2.00 League avg: 1.45

Biggest win: Carlisle United 2–3 Worthing (08 Aug 26).

Worthing vs Carlisle United head to head: in their only meeting on file, Worthing have won once, Carlisle United have not won and none ended in a draw. Worthing scored 3 goals and Carlisle United scored 2 goals in that match. The latest meeting, on 8 Aug 2026, was won 3-2 by Worthing, away at Carlisle United. Both teams scored. Neither side has kept a clean sheet against the other.

How they play

Each line runs across the 24 clubs of the league, from up to the last 19 league games of each. A marker at either end means the most or least of that measure.

Worthing
  • Keeps the ball
  • Open play side
Carlisle United
  • Crosses and headers
  • Possession
    Cedes the ballKeeps the ball
    53% 5th of 24 51% 10th of 24
  • Shot selection
    Shoots on sightWaits for the chance
    0.14 xG a shot 14th of 24 0.14 xG a shot 11th of 24
  • Set pieces
    Open playSet pieces
    24% of xG 19th of 24 27% of xG 12th of 24
  • Route to goal
    On the groundCrosses and headers
    12% of shots 16th of 24 17% of shots 7th of 24

Where they differ

  • Carlisle United go more through the air than Worthing, 17% of shots against 12%.
  • Carlisle United get more of their chances from set pieces than Worthing, 27% against 24%.

Ball Stats (Last 10 games)

Worthing Carlisle United
21 (2.1 avg) Goals 19 (1.9 avg)
139 (13.9 avg) Total Shots 152 (15.2 avg)
55 (5.5 avg) Shots on Target 57 (5.7 avg)
32 (3.2 avg) Blocked Shots 48 (4.8 avg)
47 (4.7 avg) Corners 64 (6.4 avg)
1033 (103.3 avg) Attacks 1080 (108.0 avg)
557 (55.7 avg) Dangerous Attacks 577 (57.7 avg)
N/A Key Passes N/A
4345 (434.5 avg) Passes 3730 (373.0 avg)
3452 (79%) Pass Accuracy 2856 (77%)
56% Ball Possession 50%

Disciplinary/Tackles (Last 10 games)

Worthing Carlisle United
0 (0.0 avg) Red Cards 2 (0.2 avg)
12 (1.2 avg) Yellow Cards 21 (2.1 avg)
11 (1.1 avg) Tackles 24 (2.4 avg)
144 (14.4 avg) Fouls 141 (14.1 avg)
14 (1.4 avg) Offsides 23 (2.3 avg)
N/A Duels Won N/A
N/A Aerial Duels Won N/A

Previous Game Statistics (Last 10)

Worthing

1.5Goals
  • Under · 1 (10%)
  • Over · 9 (90%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 6 (60%)
  • Over · 4 (40%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
CS
  • Yes · 2 (20%)
  • No · 8 (80%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 7 (70%)
  • No · 3 (30%)

Carlisle United

1.5Goals
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 0 (0%)
  • Over · 10 (100%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 1 (10%)
  • Over · 9 (90%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 6 (60%)
  • Over · 4 (40%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 1 (10%)
  • Over · 9 (90%)
CS
  • Yes · 3 (30%)
  • No · 7 (70%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 6 (60%)
  • No · 4 (40%)