AGF Aarhus
vs
Horsens
Sun 08 Nov, 13:00 UTC · Matchweek 14 · probabilities and historical statistics
Live Games
Predicted outcome
Limited history for Horsens. Fewer past top flight matches on record means these figures are less reliable than usual.
Event markets
This match League average
Predicted Score
Team comparison
- AGF Aarhus
- Horsens
Did you know?
- AGF Aarhus's matches have gone over 1.5 goals in 10 of their last 10.
- Horsens have outscored their xG by 0.60 goals per game over their last 10. Finishing that hot rarely keeps up.
- Horsens have picked up 2.3 cards per game over their last 10, well above the league average of 1.0.
- AGF Aarhus have won just 2 of their last 10 matches.
H2H
All 1 meeting on file.
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep 26 | 2–2 |
- AGF Aarhus win · 0 (0%)
- Draw · 1 (100%)
- Horsens win · 0 (0%)
AGF Aarhus vs Horsens head to head: in their only meeting on file, AGF Aarhus have not won, Horsens have not won and 1 ended in a draw. AGF Aarhus scored 2 goals and Horsens scored 2 goals in that match. The latest meeting, on 20 Sep 2026, ended 2-2 at Horsens. Both teams scored. Neither side has kept a clean sheet against the other.
How they play
Each line runs across the 12 clubs of the league, from up to the last 19 league games of each. A marker at either end means the most or least of that measure.
- Shoots on sight
- Set piece heavy
- Keeps the ball
- Set piece heavy
- Cedes possession
-
PossessionCedes the ballKeeps the ball53% 4th of 12 48% 9th of 12
-
Shot selectionShoots on sightWaits for the chance0.10 xG a shot 10th of 12 0.11 xG a shot 7th of 12
-
Set piecesOpen playSet pieces33% of xG 3rd of 12 34% of xG 2nd of 12
-
Route to goalOn the groundCrosses and headers15% of shots 9th of 12 18% of shots 6th of 12
Where they differ
- AGF Aarhus see much more of the ball than Horsens, 53% against 48%.
Ball Stats (Last 10 games)
Disciplinary/Tackles (Last 10 games)
Previous Game Statistics (Last 10)
- Under · 0 (0%)
- Over · 10 (100%)
- Under · 3 (30%)
- Over · 7 (70%)
- Under · 4 (40%)
- Over · 6 (60%)
- Under · 3 (30%)
- Over · 7 (70%)
- Under · 7 (70%)
- Over · 3 (30%)
- Under · 3 (30%)
- Over · 7 (70%)
- Yes · 1 (10%)
- No · 9 (90%)
- Yes · 6 (60%)
- No · 4 (40%)
- Under · 2 (20%)
- Over · 8 (80%)
- Under · 3 (30%)
- Over · 7 (70%)
- Under · 3 (30%)
- Over · 7 (70%)
- Under · 3 (30%)
- Over · 7 (70%)
- Under · 5 (50%)
- Over · 5 (50%)
- Under · 4 (40%)
- Over · 6 (60%)
- Yes · 1 (10%)
- No · 9 (90%)
- Yes · 7 (70%)
- No · 3 (30%)
- Under · 1 (10%)
- Over · 9 (90%)
- Under · 2 (20%)
- Over · 8 (80%)
- Under · 4 (40%)
- Over · 6 (60%)
- Under · 2 (20%)
- Over · 8 (80%)
- Under · 7 (70%)
- Over · 3 (30%)
- Under · 3 (30%)
- Over · 7 (70%)
- Yes · 2 (20%)
- No · 8 (80%)
- Yes · 7 (70%)
- No · 3 (30%)
- Under · 1 (17%)
- Over · 5 (83%)
- Under · 1 (17%)
- Over · 5 (83%)
- Under · 2 (33%)
- Over · 4 (67%)
- Under · 1 (17%)
- Over · 5 (83%)
- Under · 4 (67%)
- Over · 2 (33%)
- Under · 1 (17%)
- Over · 5 (83%)
- Yes · 0 (0%)
- No · 6 (100%)
- Yes · 4 (67%)
- No · 2 (33%)
Match Outlook
AGF Aarhus (9th, 12 points) welcome Horsens (7th, 16 points). AGF Aarhus have a LWDWD record from their last 5, scoring 8 and conceding 6, and have won 4 of their last 10 at home. Horsens have a LWDDD record from their last 5, scoring 10 and conceding 7, and have won 2 of their last 6 on the road. AGF Aarhus go in without K. Arnstad (12 of 13 starts) and J. Serra (top scorer, 5 goals), plus 1 other absentee. Horsens have no key players missing. The main goal threats are C. McCowatt (3 goals) for AGF Aarhus and K. Ehibhatiomhan (4 goals) for Horsens. AGF Aarhus go in as clear favourites (AGF Aarhus win 60%, draw 23%, Horsens win 17%). The numbers point to an open game with goals at both ends, with 2-1 the most likely score. How AGF Aarhus cope without K. Arnstad and J. Serra could decide whether that edge holds.
-
AGF Aarhus Suspended K. Arnstad 12 of 13 starts
-
AGF Aarhus Injured J. Serra top scorer, 5 goals
AGF Aarhus
Previous 10 Matches
DLDWLDDWLD-
05 Nov 26 H AGF Aarhus vs
Braga 0–0 D
-
01 Nov 26 A AGF Aarhus vs
Brondby 0–2 L
-
25 Oct 26 H AGF Aarhus vs
Viborg 2–1 W
-
22 Oct 26 H AGF Aarhus vs
Egnatia 1–1 D
-
18 Oct 26 A AGF Aarhus vs
FC Copenhagen 1–1 D
-
15 Oct 26 A AGF Aarhus vs
Gent 0–1 L
-
12 Oct 26 H AGF Aarhus vs
Sonderjyske 3–0 W
-
20 Sep 26 A AGF Aarhus vs
Horsens 2–2 D
-
13 Sep 26 A AGF Aarhus vs
Nordsjaelland 0–2 L
-
05 Sep 26 H AGF Aarhus vs
Silkeborg 2–2 D
Previous 10 Matches
WWDDLDWDWD-
05 Nov 26 H AGF Aarhus vs
Braga 0–0 D
-
25 Oct 26 H AGF Aarhus vs
Viborg 2–1 W
-
22 Oct 26 H AGF Aarhus vs
Egnatia 1–1 D
-
12 Oct 26 H AGF Aarhus vs
Sonderjyske 3–0 W
-
05 Sep 26 H AGF Aarhus vs
Silkeborg 2–2 D
-
02 Sep 26 H AGF Aarhus vs
Midtjylland 0–2 L
-
23 Aug 26 H AGF Aarhus vs
Odense 2–2 D
-
25 Jul 26 H AGF Aarhus vs
Brondby 1–1 D
-
17 May 26 H AGF Aarhus vs
Viborg 6–2 W
-
03 May 26 H AGF Aarhus vs
Sonderjyske 2–1 W
Previous 10 Matches
DWDLLLDLDL-
01 Nov 26 A AGF Aarhus vs
Brondby 0–2 L
-
18 Oct 26 A AGF Aarhus vs
FC Copenhagen 1–1 D
-
15 Oct 26 A AGF Aarhus vs
Gent 0–1 L
-
20 Sep 26 A AGF Aarhus vs
Horsens 2–2 D
-
13 Sep 26 A AGF Aarhus vs
Nordsjaelland 0–2 L
-
30 Aug 26 A AGF Aarhus vs
Randers FC 1–2 L
-
14 Aug 26 A AGF Aarhus vs
Viborg 1–2 L
-
01 Aug 26 A AGF Aarhus vs
Lyngby 2–2 D
-
10 May 26 A AGF Aarhus vs
Brondby 2–0 W
-
23 Apr 26 A AGF Aarhus vs
Nordsjaelland 1–1 D
Form & stats (Last 10)
9th in the league · 12 pts
| Results | PPG | |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | DLLDLDWDWL | 1.00 |
| Home | DDWWDDLDWW | 1.70 |
| Away | LDWDLLLDDL | 0.70 |
All time statistics
| Overall | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 38% | 45% | 30% |
| Goals/game (both sides) | 2.88 | 2.88 | 2.88 |
| Scored/game | 1.56 | 1.70 | 1.43 |
| Conceded/game | 1.31 | 1.18 | 1.45 |
| Both teams scored | 67% | 62% | 71% |
| Clean sheets | 24% | 30% | 18% |
| Failed to score | 15% | 14% | 16% |
| xG/game | 1.72 | 1.88 | 1.56 |
| xG against/game | 1.28 | 1.09 | 1.46 |
| npxG/game | 1.56 | 1.68 | 1.43 |
| Led at half-time | 37% | 39% | 34% |
| Comebacks (trailed at HT, won) | 7% | 17% | 0% |
Horsens
Previous 10 Matches
WWLWLDDDWL-
25 Oct 26 H Horsens vs
Sonderjyske 5–1 W
-
16 Oct 26 H Horsens vs
Randers FC 0–0 D
-
20 Sep 26 H Horsens vs
AGF Aarhus 2–2 D
-
11 Sep 26 A Horsens vs
FC Copenhagen 0–2 L
-
06 Sep 26 A Horsens vs
Sonderjyske 5–2 W
Previous 7 Matches
DLWLDDW-
25 Oct 26 H Horsens vs
Sonderjyske 5–1 W
-
16 Oct 26 H Horsens vs
Randers FC 0–0 D
-
20 Sep 26 H Horsens vs
AGF Aarhus 2–2 D
-
26 Jul 26 H Horsens vs
Nordsjaelland 1–1 D
Previous 6 Matches
LWWLDL-
11 Sep 26 A Horsens vs
FC Copenhagen 0–2 L
-
06 Sep 26 A Horsens vs
Sonderjyske 5–2 W
-
02 Aug 26 A Horsens vs
Midtjylland 1–2 L
* not enough games played in this league yet. It includes recent matches from other divisions to fill out the sample.
Form & stats (Last 10)
7th in the league · 16 pts
| Results | PPG | |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | WWLWLDDDWL | 1.50 |
| Home* | DLWLDDW | 1.29 |
| Away* | LWWLDL | 1.17 |
All time statistics
| Overall | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 31% | 29% | 33% |
| Goals/game (both sides) | 3.38 | 3.14 | 3.67 |
| Scored/game | 1.77 | 1.71 | 1.83 |
| Conceded/game | 1.62 | 1.43 | 1.83 |
| Both teams scored | 69% | 71% | 67% |
| Clean sheets | 8% | 14% | 0% |
| Failed to score | 31% | 29% | 33% |
| xG/game | 1.34 | 1.25 | 1.45 |
| xG against/game | 1.75 | 1.79 | 1.70 |
| npxG/game | 1.28 | 1.13 | 1.45 |
| Led at half-time | 31% | 29% | 33% |
| Comebacks (trailed at HT, won) | 0% | 0% | 0% |
League standings
AGF Aarhus are 9th with 12 points. Horsens are 7th with 16 points.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 27 | 15 | +12 | 31 | |
| 2 | 13 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 28 | 12 | +16 | 29 | |
| 3 | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 22 | 13 | +9 | 26 | |
| 4 | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 23 | 20 | +3 | 22 | |
| 5 | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 20 | 17 | +3 | 20 | |
| 6 | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 16 | 19 | -3 | 17 | |
| 7 | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 23 | 21 | +2 | 16 | |
| 8 | 14 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 18 | 24 | -6 | 15 | |
| 9 | 13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 17 | 21 | -4 | 12 | |
| 10 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 13 | 21 | -8 | 11 | |
| 11 | 14 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 19 | 29 | -10 | 11 | |
| 12 | 13 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 17 | 31 | -14 | 8 |
Scroll the table sideways for every column
Lineups & injuries
Out / doubtful
- K. Arnstad Suspended · Yellow_card_accumulation_suspension (back 2026-11-08)
- J. Serra Injured · Unknown (back 2026-11-30)
- M. Anderson Injured · Unknown (back 2026-11-20)
Out / doubtful
- C. Vestergaard Injured · Knee injury (back 2027-04-20)
Season Player Statistics
Each player’s numbers in their last 3 matches individually, next to their season total and appearances.
Goals
Scored this season
AGF Aarhus
- J. Serra 1–– 5 5
- K. Arnstad 000 3 12
- C. McCowatt 000 3 9
Horsens
- K. Ehibhatiomhan 000 4 9
- J. Bonde 000 3 8
- A. Saine 00– 2 12
Shots on target
Efforts that tested the keeper
Total shots
Every attempt on goal
AGF Aarhus
- F. Emmery 161 32 12
- C. McCowatt 044 24 9
- S. Jørgensen –02 19 6
Horsens
- K. Ehibhatiomhan 006 27 9
- J. Madsen 022 18 11
- Y. Ouorou 051 17 10
Most carded
Yellow and red cards
AGF Aarhus
- K. Arnstad 011 5Y 12
- M. Knudsen 01– 4Y 10
- C. McCowatt 000 3Y 9
Horsens
- A. Herdonsson 11– 5Y 7
- A. Saine 01– 4Y 12
- J. Tauriainen 000 4Y 4
Most fouls
Fouls committed
AGF Aarhus
- K. Arnstad 222 24 12
- M. Knudsen 02– 15 10
- M. Anderson ––– 14 7
Horsens
- K. Lusavec 431 25 11
- J. Madsen 133 23 11
- K. Ehibhatiomhan 215 23 9
Most tackles
Tackles made
AGF Aarhus
- M. Knudsen 50– 33 10
- D. Grétarsson 21– 27 9
- K. Arnstad 212 22 12
Horsens
- A. Saine 30– 27 12
- V. Pálsson 122 22 13
- K. Lusavec 112 18 11
Interceptions
Passes cut out
AGF Aarhus
- E. Kahl 103 12 7
- K. Arnstad 000 10 12
- M. Knudsen 11– 10 10
Horsens
- A. Moro 114 25 8
- K. Lusavec 102 18 11
- A. Saine 20– 12 12
Duels won
Challenges won
AGF Aarhus
- K. Arnstad 655 61 12
- F. Emmery 346 61 12
- M. Knudsen 92– 58 10
Horsens
- A. Saine 61– 64 12
- V. Pálsson 735 58 13
- K. Ehibhatiomhan 087 57 9
Blocked shots
Shots stopped on the way
AGF Aarhus
- D. Grétarsson 11– 7 9
- T. Mølgaard 300 7 6
- K. Arnstad 012 5 12
Horsens
- M. Kupijbida 0–1 9 11
- A. Saine 00– 5 12
- K. Lusavec 001 4 11
Key passes
Passes that set up a shot
AGF Aarhus
- K. Arnstad 143 21 12
- F. Emmery 212 18 12
- S. Jørgensen –00 17 6
Horsens
- J. Madsen 110 14 11
- Y. Ouorou 020 12 10
- I. Milićević 223 12 5
Referee
MTMichael Tykgaard
13 matches on file in this leagueLeans 0.4 more cards/game on the home side.
Referee data before 2025/26 from the Transfermarkt datasets project.
Historic Bets Win Rate
How often each market has actually landed over each side’s last 10 games.
Top 5 Bangers
The five markets that have landed most often over the last 10 games, best first.
-
1
Horsens Team Over 10.5 Fouls 100.0%
-
2
AGF Aarhus Over 1.5 Goals in the Match 100.0%
-
3
Horsens Over 2.5 Cards in the Match 90.0%
-
4
Horsens Team Over 4.5 Shots on Target 80.0%
-
5
AGF Aarhus 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals 80.0%
-
1
AS
A. Saine Over 0.5 Fouls Committed 100.0%
-
2
JH
J. Hansen Over 1.5 Saves 80.0%
-
3
SJ
S. Jørgensen Over 1.5 Shots 70.0%
-
4
DG
D. Grétarsson Over 1.5 Tackles 70.0%
-
5
KE
K. Ehibhatiomhan Over 0.5 Shots on Target 70.0%
Match Result
3 markets
Handicap
3 markets
Goals
9 markets
Both Teams to Score
5 markets
Correct Score
5 markets
Half-Time
6 markets
Half-Time / Full-Time
5 markets
First & Last Goal
5 markets
Clean Sheet & Win to Nil
4 markets
Corners
9 markets
Cards
7 markets
Shots
6 markets
Fouls & Offsides
4 markets
Match Specials
3 markets
Goalscorer
5 markets, best-placed player from each squad
Assists
4 markets, best-placed player from each squad
Shots
6 markets, best-placed player from each squad
Cards
3 markets, best-placed player from each squad
Fouls
3 markets, best-placed player from each squad
Tackles
3 markets, best-placed player from each squad
Goalkeeper
4 markets, best-placed player from each squad
Player Combos
3 markets, best-placed player from each squad
Compare bookmaker prices
The best price for each result, then every bookmaker side by side. Red marks the best price.
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- Bet365 Visit site (opens in a new tab) 1.61 4.10 5.00 1.61
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BetVictor
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4.00
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Betfair
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4.20
4.75
1.57
- Bwin Visit site (opens in a new tab) 1.62 4.10 4.75 1.60
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Coral
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1.60
3.80
4.40
–
- Dafabet Visit site (opens in a new tab) 1.64 4.30 4.90 –
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Ladbrokes
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1.60
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- MansionBet Visit site (opens in a new tab) 1.62 4.05 4.60 –
- MelBet Visit site (opens in a new tab) 1.61 4.20 4.65 –
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Unibet
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1.57
4.10
5.30
1.58
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William Hill
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- Bet365 Visit site (opens in a new tab) 1.61 (price falling) 2.20 (price rising)
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Betfair
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BetVictor
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- Bwin Visit site (opens in a new tab) 1.60 2.15
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Unibet
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1.58
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William Hill
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1.62 (price rising)
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- 1xBet Visit site (opens in a new tab) 1.16 (price rising) 1.20 (price rising) 2.25 (price falling)
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Betfair
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BetVictor
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- SBO Visit site (opens in a new tab) 1.13 (price rising) 1.18 (price rising) 2.18 (price falling)
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William Hill
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- Bet365 Visit site (opens in a new tab) 1.25 (price rising) 3.75 (price falling)
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Unibet
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1.27
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William Hill
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1.25
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- 1xBet Visit site (opens in a new tab) 1.02 12.30
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Betfair
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1.01
15.00 (price falling)
- 1xBet Visit site (opens in a new tab) 1.13 4.50 (price falling)
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Betfair
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1.17
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BetVictor
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1.15
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- Pinnacle Visit site (opens in a new tab) 1.19 (price rising) 4.91 (price rising)
- 1xBet Visit site (opens in a new tab) 1.57 2.31
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Betfair
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1.57 (price rising)
2.38 (price falling)
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BetVictor
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1.56 (price rising)
2.23 (price falling)
- Pinnacle Visit site (opens in a new tab) 1.60 (price rising) 2.40 (price rising)
- 1xBet Visit site (opens in a new tab) 2.35 (price rising) 1.47 (price falling)
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Betfair
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BetVictor
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2.31
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- Pinnacle Visit site (opens in a new tab) 2.52 (price rising) 1.55 (price falling)
Each line is the handicap given to AGF Aarhus. At -1.5, AGF Aarhus start a goal and a half behind and Horsens take +1.5.
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- 1xBet Visit site (opens in a new tab) 8.60 1.01
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- Bet365 Visit site (opens in a new tab) 4.00 1.23
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Unibet
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- 1xBet Visit site (opens in a new tab) 2.97 1.30
- Bet365 Visit site (opens in a new tab) 3.10 1.35
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Unibet
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- 1xBet Visit site (opens in a new tab) 2.50 1.42
- Bet365 Visit site (opens in a new tab) 2.60 1.48
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Unibet
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- Bet365 Visit site (opens in a new tab) 2.30 1.60
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