Al-Ahli vs Al-Nassr

Sat 06 Mar, 19:00 UTC · Matchweek 9 · probabilities and historical statistics

Predicted outcome

Al-Ahli win · Most likely 44.4%
Draw 25.7%
Al-Nassr win 29.9%

Event markets

Both teams to score 68%Avg 57%
Over 1.5 goals 85%Avg 80%
Over 2.5 goals 65%Avg 57%
Al-Ahli clean sheet 22%Avg 27%
Al-Nassr clean sheet 16%Avg 22%
Over 8.5 corners 82%Avg 63%
Over 9.5 corners 72%Avg 50%
Over 2.5 cards 74%Avg 76%
Over 3.5 cards 53%Avg 58%

This match League average

Predicted Score

2-19.0%
2-05.8%
3-15.4%

Team comparison

Attack Defense Form Discipline Cleansheets
  • Al-Ahli
  • Al-Nassr

Did you know?

  • Al-Ahli's matches have gone over 2.5 goals in 10 of their last 10.
  • Al-Ahli's matches have gone over 1.5 goals in 10 of their last 10.
  • Al-Nassr have scored in 10 consecutive matches.
  • Al-Ahli have won 10 of their last 10 home matches.

H2H

All 8 meetings on file.

DateHomeScoreAway
29 Apr 26 Al-Nassr 2–0 Al-Ahli
02 Jan 26 Al-Ahli 3–2 Al-Nassr
13 Feb 25 Al-Ahli 2–3 Al-Nassr
13 Sep 24 Al-Nassr 1–1 Al-Ahli
15 Mar 24 Al-Ahli 0–1 Al-Nassr
22 Sep 23 Al-Nassr 4–3 Al-Ahli
28 May 22 Al-Nassr 1–1 Al-Ahli
26 Nov 21 Al-Ahli 1–2 Al-Nassr
8meetings
  • Al-Ahli win · 1 (12%)
  • Draw · 2 (25%)
  • Al-Nassr win · 5 (62%)
Avg. total goals 3.38 League avg: 3.02
Over 2.5 goals 50% League avg: 57%
Both teams to score 75% League avg: 57%
Whoever hosts wins 38% League avg: 43%
Avg. total corners 9.00 League avg: 9.91
Avg. total cards 8.50 League avg: 4.04
Al-Ahli avg. goals 1.38 League avg: 1.51
Al-Nassr avg. goals 2.00 League avg: 1.51

Biggest win: Al-Nassr 2–0 Al-Ahli (29 Apr 26).

Al-Ahli vs Al-Nassr head to head: in the previous 8 meetings, Al-Ahli have won once, Al-Nassr have won 5 times and 2 ended in a draw. Al-Ahli scored 11 goals and Al-Nassr scored 16 goals in these matches. The latest meeting, on 29 Apr 2026, was won 2-0 by Al-Nassr, at home against Al-Ahli. Across these matches, both teams scored in 6 of 8 and 4 had over 2.5 goals. Al-Nassr kept 2.

How they play

Each line runs across the 18 clubs of the league, from up to the last 19 league games of each. A marker at either end means the most or least of that measure.

Al-Ahli
  • Open play side
  • Selective shooters
  • Crosses and headers
Al-Nassr
  • Keeps the ball
  • Plays on the floor
  • Set piece heavy
  • Possession
    Cedes the ballKeeps the ball
    53% 6th of 18 55% 3rd of 18
  • Shot selection
    Shoots on sightWaits for the chance
    0.16 xG a shot 3rd of 18 0.12 xG a shot 7th of 18
  • Set pieces
    Open playSet pieces
    15% of xG 17th of 18 25% of xG 6th of 18
  • Route to goal
    On the groundCrosses and headers
    18% of shots 5th of 18 15% of shots 13th of 18

Where they differ

  • Al-Nassr get more of their chances from set pieces than Al-Ahli, 25% against 15%.
  • Al-Ahli go more through the air than Al-Nassr, 18% of shots against 15%.

Ball Stats (Last 10 games)

Al-Ahli Al-Nassr
27 (2.7 avg) Goals 25 (2.5 avg)
149 (14.9 avg) Total Shots 157 (15.7 avg)
65 (6.5 avg) Shots on Target 61 (6.1 avg)
34 (3.4 avg) Blocked Shots 38 (3.8 avg)
37 (3.7 avg) Corners 77 (7.7 avg)
760 (76.0 avg) Attacks 812 (81.2 avg)
447 (44.7 avg) Dangerous Attacks 548 (54.8 avg)
113 (11.3 avg) Key Passes 126 (12.6 avg)
4121 (412.1 avg) Passes 4251 (425.1 avg)
3499 (85%) Pass Accuracy 3646 (86%)
53% Ball Possession 55%

Disciplinary/Tackles (Last 10 games)

Al-Ahli Al-Nassr
2 (0.2 avg) Red Cards 1 (0.1 avg)
12 (1.2 avg) Yellow Cards 15 (1.5 avg)
167 (16.7 avg) Tackles 151 (15.1 avg)
145 (14.5 avg) Fouls 143 (14.3 avg)
27 (2.7 avg) Offsides 27 (2.7 avg)
479 (47.9 avg) Duels Won 416 (41.6 avg)
100 (10.0 avg) Aerial Duels Won 78 (7.8 avg)

Previous Game Statistics (Last 10)

Al-Ahli

1.5Goals
  • Under · 0 (0%)
  • Over · 10 (100%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 8 (80%)
  • Over · 2 (20%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 0 (0%)
  • Over · 10 (100%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 8 (80%)
  • Over · 2 (20%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 1 (10%)
  • Over · 9 (90%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 9 (90%)
  • Over · 1 (10%)
CS
  • Yes · 3 (30%)
  • No · 7 (70%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 6 (60%)
  • No · 4 (40%)

Al-Nassr

1.5Goals
  • Under · 1 (10%)
  • Over · 9 (90%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 3 (30%)
  • Over · 7 (70%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 6 (60%)
  • Over · 4 (40%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
CS
  • Yes · 3 (30%)
  • No · 7 (70%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 7 (70%)
  • No · 3 (30%)