Al-Nassr vs Al-Ahli

Thu 15 Apr, 18:00 UTC · Matchweek 26 · probabilities and historical statistics

Predicted outcome

Al-Nassr win · Most likely 50.2%
Draw 26.8%
Al-Ahli win 23.0%

Event markets

Both teams to score 60%Avg 57%
Over 1.5 goals 80%Avg 80%
Over 2.5 goals 57%Avg 57%
Al-Nassr clean sheet 30%Avg 27%
Al-Ahli clean sheet 17%Avg 22%
Over 8.5 corners 72%Avg 63%
Over 9.5 corners 60%Avg 50%
Over 2.5 cards 78%Avg 76%
Over 3.5 cards 60%Avg 58%

This match League average

Predicted Score

2-19.8%
2-08.0%
1-08.0%

Team comparison

Attack Defense Form Discipline Cleansheets
  • Al-Nassr
  • Al-Ahli

Did you know?

  • Al-Ahli's matches have gone over 2.5 goals in 10 of their last 10.
  • Al-Ahli's matches have gone over 1.5 goals in 10 of their last 10.
  • Al-Nassr have scored in 10 consecutive matches.
  • Al-Ahli's matches have produced over 3.5 goals in 9 of their last 10.

H2H

All 8 meetings on file.

DateHomeScoreAway
29 Apr 26 Al-Nassr 2–0 Al-Ahli
02 Jan 26 Al-Ahli 3–2 Al-Nassr
13 Feb 25 Al-Ahli 2–3 Al-Nassr
13 Sep 24 Al-Nassr 1–1 Al-Ahli
15 Mar 24 Al-Ahli 0–1 Al-Nassr
22 Sep 23 Al-Nassr 4–3 Al-Ahli
28 May 22 Al-Nassr 1–1 Al-Ahli
26 Nov 21 Al-Ahli 1–2 Al-Nassr
8meetings
  • Al-Nassr win · 5 (62%)
  • Draw · 2 (25%)
  • Al-Ahli win · 1 (12%)
Avg. total goals 3.38 League avg: 3.02
Over 2.5 goals 50% League avg: 57%
Both teams to score 75% League avg: 57%
Whoever hosts wins 38% League avg: 43%
Avg. total corners 9.00 League avg: 9.91
Avg. total cards 8.50 League avg: 4.04
Al-Nassr avg. goals 2.00 League avg: 1.51
Al-Ahli avg. goals 1.38 League avg: 1.51

Biggest win: Al-Nassr 2–0 Al-Ahli (29 Apr 26).

Al-Nassr vs Al-Ahli head to head: in the previous 8 meetings, Al-Nassr have won 5 times, Al-Ahli have won once and 2 ended in a draw. Al-Nassr scored 16 goals and Al-Ahli scored 11 goals in these matches. The latest meeting, on 29 Apr 2026, was won 2-0 by Al-Nassr, at home against Al-Ahli. Across these matches, both teams scored in 6 of 8 and 4 had over 2.5 goals. Al-Nassr kept 2 clean sheets.

How they play

Each line runs across the 18 clubs of the league, from up to the last 19 league games of each. A marker at either end means the most or least of that measure.

Al-Nassr
  • Keeps the ball
  • Plays on the floor
  • Set piece heavy
Al-Ahli
  • Open play side
  • Selective shooters
  • Crosses and headers
  • Possession
    Cedes the ballKeeps the ball
    55% 3rd of 18 53% 6th of 18
  • Shot selection
    Shoots on sightWaits for the chance
    0.12 xG a shot 7th of 18 0.16 xG a shot 3rd of 18
  • Set pieces
    Open playSet pieces
    25% of xG 6th of 18 15% of xG 17th of 18
  • Route to goal
    On the groundCrosses and headers
    15% of shots 13th of 18 18% of shots 5th of 18

Where they differ

  • Al-Nassr get more of their chances from set pieces than Al-Ahli, 25% against 15%.
  • Al-Ahli go more through the air than Al-Nassr, 18% of shots against 15%.

Ball Stats (Last 10 games)

Al-Nassr Al-Ahli
25 (2.5 avg) Goals 27 (2.7 avg)
157 (15.7 avg) Total Shots 149 (14.9 avg)
61 (6.1 avg) Shots on Target 65 (6.5 avg)
38 (3.8 avg) Blocked Shots 34 (3.4 avg)
77 (7.7 avg) Corners 37 (3.7 avg)
812 (81.2 avg) Attacks 760 (76.0 avg)
548 (54.8 avg) Dangerous Attacks 447 (44.7 avg)
126 (12.6 avg) Key Passes 113 (11.3 avg)
4251 (425.1 avg) Passes 4121 (412.1 avg)
3646 (86%) Pass Accuracy 3499 (85%)
55% Ball Possession 53%

Disciplinary/Tackles (Last 10 games)

Al-Nassr Al-Ahli
1 (0.1 avg) Red Cards 2 (0.2 avg)
15 (1.5 avg) Yellow Cards 12 (1.2 avg)
151 (15.1 avg) Tackles 167 (16.7 avg)
143 (14.3 avg) Fouls 145 (14.5 avg)
27 (2.7 avg) Offsides 27 (2.7 avg)
416 (41.6 avg) Duels Won 479 (47.9 avg)
78 (7.8 avg) Aerial Duels Won 100 (10.0 avg)

Previous Game Statistics (Last 10)

Al-Nassr

1.5Goals
  • Under · 1 (10%)
  • Over · 9 (90%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 3 (30%)
  • Over · 7 (70%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 6 (60%)
  • Over · 4 (40%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
CS
  • Yes · 3 (30%)
  • No · 7 (70%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 7 (70%)
  • No · 3 (30%)

Al-Ahli

1.5Goals
  • Under · 0 (0%)
  • Over · 10 (100%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 8 (80%)
  • Over · 2 (20%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 0 (0%)
  • Over · 10 (100%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 8 (80%)
  • Over · 2 (20%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 1 (10%)
  • Over · 9 (90%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 9 (90%)
  • Over · 1 (10%)
CS
  • Yes · 3 (30%)
  • No · 7 (70%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 6 (60%)
  • No · 4 (40%)