Atletico Mineiro vs Corinthians

Wed 25 Nov, 23:00 UTC · Matchweek 36 · probabilities and historical statistics

Predicted outcome

Atletico Mineiro win · Most likely 45.0%
Draw 30.1%
Corinthians win 24.9%

Event markets

Both teams to score 47%Avg 53%
Over 1.5 goals 68%Avg 75%
Over 2.5 goals 40%Avg 49%
Atletico Mineiro clean sheet 38%Avg 34%
Corinthians clean sheet 26%Avg 19%
Over 8.5 corners 80%Avg 67%
Over 9.5 corners 70%Avg 55%
Over 2.5 cards 89%Avg 85%
Over 3.5 cards 76%Avg 73%

This match League average

Predicted Score

1-012.7%
2-18.9%
2-08.8%

Team comparison

Attack Defense Form Discipline Cleansheets
  • Atletico Mineiro
  • Corinthians

Did you know?

  • Corinthians have won just 1 of their last 10 matches.
  • Corinthians have won just 2 of their last 10 away matches.
  • Corinthians have underscored their xG by 0.50 goals per game over their last 10. They have created more than the scoreline shows.
  • Atletico Mineiro's matches have had over 9.5 corners in 7 of their last 10 (corner data on file).

H2H

9meetings
  • Atletico Mineiro win · 2 (22%)
  • Draw · 3 (33%)
  • Corinthians win · 4 (44%)
Avg. total goals 1.33 League avg: 2.59
Over 2.5 goals 22% League avg: 49%
Both teams to score 33% League avg: 53%
Whoever hosts wins 33% League avg: 49%
Avg. total corners 4.33 League avg: 10.53
Avg. total cards 5.00 League avg: 4.95
Atletico Mineiro avg. goals 0.56 League avg: 1.29
Corinthians avg. goals 0.78 League avg: 1.29

Biggest win: Corinthians 1–0 Atletico Mineiro (24 May 26).

Atletico Mineiro vs Corinthians head to head: in the previous 9 meetings, Atletico Mineiro have won 2 times, Corinthians have won 4 times and 3 ended in a draw. Atletico Mineiro scored 5 goals and Corinthians scored 7 goals in these matches. The latest meeting, on 24 May 2026, was won 1-0 by Corinthians, at home against Atletico Mineiro. Corinthians are unbeaten in the last 3 meetings. Across these matches, both teams scored in 3 of 9 and 2 had over 2.5 goals. Atletico Mineiro kept 3 clean sheets and Corinthians kept 5.

How they play

Each line runs across the 20 clubs of the league, from up to the last 19 league games of each. A marker at either end means the most or least of that measure.

Atletico Mineiro
  • Selective shooters
Corinthians
  • Keeps the ball
  • Shoots on sight
  • Possession
    Cedes the ballKeeps the ball
    50% 10th of 20 55% 4th of 20
  • Shot selection
    Shoots on sightWaits for the chance
    0.10 xG a shot 4th of 20 0.08 xG a shot 16th of 20
  • Set pieces
    Open playSet pieces
    25% of xG 11th of 20 26% of xG 7th of 20
  • Route to goal
    On the groundCrosses and headers
    19% of shots 13th of 20 20% of shots 11th of 20

Where they differ

  • Atletico Mineiro wait for better chances than Corinthians, 0.10 xG a shot against 0.08.
  • Corinthians see much more of the ball than Atletico Mineiro, 55% against 50%.

Ball Stats (Last 10 games)

Atletico Mineiro Corinthians
12 (1.2 avg) Goals 10 (1.0 avg)
146 (14.6 avg) Total Shots 177 (17.7 avg)
54 (5.4 avg) Shots on Target 48 (4.8 avg)
32 (3.2 avg) Blocked Shots 49 (4.9 avg)
58 (5.8 avg) Corners 63 (6.3 avg)
802 (89.1 avg) Attacks 983 (98.3 avg)
456 (50.7 avg) Dangerous Attacks 576 (57.6 avg)
107 (11.9 avg) Key Passes 127 (12.7 avg)
5054 (505.4 avg) Passes 4984 (498.4 avg)
4371 (86%) Pass Accuracy 4296 (86%)
51% Ball Possession 54%

Disciplinary/Tackles (Last 10 games)

Atletico Mineiro Corinthians
1 (0.1 avg) Red Cards 2 (0.2 avg)
16 (1.6 avg) Yellow Cards 28 (2.8 avg)
145 (14.5 avg) Tackles 138 (13.8 avg)
122 (12.2 avg) Fouls 119 (11.9 avg)
20 (2.0 avg) Offsides 16 (1.6 avg)
407 (45.2 avg) Duels Won 458 (45.8 avg)
95 (10.6 avg) Aerial Duels Won 101 (10.1 avg)

Previous Game Statistics (Last 10)

Atletico Mineiro

1.5Goals
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 1 (10%)
  • Over · 9 (90%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 6 (60%)
  • Over · 4 (40%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 7 (70%)
  • Over · 3 (30%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 3 (30%)
  • Over · 7 (70%)
CS
  • Yes · 2 (20%)
  • No · 8 (80%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 5 (50%)
  • No · 5 (50%)

Corinthians

1.5Goals
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 3 (30%)
  • Over · 7 (70%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 3 (30%)
  • Over · 7 (70%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 7 (70%)
  • Over · 3 (30%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
CS
  • Yes · 2 (20%)
  • No · 8 (80%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 7 (70%)
  • No · 3 (30%)