Bahia vs Atletico Mineiro

Thu 03 Dec, 00:30 UTC · Matchweek 38 · probabilities and historical statistics

Predicted outcome

Bahia win · Most likely 49.4%
Draw 26.9%
Atletico Mineiro win 23.7%

Event markets

Both teams to score 55%Avg 53%
Over 1.5 goals 76%Avg 75%
Over 2.5 goals 51%Avg 49%
Bahia clean sheet 33%Avg 34%
Atletico Mineiro clean sheet 19%Avg 19%
Over 8.5 corners 68%Avg 67%
Over 9.5 corners 55%Avg 55%
Over 2.5 cards 87%Avg 85%
Over 3.5 cards 72%Avg 73%

This match League average

Predicted Score

1-010.1%
2-19.7%
2-08.6%

Team comparison

Attack Defense Form Discipline Cleansheets
  • Bahia
  • Atletico Mineiro

Did you know?

  • Whoever has hosted has won 5 of the last 7 meetings between these two.
  • Both teams have scored in 7 of Bahia's last 10 matches.
  • Bahia's matches have gone over 2.5 goals in 7 of their last 10.
  • Bahia's matches have had over 9.5 corners in 7 of their last 10 (corner data on file).

H2H

All 7 meetings on file.

DateHomeScoreAway
21 Jul 26 Atletico Mineiro 1–1 Bahia
05 Nov 25 Atletico Mineiro 3–0 Bahia
13 Jul 25 Bahia 2–1 Atletico Mineiro
15 Sep 24 Bahia 3–0 Atletico Mineiro
02 Jun 24 Atletico Mineiro 1–1 Bahia
07 Dec 23 Bahia 4–1 Atletico Mineiro
13 Aug 23 Atletico Mineiro 1–0 Bahia
7meetings
  • Bahia win · 3 (43%)
  • Draw · 2 (29%)
  • Atletico Mineiro win · 2 (29%)
Avg. total goals 2.71 League avg: 2.59
Over 2.5 goals 57% League avg: 49%
Both teams to score 57% League avg: 53%
Whoever hosts wins 71% League avg: 49%
Avg. total corners 12.33 League avg: 10.53
Avg. total cards 3.67 League avg: 4.95
Bahia avg. goals 1.57 League avg: 1.29
Atletico Mineiro avg. goals 1.14 League avg: 1.29

Biggest win: Atletico Mineiro 3–0 Bahia (05 Nov 25).

Bahia vs Atletico Mineiro head to head: in the previous 7 meetings, Bahia have won 3 times, Atletico Mineiro have won 2 times and 2 ended in a draw. Bahia scored 11 goals and Atletico Mineiro scored 8 goals in these matches. The latest meeting, on 21 Jul 2026, ended 1-1 at Atletico Mineiro. Across these matches, both teams scored in 4 of 7 and 4 had over 2.5 goals. Bahia kept 1 clean sheet and Atletico Mineiro kept 2.

How they play

Each line runs across the 20 clubs of the league, from up to the last 19 league games of each. A marker at either end means the most or least of that measure.

Bahia
  • Crosses and headers
  • Selective shooters
Atletico Mineiro
  • Selective shooters
  • Possession
    Cedes the ballKeeps the ball
    54% 7th of 20 50% 10th of 20
  • Shot selection
    Shoots on sightWaits for the chance
    0.11 xG a shot 2nd of 20 0.10 xG a shot 4th of 20
  • Set pieces
    Open playSet pieces
    25% of xG 9th of 20 25% of xG 11th of 20
  • Route to goal
    On the groundCrosses and headers
    26% of shots 1st of 20 19% of shots 13th of 20

Where they differ

  • Bahia go more through the air than Atletico Mineiro, 26% of shots against 19%.

Ball Stats (Last 10 games)

Bahia Atletico Mineiro
16 (1.6 avg) Goals 12 (1.2 avg)
128 (12.8 avg) Total Shots 146 (14.6 avg)
40 (4.0 avg) Shots on Target 54 (5.4 avg)
32 (3.2 avg) Blocked Shots 32 (3.2 avg)
56 (5.6 avg) Corners 58 (5.8 avg)
813 (90.3 avg) Attacks 802 (89.1 avg)
416 (46.2 avg) Dangerous Attacks 456 (50.7 avg)
93 (9.3 avg) Key Passes 107 (11.9 avg)
4526 (452.6 avg) Passes 5054 (505.4 avg)
3840 (85%) Pass Accuracy 4371 (86%)
51% Ball Possession 51%

Disciplinary/Tackles (Last 10 games)

Bahia Atletico Mineiro
1 (0.1 avg) Red Cards 1 (0.1 avg)
24 (2.4 avg) Yellow Cards 16 (1.6 avg)
156 (15.6 avg) Tackles 145 (14.5 avg)
141 (14.1 avg) Fouls 122 (12.2 avg)
11 (1.2 avg) Offsides 20 (2.0 avg)
494 (49.4 avg) Duels Won 407 (45.2 avg)
138 (13.8 avg) Aerial Duels Won 95 (10.6 avg)

Previous Game Statistics (Last 10)

Bahia

1.5Goals
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 1 (10%)
  • Over · 9 (90%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 3 (30%)
  • Over · 7 (70%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 6 (60%)
  • Over · 4 (40%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 3 (30%)
  • Over · 7 (70%)
CS
  • Yes · 1 (10%)
  • No · 9 (90%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 7 (70%)
  • No · 3 (30%)

Atletico Mineiro

1.5Goals
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 1 (10%)
  • Over · 9 (90%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 6 (60%)
  • Over · 4 (40%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 7 (70%)
  • Over · 3 (30%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 3 (30%)
  • Over · 7 (70%)
CS
  • Yes · 2 (20%)
  • No · 8 (80%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 5 (50%)
  • No · 5 (50%)