Birmingham vs Cardiff

Tue 29 Dec, 20:00 UTC · Matchweek 24 · probabilities and historical statistics

Predicted outcome

Birmingham win · Most likely 61.5%
Draw 21.1%
Cardiff win 17.4%

Event markets

Both teams to score 61%Avg 56%
Over 1.5 goals 84%Avg 75%
Over 2.5 goals 63%Avg 51%
Birmingham clean sheet 32%Avg 28%
Cardiff clean sheet 11%Avg 22%
Over 8.5 corners 77%Avg 66%
Over 9.5 corners 66%Avg 54%
Over 2.5 cards 73%Avg 72%
Over 3.5 cards 52%Avg 50%

This match League average

Predicted Score

2-19.8%
2-08.6%
1-08.0%

Team comparison

Attack Defense Form Discipline Cleansheets
  • Birmingham
  • Cardiff

Did you know?

  • Cardiff have won just 0 of their last 10 away matches.
  • Birmingham's matches have gone over 2.5 goals in 8 of their last 10.
  • Birmingham have won 7 of their last 10 matches (all competitions).
  • Both teams have scored in 7 of Cardiff's last 10 matches.

H2H

All 7 meetings on file.

DateHomeScoreAway
24 Oct 26 Cardiff 1–0 Birmingham
10 Apr 24 Birmingham 0–1 Cardiff
13 Dec 23 Cardiff 0–1 Birmingham
14 Feb 23 Birmingham 0–2 Cardiff
13 Aug 22 Cardiff 1–0 Birmingham
30 Apr 22 Cardiff 1–1 Birmingham
11 Dec 21 Birmingham 2–2 Cardiff
7meetings
  • Birmingham win · 1 (14%)
  • Draw · 2 (29%)
  • Cardiff win · 4 (57%)
Avg. total goals 1.71 League avg: 2.61
Over 2.5 goals 14% League avg: 51%
Both teams to score 29% League avg: 56%
Whoever hosts wins 29% League avg: 43%
Avg. total corners 8.00 League avg: 10.31
Avg. total cards 4.43 League avg: 3.82
Birmingham avg. goals 0.57 League avg: 1.31
Cardiff avg. goals 1.14 League avg: 1.31

Biggest win: Birmingham 0–2 Cardiff (14 Feb 23).

Birmingham vs Cardiff head to head: in the previous 7 meetings, Birmingham have won once, Cardiff have won 4 times and 2 ended in a draw. Birmingham scored 4 goals and Cardiff scored 8 goals in these matches. The latest meeting, on 24 Oct 2026, was won 1-0 by Cardiff, at home against Birmingham. Across these matches, both teams scored in 2 of 7 and 1 had over 2.5 goals. Birmingham kept 1 clean sheet and Cardiff kept 4.

How they play

Each line runs across the 24 clubs of the league, from up to the last 19 league games of each. A marker at either end means the most or least of that measure.

Birmingham
  • Selective shooters
Cardiff
  • Keeps the ball
  • Possession
    Cedes the ballKeeps the ball
    51% 10th of 24 60% 1st of 24
  • Shot selection
    Shoots on sightWaits for the chance
    0.12 xG a shot 3rd of 24 0.11 xG a shot 9th of 24
  • Set pieces
    Open playSet pieces
    32% of xG 9th of 24 23% of xG 15th of 24
  • Route to goal
    On the groundCrosses and headers
    21% of shots 8th of 24 17% of shots 13th of 24

Where they differ

  • Cardiff see much more of the ball than Birmingham, 60% against 51%.

Ball Stats (Last 10 games)

Birmingham Cardiff
21 (2.1 avg) Goals 21 (2.1 avg)
156 (15.6 avg) Total Shots 171 (17.1 avg)
61 (6.1 avg) Shots on Target 67 (6.7 avg)
42 (4.2 avg) Blocked Shots 53 (5.3 avg)
51 (5.1 avg) Corners 56 (5.6 avg)
793 (88.1 avg) Attacks 976 (97.6 avg)
401 (44.6 avg) Dangerous Attacks 510 (51.0 avg)
93 (10.3 avg) Key Passes 114 (12.7 avg)
4236 (423.6 avg) Passes 4753 (475.3 avg)
3248 (77%) Pass Accuracy 3949 (83%)
52% Ball Possession 57%

Disciplinary/Tackles (Last 10 games)

Birmingham Cardiff
0 (0.0 avg) Red Cards 1 (0.1 avg)
21 (2.1 avg) Yellow Cards 18 (1.8 avg)
151 (15.1 avg) Tackles 136 (13.6 avg)
114 (11.4 avg) Fouls 91 (9.1 avg)
19 (1.9 avg) Offsides 23 (2.3 avg)
436 (48.4 avg) Duels Won 438 (48.7 avg)
165 (18.3 avg) Aerial Duels Won 122 (13.6 avg)

Previous Game Statistics (Last 10)

Birmingham

1.5Goals
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 3 (33%)
  • Over · 6 (67%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 5 (56%)
  • Over · 4 (44%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 7 (70%)
  • Over · 3 (30%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 6 (67%)
  • Over · 3 (33%)
CS
  • Yes · 4 (40%)
  • No · 6 (60%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 5 (50%)
  • No · 5 (50%)

Cardiff

1.5Goals
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 3 (33%)
  • Over · 6 (67%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 3 (30%)
  • Over · 7 (70%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (44%)
  • Over · 5 (56%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (44%)
  • Over · 5 (56%)
CS
  • Yes · 1 (10%)
  • No · 9 (90%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 7 (70%)
  • No · 3 (30%)