Birmingham vs Stoke

Sat 06 Feb, 15:00 UTC · Matchweek 30 · probabilities and historical statistics

Predicted outcome

Birmingham win · Most likely 59.8%
Draw 23.5%
Stoke win 16.7%

Event markets

Both teams to score 52%Avg 56%
Over 1.5 goals 76%Avg 75%
Over 2.5 goals 52%Avg 51%
Birmingham clean sheet 40%Avg 28%
Stoke clean sheet 15%Avg 22%
Over 8.5 corners 74%Avg 66%
Over 9.5 corners 63%Avg 54%
Over 2.5 cards 78%Avg 72%
Over 3.5 cards 59%Avg 50%

This match League average

Predicted Score

1-011.4%
2-010.6%
2-110.0%

Team comparison

Attack Defense Form Discipline Cleansheets
  • Birmingham
  • Stoke

Did you know?

  • Stoke have outscored their xG by 0.62 goals per game over their last 10. Finishing that hot rarely keeps up.
  • Birmingham's matches have gone over 2.5 goals in 8 of their last 10.
  • Stoke's matches have had over 9.5 corners in 7 of their last 9 (corner data on file).
  • Birmingham have won 7 of their last 10 matches (all competitions).

H2H

All 8 meetings on file.

DateHomeScoreAway
24 Jan 26 Birmingham 1–1 Stoke
13 Sep 25 Stoke 1–0 Birmingham
20 Jan 24 Stoke 1–2 Birmingham
26 Dec 23 Birmingham 1–3 Stoke
10 Apr 23 Birmingham 0–0 Stoke
05 Nov 22 Stoke 1–2 Birmingham
19 Feb 22 Stoke 2–2 Birmingham
14 Aug 21 Birmingham 0–0 Stoke
8meetings
  • Birmingham win · 2 (25%)
  • Draw · 4 (50%)
  • Stoke win · 2 (25%)
Avg. total goals 2.12 League avg: 2.61
Over 2.5 goals 50% League avg: 51%
Both teams to score 62% League avg: 56%
Whoever hosts wins 12% League avg: 43%
Avg. total corners 10.75 League avg: 10.31
Avg. total cards 3.38 League avg: 3.82
Birmingham avg. goals 1.00 League avg: 1.31
Stoke avg. goals 1.12 League avg: 1.31

Biggest win: Birmingham 1–3 Stoke (26 Dec 23).

Birmingham vs Stoke head to head: in the previous 8 meetings, Birmingham have won 2 times, Stoke have won 2 times and 4 ended in a draw. Birmingham scored 8 goals and Stoke scored 9 goals in these matches. The latest meeting, on 24 Jan 2026, ended 1-1 at Birmingham. Across these matches, both teams scored in 5 of 8 and 4 had over 2.5 goals. Birmingham kept 2 clean sheets and Stoke kept 3.

How they play

Each line runs across the 24 clubs of the league, from up to the last 19 league games of each. A marker at either end means the most or least of that measure.

Birmingham
  • Selective shooters
Stoke
  • Shoots on sight
  • Cedes possession
  • Possession
    Cedes the ballKeeps the ball
    51% 10th of 24 47% 18th of 24
  • Shot selection
    Shoots on sightWaits for the chance
    0.12 xG a shot 3rd of 24 0.09 xG a shot 22nd of 24
  • Set pieces
    Open playSet pieces
    32% of xG 9th of 24 32% of xG 10th of 24
  • Route to goal
    On the groundCrosses and headers
    21% of shots 8th of 24 19% of shots 11th of 24

Where they differ

  • Birmingham wait for better chances than Stoke, 0.12 xG a shot against 0.09.
  • Birmingham see much more of the ball than Stoke, 51% against 47%.

Ball Stats (Last 10 games)

Birmingham Stoke
21 (2.1 avg) Goals 16 (1.6 avg)
156 (15.6 avg) Total Shots 115 (11.5 avg)
61 (6.1 avg) Shots on Target 37 (3.7 avg)
42 (4.2 avg) Blocked Shots 25 (2.5 avg)
51 (5.1 avg) Corners 52 (5.2 avg)
793 (88.1 avg) Attacks 783 (78.3 avg)
401 (44.6 avg) Dangerous Attacks 358 (35.8 avg)
93 (10.3 avg) Key Passes 89 (8.9 avg)
4236 (423.6 avg) Passes 3839 (383.9 avg)
3248 (77%) Pass Accuracy 3015 (79%)
52% Ball Possession 47%

Disciplinary/Tackles (Last 10 games)

Birmingham Stoke
0 (0.0 avg) Red Cards 1 (0.1 avg)
21 (2.1 avg) Yellow Cards 20 (2.0 avg)
151 (15.1 avg) Tackles 154 (15.4 avg)
114 (11.4 avg) Fouls 115 (11.5 avg)
19 (1.9 avg) Offsides 24 (2.4 avg)
436 (48.4 avg) Duels Won 499 (49.9 avg)
165 (18.3 avg) Aerial Duels Won 178 (17.8 avg)

Previous Game Statistics (Last 10)

Birmingham

1.5Goals
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 3 (33%)
  • Over · 6 (67%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 5 (56%)
  • Over · 4 (44%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 7 (70%)
  • Over · 3 (30%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 6 (67%)
  • Over · 3 (33%)
CS
  • Yes · 4 (40%)
  • No · 6 (60%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 5 (50%)
  • No · 5 (50%)

Stoke

1.5Goals
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 1 (11%)
  • Over · 8 (89%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 1 (11%)
  • Over · 8 (89%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 9 (90%)
  • Over · 1 (10%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 2 (22%)
  • Over · 7 (78%)
CS
  • Yes · 3 (30%)
  • No · 7 (70%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 7 (70%)
  • No · 3 (30%)