Bristol City vs Birmingham

Tue 02 Mar, 20:00 UTC · Matchweek 35 · probabilities and historical statistics

Predicted outcome

Bristol City win 31.1%
Draw 28.9%
Birmingham win · Most likely 40.0%

Event markets

Both teams to score 51%Avg 56%
Over 1.5 goals 70%Avg 75%
Over 2.5 goals 44%Avg 51%
Bristol City clean sheet 27%Avg 28%
Birmingham clean sheet 32%Avg 22%
Over 8.5 corners 70%Avg 66%
Over 9.5 corners 58%Avg 54%
Over 2.5 cards 70%Avg 72%
Over 3.5 cards 49%Avg 50%

This match League average

Predicted Score

0-111.0%
1-28.6%
0-27.2%

Team comparison

Attack Defense Form Discipline Cleansheets
  • Bristol City
  • Birmingham

Did you know?

  • Bristol City have underscored their xG by 0.86 goals per game over their last 10. They have created more than the scoreline shows.
  • Bristol City have won just 2 of their last 10 matches.
  • Birmingham's matches have gone over 2.5 goals in 8 of their last 10.
  • Bristol City have won just 3 of their last 10 home matches.

H2H

All 9 meetings on file.

DateHomeScoreAway
22 Aug 26 Birmingham 2–2 Bristol City
25 Apr 26 Birmingham 2–1 Bristol City
25 Oct 25 Bristol City 1–0 Birmingham
29 Dec 23 Birmingham 0–0 Bristol City
19 Aug 23 Bristol City 0–2 Birmingham
14 Jan 23 Bristol City 4–2 Birmingham
08 Oct 22 Birmingham 3–0 Bristol City
05 Mar 22 Bristol City 1–2 Birmingham
02 Nov 21 Birmingham 3–0 Bristol City
9meetings
  • Bristol City win · 2 (22%)
  • Draw · 2 (22%)
  • Birmingham win · 5 (56%)
Avg. total goals 2.78 League avg: 2.61
Over 2.5 goals 67% League avg: 51%
Both teams to score 44% League avg: 56%
Whoever hosts wins 56% League avg: 43%
Avg. total corners 9.00 League avg: 10.31
Avg. total cards 2.89 League avg: 3.82
Bristol City avg. goals 1.00 League avg: 1.31
Birmingham avg. goals 1.78 League avg: 1.31

Biggest win: Birmingham 3–0 Bristol City (08 Oct 22).

Bristol City vs Birmingham head to head: in the previous 9 meetings, Bristol City have won 2 times, Birmingham have won 5 times and 2 ended in a draw. Bristol City scored 9 goals and Birmingham scored 16 goals in these matches. The latest meeting, on 22 Aug 2026, ended 2-2 at Birmingham. Across these matches, both teams scored in 4 of 9 and 6 had over 2.5 goals. Bristol City kept 2 clean sheets and Birmingham kept 4.

How they play

Each line runs across the 24 clubs of the league, from up to the last 19 league games of each. A marker at either end means the most or least of that measure.

Bristol City
  • Crosses and headers
  • Cedes possession
  • Selective shooters
Birmingham
  • Selective shooters
  • Possession
    Cedes the ballKeeps the ball
    46% 19th of 24 51% 10th of 24
  • Shot selection
    Shoots on sightWaits for the chance
    0.11 xG a shot 7th of 24 0.12 xG a shot 3rd of 24
  • Set pieces
    Open playSet pieces
    32% of xG 8th of 24 32% of xG 9th of 24
  • Route to goal
    On the groundCrosses and headers
    25% of shots 2nd of 24 21% of shots 8th of 24

Where they differ

  • Birmingham see much more of the ball than Bristol City, 51% against 46%.

Ball Stats (Last 10 games)

Bristol City Birmingham
7 (0.7 avg) Goals 21 (2.1 avg)
138 (13.8 avg) Total Shots 156 (15.6 avg)
43 (4.3 avg) Shots on Target 61 (6.1 avg)
39 (3.9 avg) Blocked Shots 42 (4.2 avg)
58 (5.8 avg) Corners 51 (5.1 avg)
780 (78.0 avg) Attacks 793 (88.1 avg)
429 (42.9 avg) Dangerous Attacks 401 (44.6 avg)
98 (9.8 avg) Key Passes 93 (10.3 avg)
3843 (384.3 avg) Passes 4236 (423.6 avg)
2947 (77%) Pass Accuracy 3248 (77%)
47% Ball Possession 52%

Disciplinary/Tackles (Last 10 games)

Bristol City Birmingham
0 (0.0 avg) Red Cards 0 (0.0 avg)
13 (1.3 avg) Yellow Cards 21 (2.1 avg)
165 (16.5 avg) Tackles 151 (15.1 avg)
112 (11.2 avg) Fouls 114 (11.4 avg)
17 (1.9 avg) Offsides 19 (1.9 avg)
482 (48.2 avg) Duels Won 436 (48.4 avg)
186 (18.6 avg) Aerial Duels Won 165 (18.3 avg)

Previous Game Statistics (Last 10)

Bristol City

1.5Goals
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 3 (33%)
  • Over · 6 (67%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 6 (60%)
  • Over · 4 (40%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (44%)
  • Over · 5 (56%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 7 (70%)
  • Over · 3 (30%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (44%)
  • Over · 5 (56%)
CS
  • Yes · 2 (20%)
  • No · 8 (80%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 4 (40%)
  • No · 6 (60%)

Birmingham

1.5Goals
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 3 (33%)
  • Over · 6 (67%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 5 (56%)
  • Over · 4 (44%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 7 (70%)
  • Over · 3 (30%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 6 (67%)
  • Over · 3 (33%)
CS
  • Yes · 4 (40%)
  • No · 6 (60%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 5 (50%)
  • No · 5 (50%)