Bristol City vs Middlesbrough

Fri 05 Feb, 20:00 UTC · Matchweek 30 · probabilities and historical statistics

Predicted outcome

Bristol City win 23.3%
Draw 26.0%
Middlesbrough win · Most likely 50.7%

Event markets

Both teams to score 54%Avg 56%
Over 1.5 goals 75%Avg 75%
Over 2.5 goals 51%Avg 51%
Bristol City clean sheet 19%Avg 28%
Middlesbrough clean sheet 34%Avg 22%
Over 8.5 corners 71%Avg 66%
Over 9.5 corners 59%Avg 54%
Over 2.5 cards 61%Avg 72%
Over 3.5 cards 39%Avg 50%

This match League average

Predicted Score

0-110.7%
1-29.7%
0-28.8%

Team comparison

Attack Defense Form Discipline Cleansheets
  • Bristol City
  • Middlesbrough

Did you know?

  • Bristol City have underscored their xG by 0.85 goals per game over their last 9. They have created more than the scoreline shows.
  • Bristol City have lost to Middlesbrough just once in their last 10 meetings.
  • Bristol City have won just 2 of their last 10 matches.
  • Both teams have scored in 8 of the last 10 meetings between these two.

H2H

All 10 meetings on file.

DateHomeScoreAway
14 Mar 26 Middlesbrough 1–1 Bristol City
20 Dec 25 Bristol City 2–0 Middlesbrough
21 Feb 25 Bristol City 2–1 Middlesbrough
19 Oct 24 Middlesbrough 0–2 Bristol City
10 Feb 24 Middlesbrough 1–2 Bristol City
25 Nov 23 Bristol City 3–2 Middlesbrough
10 Apr 23 Bristol City 2–2 Middlesbrough
05 Nov 22 Middlesbrough 1–1 Bristol City
19 Feb 22 Bristol City 2–1 Middlesbrough
14 Aug 21 Middlesbrough 2–1 Bristol City
10meetings
  • Bristol City win · 6 (60%)
  • Draw · 3 (30%)
  • Middlesbrough win · 1 (10%)
Avg. total goals 2.90 League avg: 2.61
Over 2.5 goals 60% League avg: 51%
Both teams to score 80% League avg: 56%
Whoever hosts wins 50% League avg: 43%
Avg. total corners 9.50 League avg: 10.31
Avg. total cards 3.90 League avg: 3.82
Bristol City avg. goals 1.80 League avg: 1.31
Middlesbrough avg. goals 1.10 League avg: 1.31

Biggest win: Bristol City 2–0 Middlesbrough (20 Dec 25).

Bristol City vs Middlesbrough head to head: in the previous 10 meetings, Bristol City have won 6 times, Middlesbrough have won once and 3 ended in a draw. Bristol City scored 18 goals and Middlesbrough scored 11 goals in these matches. The latest meeting, on 14 Mar 2026, ended 1-1 at Middlesbrough. Bristol City are unbeaten in the last 9 meetings. Across these matches, both teams scored in 8 of 10 and 6 had over 2.5 goals. Bristol City kept 2 clean sheets.

How they play

Each line runs across the 24 clubs of the league, from up to the last 19 league games of each. A marker at either end means the most or least of that measure.

Bristol City
  • Cedes possession
  • Crosses and headers
Middlesbrough
  • Keeps the ball
  • Plays on the floor
  • Possession
    Cedes the ballKeeps the ball
    46% 21st of 24 59% 2nd of 24
  • Shot selection
    Shoots on sightWaits for the chance
    0.11 xG a shot 11th of 24 0.11 xG a shot 9th of 24
  • Set pieces
    Open playSet pieces
    29% of xG 9th of 24 24% of xG 13th of 24
  • Route to goal
    On the groundCrosses and headers
    23% of shots 4th of 24 14% of shots 22nd of 24

Where they differ

  • Middlesbrough see much more of the ball than Bristol City, 59% against 46%.
  • Bristol City go more through the air than Middlesbrough, 23% of shots against 14%.

Ball Stats (Last 10 games)

Bristol City Middlesbrough
7 (0.7 avg) Goals 23 (2.3 avg)
138 (13.8 avg) Total Shots 199 (19.9 avg)
43 (4.3 avg) Shots on Target 70 (7.0 avg)
39 (3.9 avg) Blocked Shots 64 (6.4 avg)
58 (5.8 avg) Corners 63 (6.3 avg)
780 (78.0 avg) Attacks 773 (85.9 avg)
429 (42.9 avg) Dangerous Attacks 485 (53.9 avg)
87 (9.7 avg) Key Passes 158 (15.8 avg)
3843 (384.3 avg) Passes 5158 (515.8 avg)
2947 (77%) Pass Accuracy 4456 (86%)
47% Ball Possession 59%

Disciplinary/Tackles (Last 10 games)

Bristol City Middlesbrough
0 (0.0 avg) Red Cards 0 (0.0 avg)
13 (1.3 avg) Yellow Cards 12 (1.2 avg)
165 (16.5 avg) Tackles 157 (15.7 avg)
112 (11.2 avg) Fouls 88 (8.8 avg)
17 (1.9 avg) Offsides 26 (2.6 avg)
439 (48.8 avg) Duels Won 435 (43.5 avg)
168 (18.7 avg) Aerial Duels Won 125 (12.5 avg)

Previous Game Statistics (Last 10)

Bristol City

1.5Goals
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 3 (33%)
  • Over · 6 (67%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 6 (60%)
  • Over · 4 (40%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (44%)
  • Over · 5 (56%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 7 (70%)
  • Over · 3 (30%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (44%)
  • Over · 5 (56%)
CS
  • Yes · 2 (20%)
  • No · 8 (80%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 4 (40%)
  • No · 6 (60%)

Middlesbrough

1.5Goals
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 3 (30%)
  • Over · 7 (70%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
CS
  • Yes · 3 (30%)
  • No · 7 (70%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 6 (60%)
  • No · 4 (40%)