Bristol City vs Stoke

Tue 29 Dec, 19:45 UTC · Matchweek 24 · probabilities and historical statistics

Predicted outcome

Bristol City win · Most likely 42.1%
Draw 28.9%
Stoke win 29.0%

Event markets

Both teams to score 50%Avg 56%
Over 1.5 goals 70%Avg 75%
Over 2.5 goals 44%Avg 51%
Bristol City clean sheet 34%Avg 28%
Stoke clean sheet 26%Avg 22%
Over 8.5 corners 67%Avg 66%
Over 9.5 corners 54%Avg 54%
Over 2.5 cards 75%Avg 72%
Over 3.5 cards 55%Avg 50%

This match League average

Predicted Score

1-011.5%
2-18.8%
2-07.7%

Team comparison

Attack Defense Form Discipline Cleansheets
  • Bristol City
  • Stoke

Did you know?

  • Bristol City have underscored their xG by 0.86 goals per game over their last 10. They have created more than the scoreline shows.
  • Bristol City have won just 2 of their last 10 matches.
  • Stoke beat Bristol City 5-1 in the biggest recent win between these two.
  • Stoke's matches have had over 9.5 corners in 7 of their last 9 (corner data on file).

H2H

All 11 meetings on file.

DateHomeScoreAway
24 Oct 26 Stoke 0–0 Bristol City
02 May 26 Bristol City 2–0 Stoke
01 Nov 25 Stoke 5–1 Bristol City
12 Feb 25 Bristol City 2–0 Stoke
22 Oct 24 Stoke 2–2 Bristol City
04 May 24 Stoke 4–0 Bristol City
30 Sep 23 Bristol City 2–3 Stoke
07 Apr 23 Stoke 1–2 Bristol City
17 Dec 22 Bristol City 1–2 Stoke
15 Apr 22 Stoke 0–1 Bristol City
24 Nov 21 Bristol City 1–0 Stoke
11meetings
  • Bristol City win · 5 (45%)
  • Draw · 2 (18%)
  • Stoke win · 4 (36%)
Avg. total goals 2.82 League avg: 2.61
Over 2.5 goals 55% League avg: 51%
Both teams to score 45% League avg: 56%
Whoever hosts wins 45% League avg: 43%
Avg. total corners 11.00 League avg: 10.31
Avg. total cards 3.45 League avg: 3.82
Bristol City avg. goals 1.27 League avg: 1.31
Stoke avg. goals 1.55 League avg: 1.31

Biggest win: Stoke 5–1 Bristol City (01 Nov 25).

Bristol City vs Stoke head to head: in the previous 11 meetings, Bristol City have won 5 times, Stoke have won 4 times and 2 ended in a draw. Bristol City scored 14 goals and Stoke scored 17 goals in these matches. The latest meeting, on 24 Oct 2026, ended 0-0 at Stoke. Across these matches, both teams scored in 5 of 11 and 6 had over 2.5 goals. Bristol City kept 5 clean sheets and Stoke kept 2.

How they play

Each line runs across the 24 clubs of the league, from up to the last 19 league games of each. A marker at either end means the most or least of that measure.

Bristol City
  • Crosses and headers
  • Cedes possession
  • Selective shooters
Stoke
  • Shoots on sight
  • Cedes possession
  • Possession
    Cedes the ballKeeps the ball
    46% 19th of 24 47% 18th of 24
  • Shot selection
    Shoots on sightWaits for the chance
    0.11 xG a shot 7th of 24 0.09 xG a shot 22nd of 24
  • Set pieces
    Open playSet pieces
    32% of xG 8th of 24 32% of xG 10th of 24
  • Route to goal
    On the groundCrosses and headers
    25% of shots 2nd of 24 19% of shots 11th of 24

Where they differ

  • Bristol City wait for better chances than Stoke, 0.11 xG a shot against 0.09.
  • Bristol City go more through the air than Stoke, 25% of shots against 19%.

Ball Stats (Last 10 games)

Bristol City Stoke
7 (0.7 avg) Goals 16 (1.6 avg)
138 (13.8 avg) Total Shots 115 (11.5 avg)
43 (4.3 avg) Shots on Target 37 (3.7 avg)
39 (3.9 avg) Blocked Shots 25 (2.5 avg)
58 (5.8 avg) Corners 52 (5.2 avg)
780 (78.0 avg) Attacks 783 (78.3 avg)
429 (42.9 avg) Dangerous Attacks 358 (35.8 avg)
98 (9.8 avg) Key Passes 89 (8.9 avg)
3843 (384.3 avg) Passes 3839 (383.9 avg)
2947 (77%) Pass Accuracy 3015 (79%)
47% Ball Possession 47%

Disciplinary/Tackles (Last 10 games)

Bristol City Stoke
0 (0.0 avg) Red Cards 1 (0.1 avg)
13 (1.3 avg) Yellow Cards 20 (2.0 avg)
165 (16.5 avg) Tackles 154 (15.4 avg)
112 (11.2 avg) Fouls 115 (11.5 avg)
17 (1.9 avg) Offsides 24 (2.4 avg)
482 (48.2 avg) Duels Won 499 (49.9 avg)
186 (18.6 avg) Aerial Duels Won 178 (17.8 avg)

Previous Game Statistics (Last 10)

Bristol City

1.5Goals
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 3 (33%)
  • Over · 6 (67%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 6 (60%)
  • Over · 4 (40%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (44%)
  • Over · 5 (56%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 7 (70%)
  • Over · 3 (30%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (44%)
  • Over · 5 (56%)
CS
  • Yes · 2 (20%)
  • No · 8 (80%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 4 (40%)
  • No · 6 (60%)

Stoke

1.5Goals
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 1 (11%)
  • Over · 8 (89%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 1 (11%)
  • Over · 8 (89%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 9 (90%)
  • Over · 1 (10%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 2 (22%)
  • Over · 7 (78%)
CS
  • Yes · 3 (30%)
  • No · 7 (70%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 7 (70%)
  • No · 3 (30%)