Burton Albion vs Notts County

Sat 06 Feb, 15:00 UTC · Matchweek 29 · probabilities and historical statistics

Predicted outcome

Burton Albion win · Most likely 40.1%
Draw 30.4%
Notts County win 29.5%

Limited history for Notts County. Fewer past top flight matches on record means these figures are less reliable than usual.

Event markets

Both teams to score 48%Avg 53%
Over 1.5 goals 67%Avg 73%
Over 2.5 goals 41%Avg 51%
Burton Albion clean sheet 35%Avg 30%
Notts County clean sheet 28%Avg 24%
Over 8.5 corners 66%Avg 65%
Over 9.5 corners 53%Avg 53%
Over 2.5 cards 67%Avg 73%
Over 3.5 cards 45%Avg 53%

This match League average

Predicted Score

1-011.8%
2-18.4%
2-07.6%

Team comparison

Attack Defense Form Discipline Cleansheets
  • Burton Albion
  • Notts County

Did you know?

  • Notts County's matches have gone over 1.5 goals in 9 of their last 10.
  • Burton Albion have won just 2 of their last 10 matches.
  • Notts County's matches have stayed under 2.5 goals in 8 of their last 10.
  • Burton Albion have won just 3 of their last 10 home matches.

H2H

All 1 meeting on file.

DateHomeScoreAway
29 Aug 26 Notts County 2–1 Burton Albion
1meetings
  • Burton Albion win · 0 (0%)
  • Draw · 0 (0%)
  • Notts County win · 1 (100%)
Avg. total goals 3.00 League avg: 2.62
Over 2.5 goals 100% League avg: 51%
Both teams to score 100% League avg: 53%
Whoever hosts wins 100% League avg: 44%
Avg. total corners 8.00 League avg: 10.48
Avg. total cards 6.00 League avg: 3.78
Burton Albion avg. goals 1.00 League avg: 1.31
Notts County avg. goals 2.00 League avg: 1.31

Biggest win: Notts County 2–1 Burton Albion (29 Aug 26).

Burton Albion vs Notts County head to head: in their only meeting on file, Burton Albion have not won, Notts County have won once and none ended in a draw. Burton Albion scored 1 goal and Notts County scored 2 goals in that match. The latest meeting, on 29 Aug 2026, was won 2-1 by Notts County, at home against Burton Albion. Both teams scored. Neither side has kept a clean sheet against the other.

How they play

Each line runs across the 24 clubs of the league, from up to the last 19 league games of each. A marker at either end means the most or least of that measure.

Burton Albion
  • Shoots on sight
  • Plays on the floor
  • Set piece heavy
Notts County
  • Cedes possession
  • Shoots on sight
  • Plays on the floor
  • Possession
    Cedes the ballKeeps the ball
    47% 16th of 24 44% 21st of 24
  • Shot selection
    Shoots on sightWaits for the chance
    0.09 xG a shot 20th of 24 0.09 xG a shot 21st of 24
  • Set pieces
    Open playSet pieces
    35% of xG 7th of 24 27% of xG 15th of 24
  • Route to goal
    On the groundCrosses and headers
    15% of shots 19th of 24 15% of shots 18th of 24

Where they differ

  • Burton Albion get more of their chances from set pieces than Notts County, 35% against 27%.

Ball Stats (Last 10 games)

Burton Albion Notts County
10 (1.0 avg) Goals 10 (1.0 avg)
123 (12.3 avg) Total Shots 120 (12.0 avg)
36 (3.6 avg) Shots on Target 33 (3.3 avg)
40 (4.0 avg) Blocked Shots 38 (3.8 avg)
50 (5.0 avg) Corners 45 (4.5 avg)
737 (73.7 avg) Attacks 844 (84.4 avg)
380 (38.0 avg) Dangerous Attacks 357 (35.7 avg)
81 (8.1 avg) Key Passes 83 (8.3 avg)
3772 (377.2 avg) Passes 3667 (366.7 avg)
2760 (73%) Pass Accuracy 2770 (76%)
49% Ball Possession 46%

Disciplinary/Tackles (Last 10 games)

Burton Albion Notts County
0 (0.0 avg) Red Cards 0 (0.0 avg)
16 (1.6 avg) Yellow Cards 28 (2.8 avg)
171 (17.1 avg) Tackles 181 (18.1 avg)
119 (11.9 avg) Fouls 147 (14.7 avg)
8 (0.8 avg) Offsides 13 (1.4 avg)
551 (55.1 avg) Duels Won 516 (51.6 avg)
188 (18.8 avg) Aerial Duels Won 152 (15.2 avg)

Previous Game Statistics (Last 10)

Burton Albion

1.5Goals
  • Under · 3 (30%)
  • Over · 7 (70%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 6 (60%)
  • Over · 4 (40%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
CS
  • Yes · 2 (20%)
  • No · 8 (80%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 5 (50%)
  • No · 5 (50%)

Notts County

1.5Goals
  • Under · 1 (10%)
  • Over · 9 (90%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 8 (80%)
  • Over · 2 (20%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 3 (30%)
  • Over · 7 (70%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 10 (100%)
  • Over · 0 (0%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
CS
  • Yes · 2 (20%)
  • No · 8 (80%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 5 (50%)
  • No · 5 (50%)