Cardiff vs Bristol City

Sat 03 Apr, 14:00 UTC · Matchweek 40 · probabilities and historical statistics

Predicted outcome

Cardiff win · Most likely 52.1%
Draw 22.0%
Bristol City win 25.9%

Event markets

Both teams to score 70%Avg 56%
Over 1.5 goals 88%Avg 75%
Over 2.5 goals 70%Avg 51%
Cardiff clean sheet 22%Avg 28%
Bristol City clean sheet 12%Avg 22%
Over 8.5 corners 73%Avg 66%
Over 9.5 corners 61%Avg 54%
Over 2.5 cards 66%Avg 72%
Over 3.5 cards 44%Avg 50%

This match League average

Predicted Score

2-18.9%
3-16.3%
2-05.9%

Team comparison

Attack Defense Form Discipline Cleansheets
  • Cardiff
  • Bristol City

Did you know?

  • Bristol City have underscored their xG by 0.86 goals per game over their last 10. They have created more than the scoreline shows.
  • Bristol City have won just 2 of their last 10 matches.
  • Both teams have scored in 7 of Cardiff's last 10 matches.
  • Cardiff's matches have gone over 2.5 goals in 7 of their last 10.

H2H

All 8 meetings on file.

DateHomeScoreAway
15 Feb 25 Cardiff 1–1 Bristol City
06 Oct 24 Bristol City 1–1 Cardiff
02 Mar 24 Bristol City 0–1 Cardiff
28 Oct 23 Cardiff 2–0 Bristol City
04 Mar 23 Cardiff 2–0 Bristol City
21 Aug 22 Bristol City 2–0 Cardiff
22 Jan 22 Bristol City 3–2 Cardiff
28 Aug 21 Cardiff 1–2 Bristol City
8meetings
  • Cardiff win · 3 (38%)
  • Draw · 2 (25%)
  • Bristol City win · 3 (38%)
Avg. total goals 2.38 League avg: 2.62
Over 2.5 goals 25% League avg: 51%
Both teams to score 50% League avg: 56%
Whoever hosts wins 50% League avg: 43%
Avg. total corners 9.50 League avg: 10.31
Avg. total cards 3.62 League avg: 3.82
Cardiff avg. goals 1.25 League avg: 1.31
Bristol City avg. goals 1.12 League avg: 1.31

Biggest win: Cardiff 2–0 Bristol City (28 Oct 23).

Cardiff vs Bristol City head to head: in the previous 8 meetings, Cardiff have won 3 times, Bristol City have won 3 times and 2 ended in a draw. Cardiff scored 10 goals and Bristol City scored 9 goals in these matches. The latest meeting, on 15 Feb 2025, ended 1-1 at Cardiff. Cardiff are unbeaten in the last 5 meetings. Across these matches, both teams scored in 4 of 8 and 2 had over 2.5 goals. Cardiff kept 3 clean sheets and Bristol City kept 1.

How they play

Each line runs across the 24 clubs of the league, from up to the last 19 league games of each. A marker at either end means the most or least of that measure.

Cardiff
  • Keeps the ball
Bristol City
  • Crosses and headers
  • Cedes possession
  • Selective shooters
  • Possession
    Cedes the ballKeeps the ball
    60% 1st of 24 46% 19th of 24
  • Shot selection
    Shoots on sightWaits for the chance
    0.11 xG a shot 9th of 24 0.11 xG a shot 7th of 24
  • Set pieces
    Open playSet pieces
    23% of xG 15th of 24 32% of xG 9th of 24
  • Route to goal
    On the groundCrosses and headers
    17% of shots 13th of 24 25% of shots 2nd of 24

Where they differ

  • Cardiff see much more of the ball than Bristol City, 60% against 46%.
  • Bristol City go more through the air than Cardiff, 25% of shots against 17%.

Ball Stats (Last 10 games)

Cardiff Bristol City
21 (2.1 avg) Goals 7 (0.7 avg)
171 (17.1 avg) Total Shots 138 (13.8 avg)
67 (6.7 avg) Shots on Target 44 (4.4 avg)
53 (5.3 avg) Blocked Shots 37 (3.7 avg)
56 (5.6 avg) Corners 58 (5.8 avg)
976 (97.6 avg) Attacks 780 (78.0 avg)
510 (51.0 avg) Dangerous Attacks 429 (42.9 avg)
135 (13.5 avg) Key Passes 98 (9.8 avg)
4760 (476.0 avg) Passes 3845 (384.5 avg)
3957 (83%) Pass Accuracy 2950 (77%)
58% Ball Possession 47%

Disciplinary/Tackles (Last 10 games)

Cardiff Bristol City
1 (0.1 avg) Red Cards 0 (0.0 avg)
18 (1.8 avg) Yellow Cards 13 (1.3 avg)
135 (13.5 avg) Tackles 165 (16.5 avg)
91 (9.1 avg) Fouls 112 (11.2 avg)
23 (2.3 avg) Offsides 17 (1.9 avg)
473 (47.3 avg) Duels Won 482 (48.2 avg)
131 (13.1 avg) Aerial Duels Won 186 (18.6 avg)

Previous Game Statistics (Last 10)

Cardiff

1.5Goals
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 3 (33%)
  • Over · 6 (67%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 3 (30%)
  • Over · 7 (70%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (44%)
  • Over · 5 (56%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (44%)
  • Over · 5 (56%)
CS
  • Yes · 1 (10%)
  • No · 9 (90%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 7 (70%)
  • No · 3 (30%)

Bristol City

1.5Goals
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 3 (33%)
  • Over · 6 (67%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 6 (60%)
  • Over · 4 (40%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (44%)
  • Over · 5 (56%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 7 (70%)
  • Over · 3 (30%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (44%)
  • Over · 5 (56%)
CS
  • Yes · 2 (20%)
  • No · 8 (80%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 4 (40%)
  • No · 6 (60%)