Cardiff vs Middlesbrough

Sat 16 Jan, 15:00 UTC · Matchweek 26 · probabilities and historical statistics

Predicted outcome

Cardiff win 32.3%
Draw 22.9%
Middlesbrough win · Most likely 44.8%

Event markets

Both teams to score 71%Avg 56%
Over 1.5 goals 87%Avg 75%
Over 2.5 goals 70%Avg 51%
Cardiff clean sheet 14%Avg 28%
Middlesbrough clean sheet 19%Avg 22%
Over 8.5 corners 77%Avg 66%
Over 9.5 corners 67%Avg 54%
Over 2.5 cards 63%Avg 72%
Over 3.5 cards 41%Avg 50%

This match League average

Predicted Score

1-28.4%
1-35.4%
0-15.1%

Team comparison

Attack Defense Form Discipline Cleansheets
  • Cardiff
  • Middlesbrough

Did you know?

  • Both teams have scored in 7 of Cardiff's last 10 matches.
  • Cardiff's matches have gone over 2.5 goals in 7 of their last 10.
  • Middlesbrough have won just 3 of their last 10 away matches.
  • Middlesbrough have picked up just 0.9 cards per game over their last 10, well below the league average of 1.9.

H2H

All 9 meetings on file.

DateHomeScoreAway
17 Oct 26 Middlesbrough 2–2 Cardiff
04 Jan 25 Middlesbrough 1–1 Cardiff
31 Aug 24 Cardiff 0–2 Middlesbrough
27 Apr 24 Cardiff 1–4 Middlesbrough
03 Oct 23 Middlesbrough 2–0 Cardiff
11 Feb 23 Cardiff 1–3 Middlesbrough
13 Sep 22 Middlesbrough 2–3 Cardiff
27 Apr 22 Middlesbrough 2–0 Cardiff
23 Oct 21 Cardiff 0–2 Middlesbrough
9meetings
  • Cardiff win · 1 (11%)
  • Draw · 2 (22%)
  • Middlesbrough win · 6 (67%)
Avg. total goals 3.11 League avg: 2.62
Over 2.5 goals 44% League avg: 51%
Both teams to score 56% League avg: 56%
Whoever hosts wins 22% League avg: 43%
Avg. total corners 11.33 League avg: 10.31
Avg. total cards 3.22 League avg: 3.82
Cardiff avg. goals 0.89 League avg: 1.31
Middlesbrough avg. goals 2.22 League avg: 1.31

Biggest win: Cardiff 1–4 Middlesbrough (27 Apr 24).

Cardiff vs Middlesbrough head to head: in the previous 9 meetings, Cardiff have won once, Middlesbrough have won 6 times and 2 ended in a draw. Cardiff scored 8 goals and Middlesbrough scored 20 goals in these matches. The latest meeting, on 17 Oct 2026, ended 2-2 at Middlesbrough. Middlesbrough are unbeaten in the last 6 meetings. Across these matches, both teams scored in 5 of 9 and 4 had over 2.5 goals. Middlesbrough kept 4.

How they play

Each line runs across the 24 clubs of the league, from up to the last 19 league games of each. A marker at either end means the most or least of that measure.

Cardiff
  • Keeps the ball
Middlesbrough
  • Keeps the ball
  • Plays on the floor
  • Possession
    Cedes the ballKeeps the ball
    60% 1st of 24 59% 2nd of 24
  • Shot selection
    Shoots on sightWaits for the chance
    0.11 xG a shot 9th of 24 0.11 xG a shot 8th of 24
  • Set pieces
    Open playSet pieces
    23% of xG 15th of 24 23% of xG 14th of 24
  • Route to goal
    On the groundCrosses and headers
    17% of shots 13th of 24 14% of shots 20th of 24

Where they differ

  • Cardiff go more through the air than Middlesbrough, 17% of shots against 14%.

Ball Stats (Last 10 games)

Cardiff Middlesbrough
21 (2.1 avg) Goals 22 (2.2 avg)
171 (17.1 avg) Total Shots 201 (20.1 avg)
67 (6.7 avg) Shots on Target 68 (6.8 avg)
53 (5.3 avg) Blocked Shots 64 (6.4 avg)
56 (5.6 avg) Corners 66 (6.6 avg)
976 (97.6 avg) Attacks 896 (89.6 avg)
510 (51.0 avg) Dangerous Attacks 537 (53.7 avg)
135 (13.5 avg) Key Passes 158 (15.8 avg)
4753 (475.3 avg) Passes 5387 (538.7 avg)
3949 (83%) Pass Accuracy 4678 (87%)
57% Ball Possession 61%

Disciplinary/Tackles (Last 10 games)

Cardiff Middlesbrough
1 (0.1 avg) Red Cards 0 (0.0 avg)
18 (1.8 avg) Yellow Cards 13 (1.3 avg)
136 (13.6 avg) Tackles 155 (15.5 avg)
91 (9.1 avg) Fouls 89 (8.9 avg)
23 (2.3 avg) Offsides 26 (2.6 avg)
473 (47.3 avg) Duels Won 444 (44.4 avg)
131 (13.1 avg) Aerial Duels Won 130 (13.0 avg)

Previous Game Statistics (Last 10)

Cardiff

1.5Goals
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 3 (33%)
  • Over · 6 (67%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 3 (30%)
  • Over · 7 (70%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (44%)
  • Over · 5 (56%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (44%)
  • Over · 5 (56%)
CS
  • Yes · 1 (10%)
  • No · 9 (90%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 7 (70%)
  • No · 3 (30%)

Middlesbrough

1.5Goals
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 2 (22%)
  • Over · 7 (78%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 3 (30%)
  • Over · 7 (70%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (44%)
  • Over · 5 (56%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (44%)
  • Over · 5 (56%)
CS
  • Yes · 3 (30%)
  • No · 7 (70%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 6 (60%)
  • No · 4 (40%)