Cardiff vs Millwall

Sat 26 Dec, 15:00 UTC · Matchweek 23 · probabilities and historical statistics

Predicted outcome

Cardiff win · Most likely 48.2%
Draw 22.9%
Millwall win 28.9%

Event markets

Both teams to score 69%Avg 56%
Over 1.5 goals 86%Avg 75%
Over 2.5 goals 68%Avg 51%
Cardiff clean sheet 21%Avg 28%
Millwall clean sheet 13%Avg 22%
Over 8.5 corners 73%Avg 66%
Over 9.5 corners 61%Avg 54%
Over 2.5 cards 72%Avg 72%
Over 3.5 cards 51%Avg 50%

This match League average

Predicted Score

2-18.8%
3-15.8%
1-05.7%

Team comparison

Attack Defense Form Discipline Cleansheets
  • Cardiff
  • Millwall

Did you know?

  • Millwall's matches have gone over 2.5 goals in 8 of their last 10.
  • Millwall have won just 2 of their last 10 matches.
  • Millwall have conceded in each of their last 6 matches.
  • Whoever has hosted has won 6 of the last 8 meetings between these two.

H2H

All 8 meetings on file.

DateHomeScoreAway
21 Jan 25 Millwall 2–2 Cardiff
01 Oct 24 Cardiff 1–0 Millwall
13 Apr 24 Millwall 3–1 Cardiff
09 Dec 23 Cardiff 1–0 Millwall
21 Jan 23 Cardiff 0–1 Millwall
03 Sep 22 Millwall 2–0 Cardiff
12 Feb 22 Millwall 2–1 Cardiff
21 Aug 21 Cardiff 3–1 Millwall
8meetings
  • Cardiff win · 3 (38%)
  • Draw · 1 (12%)
  • Millwall win · 4 (50%)
Avg. total goals 2.50 League avg: 2.62
Over 2.5 goals 50% League avg: 51%
Both teams to score 50% League avg: 56%
Whoever hosts wins 75% League avg: 43%
Avg. total corners 8.75 League avg: 10.31
Avg. total cards 3.12 League avg: 3.82
Cardiff avg. goals 1.12 League avg: 1.31
Millwall avg. goals 1.38 League avg: 1.31

Biggest win: Millwall 3–1 Cardiff (13 Apr 24).

Cardiff vs Millwall head to head: in the previous 8 meetings, Cardiff have won 3 times, Millwall have won 4 times and 1 ended in a draw. Cardiff scored 9 goals and Millwall scored 11 goals in these matches. The latest meeting, on 21 Jan 2025, ended 2-2 at Millwall. Across these matches, both teams scored in 4 of 8 and 4 had over 2.5 goals. Cardiff kept 2 clean sheets and Millwall kept 2.

How they play

Each line runs across the 24 clubs of the league, from up to the last 19 league games of each. A marker at either end means the most or least of that measure.

Cardiff
  • Keeps the ball
Millwall
  • Selective shooters
  • Set piece heavy
  • Crosses and headers
  • Possession
    Cedes the ballKeeps the ball
    60% 1st of 24 49% 13th of 24
  • Shot selection
    Shoots on sightWaits for the chance
    0.11 xG a shot 9th of 24 0.12 xG a shot 3rd of 24
  • Set pieces
    Open playSet pieces
    23% of xG 15th of 24 35% of xG 6th of 24
  • Route to goal
    On the groundCrosses and headers
    17% of shots 13th of 24 22% of shots 7th of 24

Where they differ

  • Cardiff see much more of the ball than Millwall, 60% against 49%.
  • Millwall get more of their chances from set pieces than Cardiff, 35% against 23%.

Ball Stats (Last 10 games)

Cardiff Millwall
21 (2.1 avg) Goals 13 (1.3 avg)
171 (17.1 avg) Total Shots 135 (13.5 avg)
67 (6.7 avg) Shots on Target 40 (4.0 avg)
53 (5.3 avg) Blocked Shots 37 (3.7 avg)
56 (5.6 avg) Corners 50 (5.0 avg)
976 (97.6 avg) Attacks 913 (91.3 avg)
510 (51.0 avg) Dangerous Attacks 491 (49.1 avg)
135 (13.5 avg) Key Passes 99 (9.9 avg)
4760 (476.0 avg) Passes 3530 (353.0 avg)
3957 (83%) Pass Accuracy 2608 (74%)
58% Ball Possession 47%

Disciplinary/Tackles (Last 10 games)

Cardiff Millwall
1 (0.1 avg) Red Cards 0 (0.0 avg)
18 (1.8 avg) Yellow Cards 24 (2.4 avg)
135 (13.5 avg) Tackles 133 (13.3 avg)
91 (9.1 avg) Fouls 123 (12.3 avg)
23 (2.3 avg) Offsides 29 (2.9 avg)
473 (47.3 avg) Duels Won 531 (53.1 avg)
131 (13.1 avg) Aerial Duels Won 243 (24.3 avg)

Previous Game Statistics (Last 10)

Cardiff

1.5Goals
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 3 (33%)
  • Over · 6 (67%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 3 (30%)
  • Over · 7 (70%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (44%)
  • Over · 5 (56%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (44%)
  • Over · 5 (56%)
CS
  • Yes · 1 (10%)
  • No · 9 (90%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 7 (70%)
  • No · 3 (30%)

Millwall

1.5Goals
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 0 (0%)
  • Over · 9 (100%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 3 (33%)
  • Over · 6 (67%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (44%)
  • Over · 5 (56%)
CS
  • Yes · 1 (10%)
  • No · 9 (90%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 6 (60%)
  • No · 4 (40%)