Kilmarnock vs Motherwell

Sat 30 Jan, 15:00 UTC · Matchweek 25 · probabilities and historical statistics

Predicted outcome

Kilmarnock win 33.4%
Draw 24.8%
Motherwell win · Most likely 41.8%

Event markets

Both teams to score 60%Avg 53%
Over 1.5 goals 78%Avg 78%
Over 2.5 goals 56%Avg 56%
Kilmarnock clean sheet 21%Avg 32%
Motherwell clean sheet 25%Avg 21%
Over 8.5 corners 67%Avg 74%
Over 9.5 corners 54%Avg 62%
Over 2.5 cards 75%Avg 76%
Over 3.5 cards 55%Avg 55%

This match League average

Predicted Score

1-28.9%
0-18.6%
0-26.2%

Team comparison

Attack Defense Form Discipline Cleansheets
  • Kilmarnock
  • Motherwell

Did you know?

  • Kilmarnock have underscored their xG by 0.57 goals per game over their last 10. They have created more than the scoreline shows.
  • Kilmarnock have won just 2 of their last 10 matches.
  • Motherwell beat Kilmarnock 4-0 in the biggest recent win between these two.
  • Kilmarnock have conceded in each of their last 6 matches.

H2H

All 15 meetings on file.

DateHomeScoreAway
17 Oct 26 Kilmarnock 3–2 Motherwell
24 Jan 26 Motherwell 4–0 Kilmarnock
22 Nov 25 Kilmarnock 1–3 Motherwell
30 Aug 25 Motherwell 2–2 Kilmarnock
14 May 25 Motherwell 3–0 Kilmarnock
05 Apr 25 Kilmarnock 2–0 Motherwell
08 Jan 25 Kilmarnock 0–0 Motherwell
20 Dec 24 Motherwell 1–1 Kilmarnock
03 Feb 24 Motherwell 1–1 Kilmarnock
04 Nov 23 Kilmarnock 1–0 Motherwell
26 Aug 23 Motherwell 2–1 Kilmarnock
06 May 23 Motherwell 2–0 Kilmarnock
25 Feb 23 Kilmarnock 1–1 Motherwell
23 Dec 22 Motherwell 2–2 Kilmarnock
27 Aug 22 Kilmarnock 2–1 Motherwell
15meetings
  • Kilmarnock win · 4 (27%)
  • Draw · 6 (40%)
  • Motherwell win · 5 (33%)
Avg. total goals 2.73 League avg: 2.87
Over 2.5 goals 53% League avg: 56%
Both teams to score 60% League avg: 53%
Whoever hosts wins 53% League avg: 45%
Avg. total corners 9.73 League avg: 10.63
Avg. total cards 4.47 League avg: 4.00
Kilmarnock avg. goals 1.13 League avg: 1.43
Motherwell avg. goals 1.60 League avg: 1.43

Biggest win: Motherwell 4–0 Kilmarnock (24 Jan 26).

Kilmarnock vs Motherwell head to head: in the previous 15 meetings, Kilmarnock have won 4 times, Motherwell have won 5 times and 6 ended in a draw. Kilmarnock scored 17 goals and Motherwell scored 24 goals in these matches. The latest meeting, on 17 Oct 2026, was won 3-2 by Kilmarnock, at home against Motherwell. Across these matches, both teams scored in 9 of 15 and 8 had over 2.5 goals. Kilmarnock kept 3 clean sheets and Motherwell kept 4.

How they play

Each line runs across the 12 clubs of the league, from up to the last 19 league games of each. A marker at either end means the most or least of that measure.

Kilmarnock
  • Selective shooters
Motherwell
  • Plays on the floor
  • Open play side
  • Keeps the ball
  • Possession
    Cedes the ballKeeps the ball
    47% 8th of 12 53% 4th of 12
  • Shot selection
    Shoots on sightWaits for the chance
    0.12 xG a shot 3rd of 12 0.11 xG a shot 8th of 12
  • Set pieces
    Open playSet pieces
    25% of xG 8th of 12 16% of xG 11th of 12
  • Route to goal
    On the groundCrosses and headers
    18% of shots 6th of 12 12% of shots 12th of 12

Where they differ

  • Kilmarnock go more through the air than Motherwell, 18% of shots against 12%.
  • Kilmarnock wait for better chances than Motherwell, 0.12 xG a shot against 0.11.
  • Motherwell see much more of the ball than Kilmarnock, 53% against 47%.

Ball Stats (Last 10 games)

Kilmarnock Motherwell
9 (0.9 avg) Goals 10 (1.0 avg)
128 (12.8 avg) Total Shots 145 (14.5 avg)
38 (3.8 avg) Shots on Target 51 (5.1 avg)
44 (4.4 avg) Blocked Shots 44 (4.4 avg)
56 (5.6 avg) Corners 60 (6.0 avg)
842 (84.2 avg) Attacks 798 (79.8 avg)
473 (47.3 avg) Dangerous Attacks 458 (45.8 avg)
100 (10.0 avg) Key Passes 110 (11.0 avg)
4010 (401.0 avg) Passes 5252 (525.2 avg)
3118 (78%) Pass Accuracy 4496 (86%)
47% Ball Possession 54%

Disciplinary/Tackles (Last 10 games)

Kilmarnock Motherwell
2 (0.2 avg) Red Cards 0 (0.0 avg)
23 (2.3 avg) Yellow Cards 16 (1.6 avg)
151 (15.1 avg) Tackles 151 (15.1 avg)
118 (11.8 avg) Fouls 111 (11.1 avg)
11 (1.4 avg) Offsides 9 (1.3 avg)
447 (44.7 avg) Duels Won 409 (40.9 avg)
143 (14.3 avg) Aerial Duels Won 113 (11.3 avg)

Previous Game Statistics (Last 10)

Kilmarnock

1.5Goals
  • Under · 3 (30%)
  • Over · 7 (70%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 0 (0%)
  • Over · 10 (100%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 3 (30%)
  • Over · 7 (70%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 3 (30%)
  • Over · 7 (70%)
CS
  • Yes · 2 (20%)
  • No · 8 (80%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 5 (50%)
  • No · 5 (50%)

Motherwell

1.5Goals
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 1 (11%)
  • Over · 8 (89%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 2 (22%)
  • Over · 7 (78%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 7 (70%)
  • Over · 3 (30%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 3 (33%)
  • Over · 6 (67%)
CS
  • Yes · 2 (20%)
  • No · 8 (80%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 4 (40%)
  • No · 6 (60%)