Leeds
vs
Man United
Sun 18 Oct, 13:00 UTC · Matchweek 7 · probabilities and historical statistics
Live Games
Predicted outcome
Event markets
This match League average
Predicted Score
Team comparison
- Leeds
- Man United
Did you know?
- Man United beat Leeds 5-1 in the biggest recent win between these two.
- Man United have conceded in each of their last 6 matches.
- Both teams have scored in 6 of the last 8 meetings between these two.
- Man United have won just 3 of their last 10 away matches.
H2H
All 8 meetings on file.
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr 26 | Man United |
1–2 | Leeds |
| 04 Jan 26 | Leeds |
1–1 | Man United |
| 12 Feb 23 | Leeds |
0–2 | Man United |
| 08 Feb 23 | Man United |
2–2 | Leeds |
| 20 Feb 22 | Leeds |
2–4 | Man United |
| 14 Aug 21 | Man United |
5–1 | Leeds |
| 25 Apr 21 | Leeds |
0–0 | Man United |
| 20 Dec 20 | Man United |
6–2 | Leeds |
- Leeds win · 1 (12%)
- Draw · 3 (38%)
- Man United win · 4 (50%)
Biggest win: Man United 5–1 Leeds (14 Aug 21).
Leeds vs Man United head to head: in the previous 8 meetings, Leeds have won once, Man United have won 4 times and 3 ended in a draw. Leeds scored 10 goals and Man United scored 21 goals in these matches. The latest meeting, on 13 Apr 2026, was won 2-1 by Leeds, away at Man United. Across these matches, both teams scored in 6 of 8 and 5 had over 2.5 goals. Leeds kept 1 clean sheet and Man United kept 2.
Ball Stats (Last 10 games)
Leeds
Man United
Disciplinary/Tackles (Last 10 games)
Leeds
Man United
Previous Game Statistics (Last 10)
- Under · 3 (30%)
- Over · 7 (70%)
- Under · 4 (40%)
- Over · 6 (60%)
- Under · 6 (60%)
- Over · 4 (40%)
- Under · 4 (40%)
- Over · 6 (60%)
- Under · 8 (80%)
- Over · 2 (20%)
- Under · 4 (40%)
- Over · 6 (60%)
- Yes · 3 (30%)
- No · 7 (70%)
- Yes · 6 (60%)
- No · 4 (40%)
- Under · 2 (20%)
- Over · 8 (80%)
- Under · 4 (40%)
- Over · 6 (60%)
- Under · 5 (50%)
- Over · 5 (50%)
- Under · 5 (50%)
- Over · 5 (50%)
- Under · 6 (60%)
- Over · 4 (40%)
- Under · 5 (50%)
- Over · 5 (50%)
- Yes · 2 (20%)
- No · 8 (80%)
- Yes · 6 (60%)
- No · 4 (40%)
- Under · 5 (50%)
- Over · 5 (50%)
- Under · 2 (20%)
- Over · 8 (80%)
- Under · 6 (60%)
- Over · 4 (40%)
- Under · 4 (40%)
- Over · 6 (60%)
- Under · 7 (70%)
- Over · 3 (30%)
- Under · 4 (40%)
- Over · 6 (60%)
- Yes · 4 (40%)
- No · 6 (60%)
- Yes · 4 (40%)
- No · 6 (60%)
- Under · 3 (30%)
- Over · 7 (70%)
- Under · 4 (40%)
- Over · 6 (60%)
- Under · 6 (60%)
- Over · 4 (40%)
- Under · 6 (60%)
- Over · 4 (40%)
- Under · 8 (80%)
- Over · 2 (20%)
- Under · 6 (60%)
- Over · 4 (40%)
- Yes · 4 (40%)
- No · 6 (60%)
- Yes · 5 (50%)
- No · 5 (50%)
Match Outlook
7th placed Leeds host 13th placed Man United. Leeds have a LDWDD record from their last 5, scoring 7 and conceding 5, and have won 5 of their last 10 at home. Man United have been mixed lately, with 1 win, 3 draws and 1 defeat from their last 5, and have won 3 of their last 10 on the road. Man United are without Patrick Dorgu (5 of 6 starts), while Kobbie Mainoo (5 of 6 starts) is a doubt, plus 5 other absentees. Leeds have no key players missing. In attack, Dominic Calvert-Lewin (3 goals) leads the way for Leeds and Bruno Fernandes (3 goals) for Man United. This one looks evenly balanced, and a draw is a real possibility (Leeds win 38%, draw 29%, Man United win 33%). A fairly typical number of goals is expected, with 2-1 the most likely score.
-
Man United
Injured
Patrick Dorgu
5 of 6 starts
-
Man United
Doubt
Kobbie Mainoo
5 of 6 starts
Leeds
Previous 10 Matches
WDWLWDDWDL-
20 Sep 26 H Leeds vs
Crystal Palace
0–0
D
-
22 Aug 26 A Leeds vs
Nott'm Forest
1–0
W
Previous 10 Matches
WLLDWWWDWD-
20 Sep 26 H Leeds vs
Crystal Palace
0–0
D
-
03 Mar 26 H Leeds vs
Sunderland
0–1
L
-
06 Feb 26 H Leeds vs
Nott'm Forest
3–1
W
Previous 10 Matches
DDDWDDLWDL-
22 Aug 26 A Leeds vs
Nott'm Forest
1–0
W
-
22 Apr 26 A Leeds vs
Bournemouth
2–2
D
-
13 Apr 26 A Leeds vs
Man United
2–1
W
-
15 Mar 26 A Leeds vs
Crystal Palace
0–0
D
-
21 Feb 26 A Leeds vs
Aston Villa
1–1
D
Form & stats (Last 10)
7th in the league · 9 pts
| Results | PPG | |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | WDWLWDDWDL | 1.60 |
| Home | WLLDWWWDWD | 1.80 |
| Away | DDDWDDLWDL | 1.20 |
All time statistics
| Overall | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 34% | 25% |
| Goals/game (both sides) | 3.04 | 2.86 | 3.23 |
| Scored/game | 1.32 | 1.35 | 1.29 |
| Conceded/game | 1.72 | 1.51 | 1.94 |
| Both teams scored | 59% | 58% | 59% |
| Clean sheets | 20% | 24% | 16% |
| Failed to score | 29% | 28% | 30% |
| xG/game | 1.43 | 1.58 | 1.28 |
| xG against/game | 1.70 | 1.49 | 1.92 |
| npxG/game | 1.34 | 1.46 | 1.21 |
| Deep completions/game | 6.3 | 6.7 | 5.9 |
| PPDA (press intensity) | 10.4 | 10.0 | 10.9 |
| Led at half-time | 24% | 28% | 20% |
| Comebacks (trailed at HT, won) | 4% | 4% | 4% |
Man United
Previous 10 Matches
WDWWLWDLDD-
10 Oct 26 H Man United vs
Tottenham
1–1
D
-
20 Sep 26 A Man United vs
Fulham
1–1
D
-
13 Sep 26 H Man United vs
Man City
0–1
L
-
06 Sep 26 A Man United vs
Everton
2–2
D
-
30 Aug 26 H Man United vs
Ipswich
5–2
W
-
22 Aug 26 A Man United vs
Hull
0–2
L
-
24 May 26 A Man United vs
Brighton
3–0
W
-
17 May 26 H Man United vs
Nott'm Forest
3–2
W
-
09 May 26 A Man United vs
Sunderland
0–0
D
-
03 May 26 H Man United vs
Liverpool
3–2
W
Previous 10 Matches
WWWLWWWWLD-
10 Oct 26 H Man United vs
Tottenham
1–1
D
-
13 Sep 26 H Man United vs
Man City
0–1
L
-
30 Aug 26 H Man United vs
Ipswich
5–2
W
-
17 May 26 H Man United vs
Nott'm Forest
3–2
W
-
03 May 26 H Man United vs
Liverpool
3–2
W
-
27 Apr 26 H Man United vs
Brentford
2–1
W
-
13 Apr 26 H Man United vs
Leeds
1–2
L
-
15 Mar 26 H Man United vs
Aston Villa
3–1
W
-
01 Mar 26 H Man United vs
Crystal Palace
2–1
W
-
07 Feb 26 H Man United vs
Tottenham
2–0
W
Previous 10 Matches
DWLDWDWLDD-
20 Sep 26 A Man United vs
Fulham
1–1
D
-
06 Sep 26 A Man United vs
Everton
2–2
D
-
22 Aug 26 A Man United vs
Hull
0–2
L
-
24 May 26 A Man United vs
Brighton
3–0
W
-
09 May 26 A Man United vs
Sunderland
0–0
D
-
18 Apr 26 A Man United vs
Chelsea
1–0
W
-
20 Mar 26 A Man United vs
Bournemouth
2–2
D
-
04 Mar 26 A Man United vs
Newcastle
1–2
L
-
23 Feb 26 A Man United vs
Everton
1–0
W
-
10 Feb 26 A Man United vs
West Ham
1–1
D
Form & stats (Last 10)
13th in the league · 6 pts
| Results | PPG | |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | WDWWLWDLDD | 1.60 |
| Home | WWWLWWWWLD | 2.20 |
| Away | DWLDWDWLDD | 1.40 |
All time statistics
| Overall | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 47% | 55% | 40% |
| Goals/game (both sides) | 2.91 | 2.99 | 2.83 |
| Scored/game | 1.61 | 1.79 | 1.42 |
| Conceded/game | 1.31 | 1.20 | 1.41 |
| Both teams scored | 56% | 57% | 55% |
| Clean sheets | 27% | 28% | 26% |
| Failed to score | 22% | 21% | 24% |
| xG/game | 1.70 | 1.91 | 1.50 |
| xG against/game | 1.40 | 1.27 | 1.53 |
| npxG/game | 1.55 | 1.73 | 1.36 |
| Deep completions/game | 8.4 | 9.4 | 7.4 |
| PPDA (press intensity) | 11.9 | 11.7 | 12.0 |
| Led at half-time | 35% | 41% | 29% |
| Comebacks (trailed at HT, won) | 19% | 25% | 14% |
League standings
Leeds are 7th with 9 points. Man United are 13th with 6 points.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Man City |
6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 5 | +11 | 18 |
| 2 | Arsenal |
6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 5 | +5 | 15 |
| 3 | Brighton |
6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 5 | +13 | 13 |
| 4 | Chelsea |
7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 13 | +4 | 13 |
| 5 | Brentford |
6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 12 | 6 | +6 | 10 |
| 6 | Everton |
7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 7 | +1 | 10 |
| 7 | Leeds |
6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 5 | +3 | 9 |
| 8 | Hull |
6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 6 | +2 | 9 |
| 9 | Liverpool |
6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 7 | +0 | 9 |
| 10 | Ipswich |
6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 12 | -3 | 9 |
| 11 | Newcastle |
6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 13 | -3 | 8 |
| 12 | Crystal Palace |
6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 12 | -3 | 7 |
| 13 | Man United |
6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 9 | +0 | 6 |
| 14 | Coventry |
6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 11 | -6 | 6 |
| 15 | Nott'm Forest |
6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 5 |
| 16 | Aston Villa |
6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 5 |
| 17 | Sunderland |
6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 12 | -6 | 4 |
| 18 | Bournemouth |
6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 13 | -6 | 3 |
| 19 | Tottenham |
6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 9 | -6 | 3 |
| 20 | Fulham |
6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 2 |
Scroll the table sideways for every column
Lineups & injuries
Out / doubtful
- Mateo Joseph Injured · Knee injury - Unknown return date
- Rodon Injured · Hamstring injury - Expected back 21 Nov
- James Doubtful · 50% to play · Back injury - 50% chance of playing
Out / doubtful
- Dorgu Injured · Hamstring injury - Expected back 25 Oct
- Heaton Injured · Hamstring injury - Unknown return date
- Ugarte Injured · Knee injury - Unknown return date
- Šeško Injured · Shin injury - Expected back 18 Oct
- Mainoo Doubtful · 75% to play · Unspecified injury - 75% chance of playing
- Mazraoui Doubtful · 25% to play · Back injury - 25% chance of playing
- Shaw Doubtful · 75% to play · Unspecified injury - 75% chance of playing
Season Player Statistics
Each player’s numbers in their last 3 matches individually, next to their season total and appearances.
Goals
Scored this season
Leeds
- Dominic Calvert-Lewin 200 3 6
- James Justin 001 1 6
- Jayden Bogle 000 1 6
Man United
- Bryan Mbeumo 001 3 6
- Bruno Fernandes 000 3 6
- Matheus Cunha 010 1 6
Shots on target
Efforts that tested the keeper
Leeds
- Dominic Calvert-Lewin 311 8 6
- Jayden Bogle 201 4 6
- James Justin 001 3 6
Man United
- Bryan Mbeumo 112 8 6
- Bruno Fernandes 100 5 6
- Matheus Cunha 020 4 6
Total shots
Every attempt on goal
Leeds
- Dominic Calvert-Lewin 410 11 6
- Anton Stach 112 9 6
- James Justin 013 7 6
Man United
- Bryan Mbeumo 352 21 6
- Bruno Fernandes 131 20 6
- Matheus Cunha 331 14 6
Most carded
Yellow and red cards
Leeds
- Dominic Calvert-Lewin 100 3Y 6
- Jayden Bogle 010 2Y 6
- Ao Tanaka 011 2Y 5
Man United
- Luke Shaw –01 2Y 5
- Diogo Dalot 001 2Y 4
- Harry Maguire 100 2Y 6
Most fouls
Fouls committed
Leeds
- Anton Stach 233 13 6
- Dominic Calvert-Lewin 113 12 6
- Jayden Bogle 211 7 6
Man United
- Matheus Cunha 132 7 6
- Harry Maguire 300 7 6
- Patrick Dorgu 30– 7 5
Most tackles
Tackles made
Leeds
- James Justin 231 17 6
- Anton Stach 213 16 6
- Ethan Ampadu 131 13 6
Man United
- Youri Tielemans 235 12 6
- Kobbie Mainoo 015 11 5
- Luke Shaw –03 9 5
Interceptions
Passes cut out
Leeds
- Ethan Ampadu 222 13 6
- Tarik Muharemović 231 12 6
- Anton Stach 230 11 6
Man United
- Harry Maguire 115 11 6
- Luke Shaw –25 11 5
- Youri Tielemans 220 7 6
Duels won
Challenges won
Leeds
- Anton Stach 388 44 6
- Dominic Calvert-Lewin 559 38 6
- James Justin 653 36 6
Man United
- Harry Maguire 565 32 6
- Youri Tielemans 649 30 6
- Kobbie Mainoo 536 29 5
Blocked shots
Shots stopped on the way
Leeds
- Tarik Muharemović 000 5 6
- Nico Elvedi 020 5 4
- James Justin 001 3 6
Man United
- Lisandro Martínez 002 4 5
- Luke Shaw –00 3 5
- Bruno Fernandes 001 2 6
Key passes
Passes that set up a shot
Leeds
- Ethan Ampadu 022 7 6
- Anton Stach 311 7 6
- James Justin 210 4 6
Man United
- Bruno Fernandes 142 15 6
- Marcus Rashford 140 13 6
- Bryan Mbeumo 231 11 6
Referee
DEDarren England
45 matches on file in this leagueLeans 0.4 more cards/game on the away side.
Referee data before 2025/26 from the Transfermarkt datasets project.
Historic Bets Win Rate
How often each market has actually landed over each side’s last 10 games.
Top 5 Bangers
The five markets that have landed most often over the last 10 games, best first.
-
1
Leeds
Over 2.5 Cards in the Match
90.0%
-
2
Leeds
Team Over 3.5 Corners
80.0%
-
3
Man United
Over 1.5 Goals in the Match
80.0%
-
4
Leeds
Team Over 1.5 Offsides
80.0%
-
5
Leeds
To Win or Draw (Double Chance)
80.0%
-
1
JT
James Trafford
Over 2.5 Saves
100.0%
-
2
JJ
James Justin
Over 1.5 Tackles
90.0%
-
3
MC
Matheus Cunha
Over 1.5 Shots
90.0%
-
4
DL
Dominic Calvert-Lewin
Over 0.5 Shots on Target
90.0%
-
5
JB
Jayden Bogle
Over 0.5 Fouls Committed
90.0%
Match Result
3 markets
Handicap
3 markets
Goals
9 markets
Both Teams to Score
5 markets
Correct Score
6 markets
Half-Time
6 markets
Half-Time / Full-Time
5 markets
First & Last Goal
5 markets
Clean Sheet & Win to Nil
4 markets
Corners
9 markets
Cards
7 markets
Shots
6 markets
Fouls & Offsides
4 markets
Match Specials
3 markets
Goalscorer
7 markets, best-placed player from each squad
Assists
4 markets, best-placed player from each squad
Shots
6 markets, best-placed player from each squad
Cards
3 markets, best-placed player from each squad
Fouls
3 markets, best-placed player from each squad
Tackles
3 markets, best-placed player from each squad
Goalkeeper
4 markets, best-placed player from each squad
Player Combos
3 markets, best-placed player from each squad
Compare bookmaker prices
The best price for each result, then every bookmaker side by side. Red marks the best price.
-
888sport
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2.30
3.40
2.80
-
Bet Victor
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2.25
3.60
2.80
-
Betano (UK)
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2.25
3.60
2.80
-
Betfair
Visit site (opens in a new tab)
2.42
3.70
3.05
-
Betfair Sportsbook
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2.38
3.50
2.90
-
Betfred (UK)
Visit site (opens in a new tab)
2.40
3.60
2.75
-
Betway
Visit site (opens in a new tab)
2.30
3.50
2.88
-
BoyleSports
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2.38
3.50
2.90
-
Casumo
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2.38
3.70
2.80
-
Coral
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2.30
3.70
2.80
-
Grosvenor
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2.38
3.65
2.75
-
Ladbrokes
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2.30
3.60
2.80
-
LeoVegas
Visit site (opens in a new tab)
2.35
3.50
2.75
-
LiveScore Bet
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2.32
3.50
2.70
-
Matchbook
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2.44
3.70
3.05
-
Paddy Power
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2.30
3.50
2.88
-
Sky Bet
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2.30
3.40
2.88
-
Smarkets
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2.42
3.70
3.05
-
Unibet (UK)
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2.38
3.60
2.85
-
Virgin Bet
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2.32
3.50
2.70
-
William Hill
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2.30
3.40
2.80
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