Lincoln City
vs
Cardiff
Tue 16 Mar, 19:45 UTC · Matchweek 38 · probabilities and historical statistics
Live Games
Predicted outcome
Limited history for Lincoln City. Fewer past top flight matches on record means these figures are less reliable than usual.
Event markets
This match League average
Predicted Score
Team comparison
- Lincoln City
- Cardiff
Did you know?
- Lincoln City have conceded in each of their last 8 matches.
- Cardiff have won just 0 of their last 10 away matches.
- Lincoln City have won just 3 of their last 10 matches.
- Lincoln City's matches have gone over 2.5 goals in 7 of their last 10.
H2H
These two have no meetings in the stored history. At least one of them is newly promoted.
How they play
Each line runs across the 24 clubs of the league, from up to the last 19 league games of each. A marker at either end means the most or least of that measure.
- Cedes possession
- Set piece heavy
- Crosses and headers
- Keeps the ball
-
PossessionCedes the ballKeeps the ball37% 24th of 24 60% 1st of 24
-
Shot selectionShoots on sightWaits for the chance0.11 xG a shot 11th of 24 0.11 xG a shot 9th of 24
-
Set piecesOpen playSet pieces38% of xG 3rd of 24 23% of xG 15th of 24
-
Route to goalOn the groundCrosses and headers24% of shots 3rd of 24 17% of shots 13th of 24
Where they differ
- Cardiff see much more of the ball than Lincoln City, 60% against 37%.
- Lincoln City get more of their chances from set pieces than Cardiff, 38% against 23%.
- Lincoln City go more through the air than Cardiff, 24% of shots against 17%.
Ball Stats (Last 10 games)
Disciplinary/Tackles (Last 10 games)
Previous Game Statistics (Last 10)
- Under · 3 (30%)
- Over · 7 (70%)
- Under · 4 (44%)
- Over · 5 (56%)
- Under · 3 (30%)
- Over · 7 (70%)
- Under · 4 (44%)
- Over · 5 (56%)
- Under · 6 (60%)
- Over · 4 (40%)
- Under · 4 (44%)
- Over · 5 (56%)
- Yes · 2 (20%)
- No · 8 (80%)
- Yes · 5 (50%)
- No · 5 (50%)
- Under · 2 (20%)
- Over · 8 (80%)
- Under · 3 (33%)
- Over · 6 (67%)
- Under · 3 (30%)
- Over · 7 (70%)
- Under · 4 (44%)
- Over · 5 (56%)
- Under · 5 (50%)
- Over · 5 (50%)
- Under · 4 (44%)
- Over · 5 (56%)
- Yes · 1 (10%)
- No · 9 (90%)
- Yes · 7 (70%)
- No · 3 (30%)
- Under · 1 (14%)
- Over · 6 (86%)
- Under · 3 (43%)
- Over · 4 (57%)
- Under · 2 (29%)
- Over · 5 (71%)
- Under · 3 (43%)
- Over · 4 (57%)
- Under · 3 (43%)
- Over · 4 (57%)
- Under · 3 (43%)
- Over · 4 (57%)
- Yes · 1 (14%)
- No · 6 (86%)
- Yes · 5 (71%)
- No · 2 (29%)
- Under · 1 (10%)
- Over · 9 (90%)
- Under · 1 (10%)
- Over · 9 (90%)
- Under · 3 (30%)
- Over · 7 (70%)
- Under · 3 (30%)
- Over · 7 (70%)
- Under · 6 (60%)
- Over · 4 (40%)
- Under · 3 (30%)
- Over · 7 (70%)
- Yes · 0 (0%)
- No · 10 (100%)
- Yes · 6 (60%)
- No · 4 (40%)
Lincoln City
Previous 10 Matches
WWLLLDWLLL-
07 Nov 26 A Lincoln City vs
QPR 1–2 L
-
03 Nov 26 A Lincoln City vs
Watford 0–1 L
-
31 Oct 26 H Lincoln City vs
Birmingham 1–3 L
-
24 Oct 26 H Lincoln City vs
Burnley 4–1 W
-
17 Oct 26 A Lincoln City vs
Millwall 2–2 D
-
14 Oct 26 H Lincoln City vs
West Ham 0–6 L
-
10 Oct 26 A Lincoln City vs
Sheffield United 0–3 L
-
19 Sep 26 H Lincoln City vs
Swansea 1–2 L
-
15 Sep 26 A Lincoln City vs
Bristol City 1–0 W
-
12 Sep 26 A Lincoln City vs
Preston 1–0 W
Previous 7 Matches
LDDLLWL-
31 Oct 26 H Lincoln City vs
Birmingham 1–3 L
-
24 Oct 26 H Lincoln City vs
Burnley 4–1 W
-
14 Oct 26 H Lincoln City vs
West Ham 0–6 L
-
19 Sep 26 H Lincoln City vs
Swansea 1–2 L
-
05 Sep 26 H Lincoln City vs
Southampton 1–1 D
-
01 Sep 26 H Lincoln City vs
Blackburn 0–0 D
-
22 Aug 26 H Lincoln City vs
Portsmouth 1–3 L
Previous 8 Matches
LWWWLDLL-
07 Nov 26 A Lincoln City vs
QPR 1–2 L
-
03 Nov 26 A Lincoln City vs
Watford 0–1 L
-
17 Oct 26 A Lincoln City vs
Millwall 2–2 D
-
10 Oct 26 A Lincoln City vs
Sheffield United 0–3 L
-
15 Sep 26 A Lincoln City vs
Bristol City 1–0 W
-
12 Sep 26 A Lincoln City vs
Preston 1–0 W
-
29 Aug 26 A Lincoln City vs
Bolton Wanderers 1–0 W
-
15 Aug 26 A Lincoln City vs
Middlesbrough 1–2 L
* not enough games played in this league yet. It includes recent matches from other divisions to fill out the sample.
Form & stats (Last 10)
21st in the league · 15 pts
| Results | PPG | |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | WWLLLDWLLL | 1.00 |
| Home* | LDDLLWL | 0.71 |
| Away* | LWWWLDLL | 1.25 |
All time statistics
| Overall | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 27% | 14% | 38% |
| Goals/game (both sides) | 2.73 | 3.43 | 2.12 |
| Scored/game | 1.00 | 1.14 | 0.88 |
| Conceded/game | 1.73 | 2.29 | 1.25 |
| Both teams scored | 53% | 71% | 38% |
| Clean sheets | 27% | 14% | 38% |
| Failed to score | 27% | 29% | 25% |
| xG/game | 1.28 | 1.67 | 0.93 |
| xG against/game | 1.44 | 1.52 | 1.37 |
| npxG/game | 1.13 | 1.40 | 0.89 |
| Led at half-time | 21% | 14% | 29% |
| Comebacks (trailed at HT, won) | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Cardiff
Previous 10 Matches
DLWLWDWLDW-
24 Oct 26 H Cardiff vs
Birmingham 1–0 W
-
17 Oct 26 A Cardiff vs
Middlesbrough 2–2 D
-
12 Sep 26 A Cardiff vs
Bolton Wanderers 0–1 L
Previous 10 Matches
DDDDDWWWDW-
24 Oct 26 H Cardiff vs
Birmingham 1–0 W
-
29 Aug 26 H Cardiff vs
Sheffield United 2–2 D
Previous 10 Matches
DLLDLLLLDL-
17 Oct 26 A Cardiff vs
Middlesbrough 2–2 D
-
12 Sep 26 A Cardiff vs
Bolton Wanderers 0–1 L
-
05 Sep 26 A Cardiff vs
Portsmouth 0–2 L
-
18 Apr 25 A Cardiff vs
Sheffield United 0–2 L
Form & stats (Last 10)
14th in the league · 18 pts
| Results | PPG | |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | DLWLWDWLDW | 1.50 |
| Home | DDDDDWWWDW | 1.80 |
| Away | DLLDLLLLDL | 0.30 |
All time statistics
| Overall | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 34% | 25% |
| Goals/game (both sides) | 2.61 | 2.50 | 2.71 |
| Scored/game | 1.07 | 1.13 | 1.00 |
| Conceded/game | 1.54 | 1.37 | 1.71 |
| Both teams scored | 49% | 48% | 50% |
| Clean sheets | 21% | 25% | 17% |
| Failed to score | 36% | 33% | 39% |
| xG/game | 1.13 | 1.32 | 0.94 |
| xG against/game | 1.59 | 1.41 | 1.77 |
| npxG/game | 1.06 | 1.21 | 0.91 |
| Deep completions/game | 3.8 | 4.5 | 3.0 |
| PPDA (press intensity) | 18.5 | 16.4 | 20.5 |
| Led at half-time | 17% | 19% | 14% |
| Comebacks (trailed at HT, won) | 9% | 7% | 10% |
League standings
Lincoln City are 21st with 15 points. Cardiff are 14th with 18 points.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 28 | 14 | +14 | 29 | |
| 2 | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 30 | 19 | +11 | 29 | |
| 3 | 15 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 24 | 18 | +6 | 29 | |
| 4 | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 26 | 18 | +8 | 28 | |
| 5 | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 23 | 15 | +8 | 28 | |
| 6 | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 22 | 18 | +4 | 26 | |
| 7 | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 29 | 15 | +14 | 24 | |
| 8 | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 24 | 18 | +6 | 24 | |
| 9 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 37 | 23 | +14 | 23 | |
| 10 | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 21 | 19 | +2 | 22 | |
| 11 | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 20 | 18 | +2 | 22 | |
| 12 | 15 | 7 | 0 | 8 | 32 | 24 | +8 | 21 | |
| 13 | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 22 | 23 | -1 | 21 | |
| 14 | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 27 | 27 | +0 | 18 | |
| 15 | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 18 | 20 | -2 | 18 | |
| 16 | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 23 | 27 | -4 | 18 | |
| 17 | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 18 | |
| 18 | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 20 | 29 | -9 | 17 | |
| 19 | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 17 | |
| 20 | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 15 | |
| 21 | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 15 | |
| 22 | 15 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 22 | 31 | -9 | 10 | |
| 23 | 15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 14 | 30 | -16 | 10 | |
| 24 | 15 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 13 | 30 | -17 | 8 |
Scroll the table sideways for every column
Lineups & injuries
No expected XI available for Lincoln City yet.
Out / doubtful
- M. Melia Injured · Muscle injury (back 2026-11-30)
- T. Darikwa Injured · Knee injury (back 2026-11-20)
No expected XI available for Cardiff yet.
Out / doubtful
- C. Chambers Injured · Knee injury (back 2026-11-20)
- D. Lawlor Injured · Hamstring injury (back 2026-11-20)
Season Player Statistics
Each player’s numbers in their last 3 matches individually, next to their season total and appearances.
Goals
Scored this season
Shots on target
Efforts that tested the keeper
Total shots
Every attempt on goal
Most carded
Yellow and red cards
Lincoln City
- C. McGrandles ––1 5Y 1R 12
- F. Draper 000 5Y 12
- B. House 01– 5Y 12
Cardiff
- J. Bagan 101 5Y 15
- P. Ng 000 4Y 14
- A. Robertson 000 4Y 15
Most fouls
Fouls committed
Lincoln City
- F. Draper 142 44 12
- B. House 20– 20 12
- C. McGrandles ––1 13 12
Cardiff
- J. Colwill 100 18 8
- P. Ng 002 16 14
- J. Bagan 102 15 15
Most tackles
Tackles made
Lincoln City
- B. House 06– 34 12
- C. McGrandles ––1 24 12
- D. Jefferies 302 24 10
Interceptions
Passes cut out
Lincoln City
- D. Elerewe 101 22 15
- C. McGrandles ––3 18 12
- Y. Konak 222 16 5
Cardiff
- A. Robertson 121 26 15
- P. Ng 211 17 14
- K. Bielik ––0 12 7
Duels won
Challenges won
Lincoln City
- F. Draper 51210 84 12
- B. House 510– 81 12
- D. Elerewe 1028 77 15
Cardiff
- P. Ng 1023 81 14
- J. Bagan 643 69 15
- J. Colwill 1100 62 8
Blocked shots
Shots stopped on the way
Lincoln City
- D. Elerewe 201 13 15
- S. Bradley 023 12 11
- R. Towler ––– 10 7
Cardiff
- G. Osho ––– 13 10
- A. Robertson 120 11 15
- J. Bagan 010 10 15
Key passes
Passes that set up a shot
Lincoln City
- A. Coubiș 11– 12 7
- A. Reach 211 11 13
- R. Hackett-Fairchild 100 11 9
Cardiff
- O. Tanner 212 29 15
- C. Willock 305 27 10
- J. Bagan 112 25 15
Referee
No referee assigned yet, or no cards data on file for the official appointed to this fixture.
Historic Bets Win Rate
How often each market has actually landed over each side’s last 10 games.
Top 5 Bangers
The five markets that have landed most often over the last 10 games, best first.
-
1
Cardiff Over 8.5 Shots on Target in the Match 88.9%
-
2
Cardiff Team Over 3.5 Corners 88.9%
-
3
Cardiff Over 2.5 Cards in the Match 88.9%
-
4
Cardiff 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals 88.9%
-
5
Lincoln City Higher Scoring 2nd Half 88.9%
-
1
GW
G. Wickens Over 1.5 Saves 90.0%
-
2
YS
Y. Salech Over 0.5 Shots on Target 90.0%
-
3
FD
F. Draper Over 0.5 Fouls Committed 90.0%
-
4
JM
J. Moylan Over 1.5 Shots 80.0%
-
5
DJ
D. Jefferies Over 1.5 Tackles 60.0%
Match Result
3 markets
Handicap
3 markets
Goals
9 markets
Both Teams to Score
5 markets
Correct Score
5 markets
Half-Time
6 markets
Half-Time / Full-Time
5 markets
First & Last Goal
5 markets
Clean Sheet & Win to Nil
4 markets
Corners
9 markets
Cards
7 markets
Shots
6 markets
Fouls & Offsides
4 markets
Match Specials
3 markets
Goalscorer
7 markets, best-placed player from each squad
Assists
4 markets, best-placed player from each squad
Shots
6 markets, best-placed player from each squad
Cards
3 markets, best-placed player from each squad
Fouls
3 markets, best-placed player from each squad
Tackles
3 markets, best-placed player from each squad
Goalkeeper
4 markets, best-placed player from each squad
Player Combos
3 markets, best-placed player from each squad