Lincoln City
vs
Stoke
Wed 09 Dec, 19:45 UTC · Matchweek 20 · probabilities and historical statistics
Live Games
Predicted outcome
Limited history for Lincoln City. Fewer past top flight matches on record means these figures are less reliable than usual.
Event markets
This match League average
Predicted Score
Team comparison
- Lincoln City
- Stoke
Did you know?
- Lincoln City have conceded in each of their last 8 matches.
- Stoke have outscored their xG by 0.62 goals per game over their last 10. Finishing that hot rarely keeps up.
- Lincoln City have won just 1 of their last 7 home matches.
- Stoke's matches have had over 9.5 corners in 7 of their last 9 (corner data on file).
H2H
These two have no meetings in the stored history. At least one of them is newly promoted.
How they play
Each line runs across the 24 clubs of the league, from up to the last 19 league games of each. A marker at either end means the most or least of that measure.
- Cedes possession
- Set piece heavy
- Crosses and headers
- Shoots on sight
- Cedes possession
-
PossessionCedes the ballKeeps the ball37% 24th of 24 47% 18th of 24
-
Shot selectionShoots on sightWaits for the chance0.11 xG a shot 11th of 24 0.09 xG a shot 22nd of 24
-
Set piecesOpen playSet pieces38% of xG 3rd of 24 32% of xG 10th of 24
-
Route to goalOn the groundCrosses and headers24% of shots 3rd of 24 19% of shots 11th of 24
Where they differ
- Lincoln City wait for better chances than Stoke, 0.11 xG a shot against 0.09.
- Lincoln City go more through the air than Stoke, 24% of shots against 19%.
- Lincoln City get more of their chances from set pieces than Stoke, 38% against 32%.
Ball Stats (Last 10 games)
Disciplinary/Tackles (Last 10 games)
Previous Game Statistics (Last 10)
- Under · 3 (30%)
- Over · 7 (70%)
- Under · 4 (44%)
- Over · 5 (56%)
- Under · 3 (30%)
- Over · 7 (70%)
- Under · 4 (44%)
- Over · 5 (56%)
- Under · 6 (60%)
- Over · 4 (40%)
- Under · 4 (44%)
- Over · 5 (56%)
- Yes · 2 (20%)
- No · 8 (80%)
- Yes · 5 (50%)
- No · 5 (50%)
- Under · 2 (20%)
- Over · 8 (80%)
- Under · 1 (11%)
- Over · 8 (89%)
- Under · 4 (40%)
- Over · 6 (60%)
- Under · 1 (11%)
- Over · 8 (89%)
- Under · 9 (90%)
- Over · 1 (10%)
- Under · 2 (22%)
- Over · 7 (78%)
- Yes · 3 (30%)
- No · 7 (70%)
- Yes · 7 (70%)
- No · 3 (30%)
- Under · 1 (14%)
- Over · 6 (86%)
- Under · 3 (43%)
- Over · 4 (57%)
- Under · 2 (29%)
- Over · 5 (71%)
- Under · 3 (43%)
- Over · 4 (57%)
- Under · 3 (43%)
- Over · 4 (57%)
- Under · 3 (43%)
- Over · 4 (57%)
- Yes · 1 (14%)
- No · 6 (86%)
- Yes · 5 (71%)
- No · 2 (29%)
- Under · 1 (10%)
- Over · 9 (90%)
- Under · 1 (11%)
- Over · 8 (89%)
- Under · 4 (40%)
- Over · 6 (60%)
- Under · 3 (33%)
- Over · 6 (67%)
- Under · 8 (80%)
- Over · 2 (20%)
- Under · 3 (33%)
- Over · 6 (67%)
- Yes · 1 (10%)
- No · 9 (90%)
- Yes · 7 (70%)
- No · 3 (30%)
Lincoln City
Previous 10 Matches
WWLLLDWLLL-
07 Nov 26 A Lincoln City vs
QPR 1–2 L
-
03 Nov 26 A Lincoln City vs
Watford 0–1 L
-
31 Oct 26 H Lincoln City vs
Birmingham 1–3 L
-
24 Oct 26 H Lincoln City vs
Burnley 4–1 W
-
17 Oct 26 A Lincoln City vs
Millwall 2–2 D
-
14 Oct 26 H Lincoln City vs
West Ham 0–6 L
-
10 Oct 26 A Lincoln City vs
Sheffield United 0–3 L
-
19 Sep 26 H Lincoln City vs
Swansea 1–2 L
-
15 Sep 26 A Lincoln City vs
Bristol City 1–0 W
-
12 Sep 26 A Lincoln City vs
Preston 1–0 W
Previous 7 Matches
LDDLLWL-
31 Oct 26 H Lincoln City vs
Birmingham 1–3 L
-
24 Oct 26 H Lincoln City vs
Burnley 4–1 W
-
14 Oct 26 H Lincoln City vs
West Ham 0–6 L
-
19 Sep 26 H Lincoln City vs
Swansea 1–2 L
-
05 Sep 26 H Lincoln City vs
Southampton 1–1 D
-
01 Sep 26 H Lincoln City vs
Blackburn 0–0 D
-
22 Aug 26 H Lincoln City vs
Portsmouth 1–3 L
Previous 8 Matches
LWWWLDLL-
07 Nov 26 A Lincoln City vs
QPR 1–2 L
-
03 Nov 26 A Lincoln City vs
Watford 0–1 L
-
17 Oct 26 A Lincoln City vs
Millwall 2–2 D
-
10 Oct 26 A Lincoln City vs
Sheffield United 0–3 L
-
15 Sep 26 A Lincoln City vs
Bristol City 1–0 W
-
12 Sep 26 A Lincoln City vs
Preston 1–0 W
-
29 Aug 26 A Lincoln City vs
Bolton Wanderers 1–0 W
-
15 Aug 26 A Lincoln City vs
Middlesbrough 1–2 L
* not enough games played in this league yet. It includes recent matches from other divisions to fill out the sample.
Form & stats (Last 10)
21st in the league · 15 pts
| Results | PPG | |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | WWLLLDWLLL | 1.00 |
| Home* | LDDLLWL | 0.71 |
| Away* | LWWWLDLL | 1.25 |
All time statistics
| Overall | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 27% | 14% | 38% |
| Goals/game (both sides) | 2.73 | 3.43 | 2.12 |
| Scored/game | 1.00 | 1.14 | 0.88 |
| Conceded/game | 1.73 | 2.29 | 1.25 |
| Both teams scored | 53% | 71% | 38% |
| Clean sheets | 27% | 14% | 38% |
| Failed to score | 27% | 29% | 25% |
| xG/game | 1.28 | 1.67 | 0.93 |
| xG against/game | 1.44 | 1.52 | 1.37 |
| npxG/game | 1.13 | 1.40 | 0.89 |
| Led at half-time | 21% | 14% | 29% |
| Comebacks (trailed at HT, won) | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Stoke
Previous 10 Matches
DWWWLWDWWW-
07 Nov 26 A Stoke vs
Portsmouth 2–1 W
-
24 Oct 26 H Stoke vs
Bristol City 0–0 D
-
13 Oct 26 H Stoke vs
Middlesbrough 2–3 L
-
10 Oct 26 A Stoke vs
Bolton Wanderers 2–1 W
-
19 Sep 26 H Stoke vs
Sheffield United 2–1 W
Previous 10 Matches
DLLLWWWLDW-
24 Oct 26 H Stoke vs
Bristol City 0–0 D
-
13 Oct 26 H Stoke vs
Middlesbrough 2–3 L
-
19 Sep 26 H Stoke vs
Sheffield United 2–1 W
-
25 Apr 26 H Stoke vs
Portsmouth 1–3 L
Previous 10 Matches
LLLLDWWWWW-
07 Nov 26 A Stoke vs
Portsmouth 2–1 W
-
10 Oct 26 A Stoke vs
Bolton Wanderers 2–1 W
-
22 Aug 26 A Stoke vs
Southampton 1–3 L
-
02 May 26 A Stoke vs
Bristol City 0–2 L
Form & stats (Last 10)
3rd in the league · 29 pts
| Results | PPG | |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | DWWWLWDWWW | 2.30 |
| Home | DLLLWWWLDW | 1.40 |
| Away | LLLLDWWWWW | 1.60 |
All time statistics
| Overall | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 33% | 37% | 30% |
| Goals/game (both sides) | 2.38 | 2.38 | 2.38 |
| Scored/game | 1.15 | 1.26 | 1.03 |
| Conceded/game | 1.23 | 1.11 | 1.35 |
| Both teams scored | 46% | 44% | 48% |
| Clean sheets | 30% | 34% | 26% |
| Failed to score | 33% | 32% | 33% |
| xG/game | 1.14 | 1.19 | 1.09 |
| xG against/game | 1.43 | 1.20 | 1.67 |
| npxG/game | 1.07 | 1.12 | 1.03 |
| Led at half-time | 27% | 34% | 21% |
| Comebacks (trailed at HT, won) | 2% | 0% | 3% |
League standings
Lincoln City are 21st with 15 points. Stoke are 3rd with 29 points.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 28 | 14 | +14 | 29 | |
| 2 | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 30 | 19 | +11 | 29 | |
| 3 | 15 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 24 | 18 | +6 | 29 | |
| 4 | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 29 | 15 | +14 | 28 | |
| 5 | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 26 | 18 | +8 | 28 | |
| 6 | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 23 | 15 | +8 | 28 | |
| 7 | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 22 | 18 | +4 | 26 | |
| 8 | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 24 | 18 | +6 | 24 | |
| 9 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 37 | 23 | +14 | 23 | |
| 10 | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 21 | 19 | +2 | 22 | |
| 11 | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 20 | 18 | +2 | 22 | |
| 12 | 15 | 7 | 0 | 8 | 32 | 24 | +8 | 21 | |
| 13 | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 22 | 23 | -1 | 21 | |
| 14 | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 27 | 27 | +0 | 18 | |
| 15 | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 18 | 20 | -2 | 18 | |
| 16 | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 23 | 27 | -4 | 18 | |
| 17 | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 18 | |
| 18 | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 20 | 29 | -9 | 17 | |
| 19 | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 17 | |
| 20 | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 15 | |
| 21 | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 15 | |
| 22 | 15 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 22 | 31 | -9 | 10 | |
| 23 | 15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 14 | 30 | -16 | 10 | |
| 24 | 15 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 13 | 30 | -17 | 8 |
Scroll the table sideways for every column
Lineups & injuries
No expected XI available for Lincoln City yet.
Out / doubtful
- B. House Suspended · Yellow_card_accumulation_suspension (back 2026-11-07)
- M. Melia Injured · Muscle injury (back 2026-11-30)
- T. Darikwa Injured · Knee injury (back 2026-11-20)
- C. McGrandles Doubtful · Muscle injury (back 2026-11-21)
No expected XI available for Stoke yet.
Out / doubtful
- A. Ampah Injured · Knee surgery (back 2027-01-20)
- E. Bocat Injured · Muscle injury (back 2026-11-20)
- L. Cissé Injured · Muscle injury (back 2026-11-20)
- S. Gallagher Injured · Muscle injury (back 2026-11-20)
Season Player Statistics
Each player’s numbers in their last 3 matches individually, next to their season total and appearances.
Goals
Scored this season
Lincoln City
- M. Ladefoged 0–– 3 3
- F. Draper 00– 2 12
- B. House 00– 2 12
Stoke
- J. McGlynn 111 5 9
- B. Wilmot 101 3 15
- E. Galbraith 0–0 3 14
Shots on target
Efforts that tested the keeper
Lincoln City
- F. Draper 00– 7 12
- B. House 11– 7 12
- D. Jefferies 20– 5 10
Stoke
- E. Galbraith 0–1 8 14
- J. McGlynn 211 8 9
- B. Johnson 000 5 14
Total shots
Every attempt on goal
Lincoln City
- F. Draper 12– 20 12
- R. Hackett-Fairchild 01– 18 9
- B. House 21– 17 12
Stoke
- E. Galbraith 2–1 17 14
- J. McGlynn 311 16 9
- R. Boženík 340 15 4
Most carded
Yellow and red cards
Lincoln City
- C. McGrandles ––– 4Y 1R 12
- F. Draper 00– 5Y 12
- B. House 01– 5Y 12
Stoke
- E. Galbraith 1–1 6Y 14
- M. Talovierov 00– 2Y 1R 5
- S. Ingelsson 00– 2Y 1R 1
Most fouls
Fouls committed
Lincoln City
- F. Draper 14– 42 12
- B. House 20– 20 12
- C. McGrandles ––– 12 12
Stoke
- E. Galbraith 1–1 20 14
- D. Soumaré 230 20 14
- R. Boženík 232 20 4
Most tackles
Tackles made
Lincoln City
- B. House 06– 34 12
- C. McGrandles ––– 23 12
- D. Jefferies 30– 22 10
Stoke
- L. Bombino 520 30 4
- D. Soumaré 022 27 14
- B. Johnson 501 25 14
Interceptions
Passes cut out
Lincoln City
- D. Elerewe 10– 21 15
- C. McGrandles ––– 15 12
- A. Coubiș 14– 14 7
Stoke
- B. Wilmot 210 24 15
- L. Graham 211 16 13
- D. Soumaré 221 15 14
Duels won
Challenges won
Lincoln City
- B. House 510– 81 12
- F. Draper 512– 74 12
- D. Elerewe 102– 69 15
Stoke
- L. Graham 7119 84 13
- B. Johnson 1117 69 14
- D. Soumaré 646 66 14
Blocked shots
Shots stopped on the way
Lincoln City
- D. Elerewe 20– 12 15
- R. Towler ––– 10 7
- S. Bradley 02– 9 11
Key passes
Passes that set up a shot
Lincoln City
- A. Coubiș 11– 12 7
- R. Hackett-Fairchild 10– 11 9
- A. Reach 21– 10 13
Stoke
- E. Galbraith 2–0 26 14
- J. McGlynn 120 13 9
- B. Johnson 200 10 14
Referee
No referee assigned yet, or no cards data on file for the official appointed to this fixture.
Historic Bets Win Rate
How often each market has actually landed over each side’s last 10 games.
Top 5 Bangers
The five markets that have landed most often over the last 10 games, best first.
-
1
Stoke Team Over 3.5 Corners 100.0%
-
2
Stoke To Win or Draw (Double Chance) 90.0%
-
3
Stoke To Score 90.0%
-
4
Stoke Over 8.5 Corners in the Match 88.9%
-
5
Lincoln City Higher Scoring 2nd Half 88.9%
-
1
GW
G. Wickens Over 1.5 Saves 90.0%
-
2
FD
F. Draper Over 0.5 Fouls Committed 90.0%
-
3
ML
M. Ladefoged Over 1.5 Shots 70.0%
-
4
LB
L. Bombino Over 1.5 Tackles 70.0%
-
5
JM
J. McGlynn Over 0.5 Shots on Target 60.0%
Match Result
3 markets
Handicap
3 markets
Goals
9 markets
Both Teams to Score
5 markets
Correct Score
7 markets
Half-Time
6 markets
Half-Time / Full-Time
5 markets
First & Last Goal
5 markets
Clean Sheet & Win to Nil
4 markets
Corners
9 markets
Cards
7 markets
Shots
6 markets
Fouls & Offsides
4 markets
Match Specials
3 markets
Goalscorer
6 markets, best-placed player from each squad
Assists
3 markets, best-placed player from each squad
Shots
6 markets, best-placed player from each squad
Cards
3 markets, best-placed player from each squad
Fouls
3 markets, best-placed player from each squad
Tackles
3 markets, best-placed player from each squad
Goalkeeper
4 markets, best-placed player from each squad
Player Combos
3 markets, best-placed player from each squad