Ludogorets vs Cherno More

Mon 07 Dec, 16:00 UTC · Matchweek 17 · probabilities and historical statistics

Predicted outcome

Ludogorets win · Most likely 70.3%
Draw 20.6%
Cherno More win 9.1%

Event markets

Both teams to score 40%Avg 46%
Over 1.5 goals 73%Avg 72%
Over 2.5 goals 48%Avg 46%
Ludogorets clean sheet 54%Avg 36%
Cherno More clean sheet 14%Avg 27%
Over 8.5 corners 64%Avg 60%
Over 9.5 corners 52%Avg 45%
Over 2.5 cards 82%Avg 85%
Over 3.5 cards 64%Avg 68%

This match League average

Predicted Score

1-014.6%
2-014.6%
3-09.5%

Team comparison

Attack Defense Form Discipline Cleansheets
  • Ludogorets
  • Cherno More

Did you know?

  • Ludogorets's matches have gone over 1.5 goals in 10 of their last 10.
  • Cherno More have won just 1 of their last 10 away matches.
  • Cherno More beat Ludogorets 4-0 in the biggest recent win between these two.
  • Cherno More have picked up just 0.2 cards per game over their last 10, well below the league average of 1.3.

H2H

16meetings
  • Ludogorets win · 9 (56%)
  • Draw · 4 (25%)
  • Cherno More win · 3 (19%)
Avg. total goals 2.31 League avg: 2.48
Over 2.5 goals 38% League avg: 46%
Both teams to score 38% League avg: 46%
Whoever hosts wins 50% League avg: 43%
Avg. total corners 7.33 League avg: 9.27
Avg. total cards 5.00 League avg: 4.51
Ludogorets avg. goals 1.31 League avg: 1.24
Cherno More avg. goals 1.00 League avg: 1.24

Biggest win: Cherno More 4–0 Ludogorets (19 May 24).

Ludogorets vs Cherno More head to head: in the previous 16 meetings, Ludogorets have won 9 times, Cherno More have won 3 times and 4 ended in a draw. Ludogorets scored 21 goals and Cherno More scored 16 goals in these matches. The latest meeting, on 9 Aug 2026, was won 3-2 by Ludogorets, away at Cherno More. Ludogorets are unbeaten in the last 3 meetings. Across these matches, both teams scored in 6 of 16 and 6 had over 2.5 goals. Ludogorets kept 7 clean sheets and Cherno More kept 6.

How they play

Each line runs across the 14 clubs of the league, from up to the last 19 league games of each. A marker at either end means the most or least of that measure.

Ludogorets
  • Keeps the ball
  • Set piece heavy
Cherno More
  • Possession
    Cedes the ballKeeps the ball
    59% 2nd of 13 50% 8th of 13
  • Shot selection
    Shoots on sightWaits for the chance
    0.13 xG a shot 5th of 14 0.12 xG a shot 10th of 14
  • Set pieces
    Open playSet pieces
    32% of xG 4th of 14 30% of xG 7th of 14
  • Route to goal
    On the groundCrosses and headers
    19% of shots 5th of 14 13% of shots 10th of 14

Where they differ

  • Ludogorets see much more of the ball than Cherno More, 59% against 50%.
  • Ludogorets wait for better chances than Cherno More, 0.13 xG a shot against 0.12.
  • Ludogorets go more through the air than Cherno More, 19% of shots against 13%.

Ball Stats (Last 10 games)

Ludogorets Cherno More
21 (2.1 avg) Goals 11 (1.1 avg)
26 (13.0 avg) Total Shots 13 (13.0 avg)
10 (5.0 avg) Shots on Target 6 (6.0 avg)
6 (3.0 avg) Blocked Shots 4 (4.0 avg)
10 (5.0 avg) Corners 3 (3.0 avg)
1100 (110.0 avg) Attacks 960 (96.0 avg)
595 (59.5 avg) Dangerous Attacks 505 (50.5 avg)
0 (0.0 avg) Key Passes 0 (0.0 avg)
1031 (515.5 avg) Passes 422 (422.0 avg)
873 (85%) Pass Accuracy 339 (80%)
59% Ball Possession 44%

Disciplinary/Tackles (Last 10 games)

Ludogorets Cherno More
1 (0.1 avg) Red Cards 2 (0.2 avg)
21 (2.1 avg) Yellow Cards 31 (3.1 avg)
2 (1.0 avg) Tackles 1 (1.0 avg)
22 (11.0 avg) Fouls 10 (10.0 avg)
2 (1.0 avg) Offsides 2 (2.0 avg)
N/A Duels Won N/A
N/A Aerial Duels Won N/A

Previous Game Statistics (Last 10)

Ludogorets

1.5Goals
  • Under · 0 (0%)
  • Over · 10 (100%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 1 (50%)
  • Over · 1 (50%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 2 (100%)
  • Over · 0 (0%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 7 (70%)
  • Over · 3 (30%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 2 (100%)
  • Over · 0 (0%)
CS
  • Yes · 3 (30%)
  • No · 7 (70%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 6 (60%)
  • No · 4 (40%)

Cherno More

1.5Goals
  • Under · 3 (30%)
  • Over · 7 (70%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 0 (0%)
  • Over · 1 (100%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 6 (60%)
  • Over · 4 (40%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 0 (0%)
  • Over · 1 (100%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 6 (60%)
  • Over · 4 (40%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 0 (0%)
  • Over · 1 (100%)
CS
  • Yes · 3 (30%)
  • No · 7 (70%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 5 (50%)
  • No · 5 (50%)