Ludogorets vs Lokomotiv Sofia

Sat 06 Mar, 16:00 UTC · Matchweek 21 · probabilities and historical statistics

Predicted outcome

Ludogorets win · Most likely 75.7%
Draw 16.5%
Lokomotiv Sofia win 7.8%

Event markets

Both teams to score 47%Avg 46%
Over 1.5 goals 82%Avg 72%
Over 2.5 goals 61%Avg 46%
Ludogorets clean sheet 49%Avg 36%
Lokomotiv Sofia clean sheet 9%Avg 27%
Over 8.5 corners 67%Avg 60%
Over 9.5 corners 54%Avg 45%
Over 2.5 cards 79%Avg 85%
Over 3.5 cards 60%Avg 68%

This match League average

Predicted Score

2-012.6%
1-010.3%
3-010.0%

Team comparison

Attack Defense Form Discipline Cleansheets
  • Ludogorets
  • Lokomotiv Sofia

Did you know?

  • Ludogorets's matches have gone over 1.5 goals in 10 of their last 10.
  • Ludogorets beat Lokomotiv Sofia 6-0 in the biggest recent win between these two.
  • Ludogorets have lost to Lokomotiv Sofia just once in their last 11 meetings.
  • Lokomotiv Sofia have won just 1 of their last 10 matches.

H2H

11meetings
  • Ludogorets win · 9 (82%)
  • Draw · 1 (9%)
  • Lokomotiv Sofia win · 1 (9%)
Avg. total goals 3.18 League avg: 2.48
Over 2.5 goals 64% League avg: 46%
Both teams to score 45% League avg: 46%
Whoever hosts wins 45% League avg: 43%
Avg. total corners 10.50 League avg: 9.27
Avg. total cards 1.50 League avg: 4.51
Ludogorets avg. goals 2.55 League avg: 1.24
Lokomotiv Sofia avg. goals 0.64 League avg: 1.24

Biggest win: Ludogorets 6–0 Lokomotiv Sofia (16 Mar 24).

Ludogorets vs Lokomotiv Sofia head to head: in the previous 11 meetings, Ludogorets have won 9 times, Lokomotiv Sofia have won once and 1 ended in a draw. Ludogorets scored 28 goals and Lokomotiv Sofia scored 7 goals in these matches. The latest meeting, on 6 Sep 2026, was won 2-1 by Ludogorets, away at Lokomotiv Sofia. Ludogorets are unbeaten in the last 8 meetings. Across these matches, both teams scored in 5 of 11 and 7 had over 2.5 goals. Ludogorets kept 5 clean sheets and Lokomotiv Sofia kept 2.

How they play

Each line runs across the 14 clubs of the league, from up to the last 19 league games of each. A marker at either end means the most or least of that measure.

Ludogorets
  • Keeps the ball
  • Set piece heavy
Lokomotiv Sofia
  • Crosses and headers
  • Keeps the ball
  • Possession
    Cedes the ballKeeps the ball
    59% 2nd of 13 54% 4th of 13
  • Shot selection
    Shoots on sightWaits for the chance
    0.13 xG a shot 5th of 14 0.12 xG a shot 9th of 14
  • Set pieces
    Open playSet pieces
    32% of xG 4th of 14 28% of xG 9th of 14
  • Route to goal
    On the groundCrosses and headers
    19% of shots 5th of 14 22% of shots 2nd of 14

Where they differ

  • Ludogorets get more of their chances from set pieces than Lokomotiv Sofia, 32% against 28%.
  • Ludogorets wait for better chances than Lokomotiv Sofia, 0.13 xG a shot against 0.12.

Ball Stats (Last 10 games)

Ludogorets Lokomotiv Sofia
21 (2.1 avg) Goals 11 (1.1 avg)
26 (13.0 avg) Total Shots N/A
10 (5.0 avg) Shots on Target N/A
6 (3.0 avg) Blocked Shots N/A
10 (5.0 avg) Corners N/A
1100 (110.0 avg) Attacks 791 (87.9 avg)
595 (59.5 avg) Dangerous Attacks 516 (57.3 avg)
0 (0.0 avg) Key Passes 0 (0.0 avg)
1031 (515.5 avg) Passes N/A
873 (85%) Pass Accuracy N/A
59% Ball Possession N/A

Disciplinary/Tackles (Last 10 games)

Ludogorets Lokomotiv Sofia
1 (0.1 avg) Red Cards 1 (0.1 avg)
21 (2.1 avg) Yellow Cards 34 (3.4 avg)
2 (1.0 avg) Tackles N/A
22 (11.0 avg) Fouls N/A
2 (1.0 avg) Offsides N/A
N/A Duels Won N/A
N/A Aerial Duels Won N/A

Previous Game Statistics (Last 10)

Ludogorets

1.5Goals
  • Under · 0 (0%)
  • Over · 10 (100%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 1 (50%)
  • Over · 1 (50%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 2 (100%)
  • Over · 0 (0%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 7 (70%)
  • Over · 3 (30%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 2 (100%)
  • Over · 0 (0%)
CS
  • Yes · 3 (30%)
  • No · 7 (70%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 6 (60%)
  • No · 4 (40%)

Lokomotiv Sofia

1.5Goals
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 6 (60%)
  • Over · 4 (40%)
CS
  • Yes · 1 (10%)
  • No · 9 (90%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 7 (70%)
  • No · 3 (30%)