Ludogorets vs Spartak Varna

Sat 27 Feb, 16:00 UTC · Matchweek 20 · probabilities and historical statistics

Predicted outcome

Ludogorets win · Most likely 79.9%
Draw 14.5%
Spartak Varna win 5.6%

Event markets

Both teams to score 42%Avg 46%
Over 1.5 goals 82%Avg 71%
Over 2.5 goals 60%Avg 47%
Ludogorets clean sheet 55%Avg 35%
Spartak Varna clean sheet 8%Avg 27%
Over 8.5 corners 62%Avg 60%
Over 9.5 corners 49%Avg 45%
Over 2.5 cards 81%Avg 85%
Over 3.5 cards 63%Avg 68%

This match League average

Predicted Score

2-013.9%
3-011.6%
1-011.1%

Team comparison

Attack Defense Form Discipline Cleansheets
  • Ludogorets
  • Spartak Varna

Did you know?

  • Ludogorets's matches have gone over 1.5 goals in 10 of their last 10.
  • Ludogorets have not lost to Spartak Varna in their last 7 meetings.
  • Ludogorets beat Spartak Varna 5-0 in the biggest recent win between these two.
  • Both teams have scored in 6 of the last 7 meetings between these two.

H2H

All 7 meetings on file.

DateHomeScoreAway
30 Aug 26 Spartak Varna 1–1 Ludogorets
19 Mar 26 Spartak Varna 1–5 Ludogorets
18 Oct 25 Ludogorets 1–1 Spartak Varna
19 Apr 25 Ludogorets 2–1 Spartak Varna
10 Nov 24 Spartak Varna 1–3 Ludogorets
11 Feb 23 Spartak Varna 1–2 Ludogorets
29 Jul 22 Ludogorets 5–0 Spartak Varna
7meetings
  • Ludogorets win · 5 (71%)
  • Draw · 2 (29%)
  • Spartak Varna win · 0 (0%)
Avg. total goals 3.57 League avg: 2.48
Over 2.5 goals 71% League avg: 47%
Both teams to score 86% League avg: 46%
Whoever hosts wins 29% League avg: 43%
Avg. total corners 8.50 League avg: 9.27
Avg. total cards 3.50 League avg: 4.51
Ludogorets avg. goals 2.71 League avg: 1.24
Spartak Varna avg. goals 0.86 League avg: 1.24

Biggest win: Ludogorets 5–0 Spartak Varna (29 Jul 22).

Ludogorets vs Spartak Varna head to head: in the previous 7 meetings, Ludogorets have won 5 times, Spartak Varna have not won and 2 ended in a draw. Ludogorets scored 19 goals and Spartak Varna scored 6 goals in these matches. The latest meeting, on 30 Aug 2026, ended 1-1 at Spartak Varna. Ludogorets are unbeaten in the last 7 meetings. Across these matches, both teams scored in 6 of 7 and 5 had over 2.5 goals. Ludogorets kept 1 clean sheet.

How they play

Each line runs across the 14 clubs of the league, from up to the last 19 league games of each. A marker at either end means the most or least of that measure.

Ludogorets
  • Keeps the ball
  • Crosses and headers
Spartak Varna
  • Cedes possession
  • Open play side
  • Possession
    Cedes the ballKeeps the ball
    59% 2nd of 13 41% 13th of 13
  • Shot selection
    Shoots on sightWaits for the chance
    0.13 xG a shot 7th of 14 0.13 xG a shot 6th of 14
  • Set pieces
    Open playSet pieces
    29% of xG 7th of 14 21% of xG 14th of 14
  • Route to goal
    On the groundCrosses and headers
    20% of shots 4th of 14 13% of shots 9th of 14

Where they differ

  • Ludogorets see much more of the ball than Spartak Varna, 59% against 41%.
  • Ludogorets get more of their chances from set pieces than Spartak Varna, 29% against 21%.
  • Ludogorets go more through the air than Spartak Varna, 20% of shots against 13%.

Ball Stats (Last 10 games)

Ludogorets Spartak Varna
21 (2.1 avg) Goals 7 (0.7 avg)
26 (13.0 avg) Total Shots 8 (8.0 avg)
10 (5.0 avg) Shots on Target 2 (2.0 avg)
6 (3.0 avg) Blocked Shots 3 (3.0 avg)
10 (5.0 avg) Corners 6 (6.0 avg)
1100 (110.0 avg) Attacks 778 (86.4 avg)
595 (59.5 avg) Dangerous Attacks 396 (44.0 avg)
0 (0.0 avg) Key Passes 0 (0.0 avg)
1031 (515.5 avg) Passes 272 (272.0 avg)
873 (85%) Pass Accuracy 182 (67%)
59% Ball Possession 41%

Disciplinary/Tackles (Last 10 games)

Ludogorets Spartak Varna
1 (0.1 avg) Red Cards 1 (0.1 avg)
21 (2.1 avg) Yellow Cards 19 (1.9 avg)
2 (1.0 avg) Tackles 1 (1.0 avg)
22 (11.0 avg) Fouls 10 (10.0 avg)
2 (1.0 avg) Offsides 1 (1.0 avg)
N/A Duels Won N/A
N/A Aerial Duels Won N/A

Previous Game Statistics (Last 10)

Ludogorets

1.5Goals
  • Under · 0 (0%)
  • Over · 10 (100%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 1 (50%)
  • Over · 1 (50%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 2 (100%)
  • Over · 0 (0%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 7 (70%)
  • Over · 3 (30%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 2 (100%)
  • Over · 0 (0%)
CS
  • Yes · 3 (30%)
  • No · 7 (70%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 6 (60%)
  • No · 4 (40%)

Spartak Varna

1.5Goals
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 0 (0%)
  • Over · 1 (100%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 7 (70%)
  • Over · 3 (30%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 1 (100%)
  • Over · 0 (0%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 7 (70%)
  • Over · 3 (30%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 1 (100%)
  • Over · 0 (0%)
CS
  • Yes · 2 (20%)
  • No · 8 (80%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 4 (40%)
  • No · 6 (60%)