Middlesbrough vs Bristol City

Sat 21 Nov, 15:00 UTC · Matchweek 16 · probabilities and historical statistics

Predicted outcome

Middlesbrough win · Most likely 57.6%
Draw 23.7%
Bristol City win 18.7%

Event markets

Both teams to score 55%Avg 56%
Over 1.5 goals 78%Avg 75%
Over 2.5 goals 55%Avg 51%
Middlesbrough clean sheet 36%Avg 28%
Bristol City clean sheet 15%Avg 22%
Over 8.5 corners 86%Avg 66%
Over 9.5 corners 77%Avg 54%
Over 2.5 cards 56%Avg 72%
Over 3.5 cards 33%Avg 50%

This match League average

Predicted Score

1-010.3%
2-110.0%
2-09.6%

Team comparison

Attack Defense Form Discipline Cleansheets
  • Middlesbrough
  • Bristol City

Did you know?

  • Bristol City have underscored their xG by 0.86 goals per game over their last 10. They have created more than the scoreline shows.
  • Bristol City have lost to Middlesbrough just once in their last 10 meetings.
  • Bristol City have won just 2 of their last 10 matches.
  • Both teams have scored in 8 of the last 10 meetings between these two.

H2H

All 10 meetings on file.

DateHomeScoreAway
14 Mar 26 Middlesbrough 1–1 Bristol City
20 Dec 25 Bristol City 2–0 Middlesbrough
21 Feb 25 Bristol City 2–1 Middlesbrough
19 Oct 24 Middlesbrough 0–2 Bristol City
10 Feb 24 Middlesbrough 1–2 Bristol City
25 Nov 23 Bristol City 3–2 Middlesbrough
10 Apr 23 Bristol City 2–2 Middlesbrough
05 Nov 22 Middlesbrough 1–1 Bristol City
19 Feb 22 Bristol City 2–1 Middlesbrough
14 Aug 21 Middlesbrough 2–1 Bristol City
10meetings
  • Middlesbrough win · 1 (10%)
  • Draw · 3 (30%)
  • Bristol City win · 6 (60%)
Avg. total goals 2.90 League avg: 2.62
Over 2.5 goals 60% League avg: 51%
Both teams to score 80% League avg: 56%
Whoever hosts wins 50% League avg: 43%
Avg. total corners 9.50 League avg: 10.31
Avg. total cards 3.90 League avg: 3.82
Middlesbrough avg. goals 1.10 League avg: 1.31
Bristol City avg. goals 1.80 League avg: 1.31

Biggest win: Bristol City 2–0 Middlesbrough (20 Dec 25).

Middlesbrough vs Bristol City head to head: in the previous 10 meetings, Middlesbrough have won once, Bristol City have won 6 times and 3 ended in a draw. Middlesbrough scored 11 goals and Bristol City scored 18 goals in these matches. The latest meeting, on 14 Mar 2026, ended 1-1 at Middlesbrough. Bristol City are unbeaten in the last 9 meetings. Across these matches, both teams scored in 8 of 10 and 6 had over 2.5 goals. Bristol City kept 2.

How they play

Each line runs across the 24 clubs of the league, from up to the last 19 league games of each. A marker at either end means the most or least of that measure.

Middlesbrough
  • Keeps the ball
  • Plays on the floor
Bristol City
  • Crosses and headers
  • Cedes possession
  • Selective shooters
  • Possession
    Cedes the ballKeeps the ball
    59% 2nd of 24 46% 19th of 24
  • Shot selection
    Shoots on sightWaits for the chance
    0.11 xG a shot 8th of 24 0.11 xG a shot 7th of 24
  • Set pieces
    Open playSet pieces
    23% of xG 14th of 24 32% of xG 9th of 24
  • Route to goal
    On the groundCrosses and headers
    14% of shots 20th of 24 25% of shots 2nd of 24

Where they differ

  • Bristol City go more through the air than Middlesbrough, 25% of shots against 14%.
  • Middlesbrough see much more of the ball than Bristol City, 59% against 46%.

Ball Stats (Last 10 games)

Middlesbrough Bristol City
22 (2.2 avg) Goals 7 (0.7 avg)
201 (20.1 avg) Total Shots 138 (13.8 avg)
68 (6.8 avg) Shots on Target 44 (4.4 avg)
63 (6.3 avg) Blocked Shots 37 (3.7 avg)
66 (6.6 avg) Corners 58 (5.8 avg)
896 (89.6 avg) Attacks 780 (78.0 avg)
537 (53.7 avg) Dangerous Attacks 429 (42.9 avg)
158 (15.8 avg) Key Passes 98 (9.8 avg)
5387 (538.7 avg) Passes 3845 (384.5 avg)
4678 (87%) Pass Accuracy 2950 (77%)
61% Ball Possession 47%

Disciplinary/Tackles (Last 10 games)

Middlesbrough Bristol City
0 (0.0 avg) Red Cards 0 (0.0 avg)
13 (1.3 avg) Yellow Cards 13 (1.3 avg)
156 (15.6 avg) Tackles 165 (16.5 avg)
89 (8.9 avg) Fouls 112 (11.2 avg)
26 (2.6 avg) Offsides 17 (1.9 avg)
444 (44.4 avg) Duels Won 482 (48.2 avg)
130 (13.0 avg) Aerial Duels Won 186 (18.6 avg)

Previous Game Statistics (Last 10)

Middlesbrough

1.5Goals
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 2 (22%)
  • Over · 7 (78%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 3 (30%)
  • Over · 7 (70%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (44%)
  • Over · 5 (56%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (44%)
  • Over · 5 (56%)
CS
  • Yes · 3 (30%)
  • No · 7 (70%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 6 (60%)
  • No · 4 (40%)

Bristol City

1.5Goals
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 3 (33%)
  • Over · 6 (67%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 6 (60%)
  • Over · 4 (40%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (44%)
  • Over · 5 (56%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 7 (70%)
  • Over · 3 (30%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (44%)
  • Over · 5 (56%)
CS
  • Yes · 2 (20%)
  • No · 8 (80%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 4 (40%)
  • No · 6 (60%)