Middlesbrough vs Stoke

Tue 16 Feb, 19:45 UTC · Matchweek 32 · probabilities and historical statistics

Predicted outcome

Middlesbrough win · Most likely 61.8%
Draw 23.2%
Stoke win 15.0%

Event markets

Both teams to score 49%Avg 56%
Over 1.5 goals 75%Avg 75%
Over 2.5 goals 51%Avg 51%
Middlesbrough clean sheet 43%Avg 28%
Stoke clean sheet 15%Avg 22%
Over 8.5 corners 86%Avg 66%
Over 9.5 corners 78%Avg 54%
Over 2.5 cards 68%Avg 72%
Over 3.5 cards 46%Avg 50%

This match League average

Predicted Score

1-012.2%
2-011.4%
2-19.9%

Team comparison

Attack Defense Form Discipline Cleansheets
  • Middlesbrough
  • Stoke

Did you know?

  • Stoke have outscored their xG by 0.62 goals per game over their last 10. Finishing that hot rarely keeps up.
  • Stoke's matches have had over 9.5 corners in 7 of their last 9 (corner data on file).
  • Middlesbrough's matches have gone over 2.5 goals in 7 of their last 10.
  • Stoke have won 7 of their last 10 matches (all competitions).

H2H

All 11 meetings on file.

DateHomeScoreAway
13 Oct 26 Stoke 2–3 Middlesbrough
21 Jan 26 Stoke 1–2 Middlesbrough
30 Sep 25 Middlesbrough 0–0 Stoke
25 Feb 25 Stoke 1–3 Middlesbrough
28 Sep 24 Middlesbrough 2–0 Stoke
02 Mar 24 Stoke 2–0 Middlesbrough
28 Oct 23 Middlesbrough 0–2 Stoke
14 Mar 23 Middlesbrough 1–1 Stoke
17 Aug 22 Stoke 2–2 Middlesbrough
30 Apr 22 Middlesbrough 3–1 Stoke
11 Dec 21 Stoke 0–0 Middlesbrough
11meetings
  • Middlesbrough win · 5 (45%)
  • Draw · 4 (36%)
  • Stoke win · 2 (18%)
Avg. total goals 2.55 League avg: 2.61
Over 2.5 goals 45% League avg: 51%
Both teams to score 55% League avg: 56%
Whoever hosts wins 27% League avg: 43%
Avg. total corners 9.45 League avg: 10.31
Avg. total cards 3.73 League avg: 3.82
Middlesbrough avg. goals 1.45 League avg: 1.31
Stoke avg. goals 1.09 League avg: 1.31

Biggest win: Stoke 1–3 Middlesbrough (25 Feb 25).

Middlesbrough vs Stoke head to head: in the previous 11 meetings, Middlesbrough have won 5 times, Stoke have won 2 times and 4 ended in a draw. Middlesbrough scored 16 goals and Stoke scored 12 goals in these matches. The latest meeting, on 13 Oct 2026, was won 3-2 by Middlesbrough, away at Stoke. Middlesbrough are unbeaten in the last 5 meetings. Across these matches, both teams scored in 6 of 11 and 5 had over 2.5 goals. Middlesbrough kept 3 clean sheets and Stoke kept 4.

How they play

Each line runs across the 24 clubs of the league, from up to the last 19 league games of each. A marker at either end means the most or least of that measure.

Middlesbrough
  • Keeps the ball
  • Plays on the floor
Stoke
  • Shoots on sight
  • Cedes possession
  • Possession
    Cedes the ballKeeps the ball
    59% 2nd of 24 47% 18th of 24
  • Shot selection
    Shoots on sightWaits for the chance
    0.11 xG a shot 8th of 24 0.09 xG a shot 22nd of 24
  • Set pieces
    Open playSet pieces
    23% of xG 14th of 24 32% of xG 10th of 24
  • Route to goal
    On the groundCrosses and headers
    14% of shots 20th of 24 19% of shots 11th of 24

Where they differ

  • Middlesbrough see much more of the ball than Stoke, 59% against 47%.
  • Middlesbrough wait for better chances than Stoke, 0.11 xG a shot against 0.09.
  • Stoke go more through the air than Middlesbrough, 19% of shots against 14%.

Ball Stats (Last 10 games)

Middlesbrough Stoke
22 (2.2 avg) Goals 16 (1.6 avg)
201 (20.1 avg) Total Shots 115 (11.5 avg)
68 (6.8 avg) Shots on Target 37 (3.7 avg)
64 (6.4 avg) Blocked Shots 25 (2.5 avg)
66 (6.6 avg) Corners 52 (5.2 avg)
896 (89.6 avg) Attacks 783 (78.3 avg)
537 (53.7 avg) Dangerous Attacks 358 (35.8 avg)
145 (16.1 avg) Key Passes 89 (8.9 avg)
5387 (538.7 avg) Passes 3839 (383.9 avg)
4678 (87%) Pass Accuracy 3015 (79%)
61% Ball Possession 47%

Disciplinary/Tackles (Last 10 games)

Middlesbrough Stoke
0 (0.0 avg) Red Cards 1 (0.1 avg)
13 (1.3 avg) Yellow Cards 20 (2.0 avg)
155 (15.5 avg) Tackles 154 (15.4 avg)
89 (8.9 avg) Fouls 115 (11.5 avg)
26 (2.6 avg) Offsides 24 (2.4 avg)
397 (44.1 avg) Duels Won 499 (49.9 avg)
114 (12.7 avg) Aerial Duels Won 178 (17.8 avg)

Previous Game Statistics (Last 10)

Middlesbrough

1.5Goals
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 2 (22%)
  • Over · 7 (78%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 3 (30%)
  • Over · 7 (70%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (44%)
  • Over · 5 (56%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (44%)
  • Over · 5 (56%)
CS
  • Yes · 3 (30%)
  • No · 7 (70%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 6 (60%)
  • No · 4 (40%)

Stoke

1.5Goals
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 1 (11%)
  • Over · 8 (89%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 1 (11%)
  • Over · 8 (89%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 9 (90%)
  • Over · 1 (10%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 2 (22%)
  • Over · 7 (78%)
CS
  • Yes · 3 (30%)
  • No · 7 (70%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 7 (70%)
  • No · 3 (30%)