Middlesbrough vs Swansea

Tue 24 Nov, 19:45 UTC · Matchweek 17 · probabilities and historical statistics

Predicted outcome

Middlesbrough win · Most likely 53.1%
Draw 25.5%
Swansea win 21.4%

Event markets

Both teams to score 53%Avg 56%
Over 1.5 goals 75%Avg 75%
Over 2.5 goals 51%Avg 51%
Middlesbrough clean sheet 36%Avg 28%
Swansea clean sheet 18%Avg 22%
Over 8.5 corners 81%Avg 66%
Over 9.5 corners 71%Avg 54%
Over 2.5 cards 58%Avg 72%
Over 3.5 cards 36%Avg 50%

This match League average

Predicted Score

1-011.1%
2-19.8%
2-09.3%

Team comparison

Attack Defense Form Discipline Cleansheets
  • Middlesbrough
  • Swansea

Did you know?

  • Middlesbrough have lost to Swansea just once in their last 10 meetings.
  • Middlesbrough's matches have gone over 2.5 goals in 7 of their last 10.
  • Middlesbrough have won 7 of their last 10 home matches.
  • Middlesbrough's matches have produced over 3.5 goals in 6 of their last 10.

H2H

All 10 meetings on file.

DateHomeScoreAway
06 Apr 26 Swansea 2–2 Middlesbrough
09 Aug 25 Middlesbrough 1–0 Swansea
08 Mar 25 Swansea 1–0 Middlesbrough
10 Aug 24 Middlesbrough 1–0 Swansea
06 Apr 24 Middlesbrough 2–0 Swansea
16 Dec 23 Swansea 1–2 Middlesbrough
11 Mar 23 Swansea 1–3 Middlesbrough
27 Aug 22 Middlesbrough 2–1 Swansea
23 Apr 22 Swansea 1–1 Middlesbrough
04 Dec 21 Middlesbrough 1–0 Swansea
10meetings
  • Middlesbrough win · 7 (70%)
  • Draw · 2 (20%)
  • Swansea win · 1 (10%)
Avg. total goals 2.20 League avg: 2.61
Over 2.5 goals 40% League avg: 51%
Both teams to score 50% League avg: 56%
Whoever hosts wins 60% League avg: 43%
Avg. total corners 10.70 League avg: 10.31
Avg. total cards 4.50 League avg: 3.82
Middlesbrough avg. goals 1.50 League avg: 1.30
Swansea avg. goals 0.70 League avg: 1.30

Biggest win: Middlesbrough 2–0 Swansea (06 Apr 24).

Middlesbrough vs Swansea head to head: in the previous 10 meetings, Middlesbrough have won 7 times, Swansea have won once and 2 ended in a draw. Middlesbrough scored 15 goals and Swansea scored 7 goals in these matches. The latest meeting, on 6 Apr 2026, ended 2-2 at Swansea. Across these matches, both teams scored in 5 of 10 and 4 had over 2.5 goals. Middlesbrough kept 4 clean sheets and Swansea kept 1.

How they play

Each line runs across the 24 clubs of the league, from up to the last 19 league games of each. A marker at either end means the most or least of that measure.

Middlesbrough
  • Keeps the ball
  • Plays on the floor
Swansea
  • Selective shooters
  • Keeps the ball
  • Plays on the floor
  • Possession
    Cedes the ballKeeps the ball
    59% 2nd of 24 58% 3rd of 24
  • Shot selection
    Shoots on sightWaits for the chance
    0.11 xG a shot 9th of 24 0.13 xG a shot 1st of 24
  • Set pieces
    Open playSet pieces
    24% of xG 13th of 24 21% of xG 19th of 24
  • Route to goal
    On the groundCrosses and headers
    14% of shots 22nd of 24 14% of shots 21st of 24

Where they differ

  • Swansea wait for better chances than Middlesbrough, 0.13 xG a shot against 0.11.

Ball Stats (Last 10 games)

Middlesbrough Swansea
23 (2.3 avg) Goals 14 (1.4 avg)
199 (19.9 avg) Total Shots 112 (11.2 avg)
70 (7.0 avg) Shots on Target 40 (4.0 avg)
64 (6.4 avg) Blocked Shots 35 (3.5 avg)
63 (6.3 avg) Corners 36 (3.6 avg)
773 (85.9 avg) Attacks 774 (86.0 avg)
485 (53.9 avg) Dangerous Attacks 358 (39.8 avg)
158 (15.8 avg) Key Passes 87 (8.7 avg)
5158 (515.8 avg) Passes 5544 (554.4 avg)
4456 (86%) Pass Accuracy 4632 (84%)
59% Ball Possession 60%

Disciplinary/Tackles (Last 10 games)

Middlesbrough Swansea
0 (0.0 avg) Red Cards 0 (0.0 avg)
12 (1.2 avg) Yellow Cards 13 (1.3 avg)
157 (15.7 avg) Tackles 182 (18.2 avg)
88 (8.8 avg) Fouls 101 (10.1 avg)
26 (2.6 avg) Offsides 22 (2.2 avg)
435 (43.5 avg) Duels Won 471 (47.1 avg)
125 (12.5 avg) Aerial Duels Won 125 (12.5 avg)

Previous Game Statistics (Last 10)

Middlesbrough

1.5Goals
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 3 (30%)
  • Over · 7 (70%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
CS
  • Yes · 3 (30%)
  • No · 7 (70%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 6 (60%)
  • No · 4 (40%)

Swansea

1.5Goals
  • Under · 3 (30%)
  • Over · 7 (70%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 3 (30%)
  • Over · 7 (70%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 6 (60%)
  • Over · 4 (40%)
CS
  • Yes · 3 (30%)
  • No · 7 (70%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 5 (50%)
  • No · 5 (50%)