Millwall vs Birmingham

Tue 26 Jan, 19:45 UTC · Matchweek 28 · probabilities and historical statistics

Predicted outcome

Millwall win · Most likely 42.9%
Draw 27.4%
Birmingham win 29.7%

Event markets

Both teams to score 55%Avg 56%
Over 1.5 goals 74%Avg 75%
Over 2.5 goals 49%Avg 51%
Millwall clean sheet 30%Avg 28%
Birmingham clean sheet 23%Avg 22%
Over 8.5 corners 80%Avg 66%
Over 9.5 corners 70%Avg 54%
Over 2.5 cards 73%Avg 72%
Over 3.5 cards 52%Avg 50%

This match League average

Predicted Score

1-010.0%
2-19.0%
2-07.3%

Team comparison

Attack Defense Form Discipline Cleansheets
  • Millwall
  • Birmingham

Did you know?

  • Millwall's matches have gone over 2.5 goals in 8 of their last 10.
  • Birmingham beat Millwall 4-0 in the biggest recent win between these two.
  • Millwall have won just 3 of their last 10 matches.
  • Millwall have conceded in each of their last 5 matches.

H2H

All 9 meetings on file.

DateHomeScoreAway
03 Nov 26 Birmingham 3–0 Millwall
25 Feb 26 Millwall 3–0 Birmingham
04 Nov 25 Birmingham 4–0 Millwall
09 Mar 24 Millwall 1–0 Birmingham
02 Sep 23 Birmingham 1–1 Millwall
18 Apr 23 Millwall 0–1 Birmingham
02 Nov 22 Birmingham 0–0 Millwall
23 Apr 22 Birmingham 2–2 Millwall
04 Dec 21 Millwall 3–1 Birmingham
9meetings
  • Millwall win · 3 (33%)
  • Draw · 3 (33%)
  • Birmingham win · 3 (33%)
Avg. total goals 2.44 League avg: 2.61
Over 2.5 goals 56% League avg: 51%
Both teams to score 33% League avg: 56%
Whoever hosts wins 56% League avg: 43%
Avg. total corners 9.44 League avg: 10.31
Avg. total cards 2.44 League avg: 3.82
Millwall avg. goals 1.11 League avg: 1.30
Birmingham avg. goals 1.33 League avg: 1.30

Biggest win: Birmingham 4–0 Millwall (04 Nov 25).

Millwall vs Birmingham head to head: in the previous 9 meetings, Millwall have won 3 times, Birmingham have won 3 times and 3 ended in a draw. Millwall scored 10 goals and Birmingham scored 12 goals in these matches. The latest meeting, on 3 Nov 2026, was won 3-0 by Birmingham, at home against Millwall. Across these matches, both teams scored in 3 of 9 and 5 had over 2.5 goals. Millwall kept 3 clean sheets and Birmingham kept 4.

How they play

Each line runs across the 24 clubs of the league, from up to the last 19 league games of each. A marker at either end means the most or least of that measure.

Millwall
  • Selective shooters
  • Set piece heavy
  • Crosses and headers
Birmingham
  • Selective shooters
  • Possession
    Cedes the ballKeeps the ball
    49% 11th of 24 50% 10th of 24
  • Shot selection
    Shoots on sightWaits for the chance
    0.12 xG a shot 3rd of 24 0.12 xG a shot 5th of 24
  • Set pieces
    Open playSet pieces
    35% of xG 6th of 24 31% of xG 8th of 24
  • Route to goal
    On the groundCrosses and headers
    22% of shots 6th of 24 21% of shots 8th of 24

Where they differ

These two are close to each other on every one of these measures.

Ball Stats (Last 10 games)

Millwall Birmingham
17 (1.7 avg) Goals 21 (2.1 avg)
141 (14.1 avg) Total Shots 151 (15.1 avg)
43 (4.3 avg) Shots on Target 58 (5.8 avg)
37 (3.7 avg) Blocked Shots 44 (4.4 avg)
49 (4.9 avg) Corners 51 (5.1 avg)
879 (87.9 avg) Attacks 783 (87.0 avg)
474 (47.4 avg) Dangerous Attacks 401 (44.6 avg)
102 (10.2 avg) Key Passes 105 (10.5 avg)
3476 (347.6 avg) Passes 4101 (410.1 avg)
2560 (74%) Pass Accuracy 3130 (76%)
47% Ball Possession 52%

Disciplinary/Tackles (Last 10 games)

Millwall Birmingham
1 (0.1 avg) Red Cards 0 (0.0 avg)
22 (2.2 avg) Yellow Cards 21 (2.1 avg)
132 (13.2 avg) Tackles 154 (15.4 avg)
122 (12.2 avg) Fouls 123 (12.3 avg)
29 (2.9 avg) Offsides 20 (2.0 avg)
533 (53.3 avg) Duels Won 491 (49.1 avg)
248 (24.8 avg) Aerial Duels Won 187 (18.7 avg)

Previous Game Statistics (Last 10)

Millwall

1.5Goals
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 0 (0%)
  • Over · 10 (100%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 3 (30%)
  • Over · 7 (70%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
CS
  • Yes · 2 (20%)
  • No · 8 (80%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 6 (60%)
  • No · 4 (40%)

Birmingham

1.5Goals
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 3 (30%)
  • Over · 7 (70%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 6 (60%)
  • Over · 4 (40%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 6 (60%)
  • Over · 4 (40%)
CS
  • Yes · 4 (40%)
  • No · 6 (60%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 5 (50%)
  • No · 5 (50%)