Millwall vs Bristol City

Sat 06 Mar, 15:00 UTC · Matchweek 36 · probabilities and historical statistics

Predicted outcome

Millwall win · Most likely 48.9%
Draw 25.3%
Bristol City win 25.8%

Event markets

Both teams to score 59%Avg 56%
Over 1.5 goals 79%Avg 75%
Over 2.5 goals 56%Avg 51%
Millwall clean sheet 29%Avg 28%
Bristol City clean sheet 18%Avg 22%
Over 8.5 corners 77%Avg 66%
Over 9.5 corners 66%Avg 54%
Over 2.5 cards 67%Avg 72%
Over 3.5 cards 45%Avg 50%

This match League average

Predicted Score

2-19.6%
1-08.9%
2-07.7%

Team comparison

Attack Defense Form Discipline Cleansheets
  • Millwall
  • Bristol City

Did you know?

  • Bristol City have underscored their xG by 0.86 goals per game over their last 10. They have created more than the scoreline shows.
  • Millwall have won just 2 of their last 10 matches.
  • Millwall's matches have gone over 2.5 goals in 8 of their last 10.
  • Millwall have conceded in each of their last 6 matches.

H2H

All 11 meetings on file.

DateHomeScoreAway
15 Aug 26 Bristol City 0–2 Millwall
29 Dec 25 Millwall 2–1 Bristol City
06 Dec 25 Bristol City 0–1 Millwall
04 Mar 25 Millwall 0–2 Bristol City
17 Aug 24 Bristol City 4–3 Millwall
01 Jan 24 Bristol City 0–1 Millwall
12 Aug 23 Millwall 0–1 Bristol City
29 Dec 22 Millwall 0–0 Bristol City
15 Oct 22 Bristol City 1–2 Millwall
02 Jan 22 Bristol City 3–2 Millwall
29 Sep 21 Millwall 1–0 Bristol City
11meetings
  • Millwall win · 6 (55%)
  • Draw · 1 (9%)
  • Bristol City win · 4 (36%)
Avg. total goals 2.36 League avg: 2.61
Over 2.5 goals 36% League avg: 51%
Both teams to score 36% League avg: 56%
Whoever hosts wins 36% League avg: 43%
Avg. total corners 8.82 League avg: 10.31
Avg. total cards 3.64 League avg: 3.82
Millwall avg. goals 1.27 League avg: 1.31
Bristol City avg. goals 1.09 League avg: 1.31

Biggest win: Bristol City 0–2 Millwall (15 Aug 26).

Millwall vs Bristol City head to head: in the previous 11 meetings, Millwall have won 6 times, Bristol City have won 4 times and 1 ended in a draw. Millwall scored 14 goals and Bristol City scored 12 goals in these matches. The latest meeting, on 15 Aug 2026, was won 2-0 by Millwall, away at Bristol City. Millwall have won each of the last 3 meetings. Across these matches, both teams scored in 4 of 11 and 4 had over 2.5 goals. Millwall kept 5 clean sheets and Bristol City kept 3.

How they play

Each line runs across the 24 clubs of the league, from up to the last 19 league games of each. A marker at either end means the most or least of that measure.

Millwall
  • Selective shooters
  • Set piece heavy
  • Crosses and headers
Bristol City
  • Crosses and headers
  • Cedes possession
  • Selective shooters
  • Possession
    Cedes the ballKeeps the ball
    49% 13th of 24 46% 19th of 24
  • Shot selection
    Shoots on sightWaits for the chance
    0.12 xG a shot 4th of 24 0.11 xG a shot 7th of 24
  • Set pieces
    Open playSet pieces
    35% of xG 6th of 24 32% of xG 8th of 24
  • Route to goal
    On the groundCrosses and headers
    22% of shots 7th of 24 25% of shots 2nd of 24

Where they differ

These two are close to each other on every one of these measures.

Ball Stats (Last 10 games)

Millwall Bristol City
13 (1.3 avg) Goals 7 (0.7 avg)
135 (13.5 avg) Total Shots 138 (13.8 avg)
40 (4.0 avg) Shots on Target 43 (4.3 avg)
37 (3.7 avg) Blocked Shots 39 (3.9 avg)
50 (5.0 avg) Corners 58 (5.8 avg)
913 (91.3 avg) Attacks 780 (78.0 avg)
491 (49.1 avg) Dangerous Attacks 429 (42.9 avg)
94 (10.4 avg) Key Passes 98 (9.8 avg)
3528 (352.8 avg) Passes 3843 (384.3 avg)
2607 (74%) Pass Accuracy 2947 (77%)
47% Ball Possession 47%

Disciplinary/Tackles (Last 10 games)

Millwall Bristol City
0 (0.0 avg) Red Cards 0 (0.0 avg)
24 (2.4 avg) Yellow Cards 13 (1.3 avg)
133 (13.3 avg) Tackles 165 (16.5 avg)
123 (12.3 avg) Fouls 112 (11.2 avg)
29 (2.9 avg) Offsides 17 (1.9 avg)
478 (53.1 avg) Duels Won 482 (48.2 avg)
223 (24.8 avg) Aerial Duels Won 186 (18.6 avg)

Previous Game Statistics (Last 10)

Millwall

1.5Goals
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 0 (0%)
  • Over · 9 (100%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 3 (33%)
  • Over · 6 (67%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (44%)
  • Over · 5 (56%)
CS
  • Yes · 1 (10%)
  • No · 9 (90%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 6 (60%)
  • No · 4 (40%)

Bristol City

1.5Goals
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 3 (33%)
  • Over · 6 (67%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 6 (60%)
  • Over · 4 (40%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (44%)
  • Over · 5 (56%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 7 (70%)
  • Over · 3 (30%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (44%)
  • Over · 5 (56%)
CS
  • Yes · 2 (20%)
  • No · 8 (80%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 4 (40%)
  • No · 6 (60%)