Millwall vs Cardiff

Sat 20 Mar, 15:00 UTC · Matchweek 39 · probabilities and historical statistics

Predicted outcome

Millwall win · Most likely 54.9%
Draw 22.9%
Cardiff win 22.2%

Event markets

Both teams to score 62%Avg 56%
Over 1.5 goals 83%Avg 75%
Over 2.5 goals 62%Avg 51%
Millwall clean sheet 29%Avg 28%
Cardiff clean sheet 14%Avg 22%
Over 8.5 corners 80%Avg 66%
Over 9.5 corners 70%Avg 54%
Over 2.5 cards 71%Avg 72%
Over 3.5 cards 50%Avg 50%

This match League average

Predicted Score

2-19.7%
1-07.7%
2-07.7%

Team comparison

Attack Defense Form Discipline Cleansheets
  • Millwall
  • Cardiff

Did you know?

  • Cardiff have won just 0 of their last 10 away matches.
  • Millwall have won just 2 of their last 10 matches.
  • Millwall's matches have gone over 2.5 goals in 8 of their last 10.
  • Millwall have conceded in each of their last 6 matches.

H2H

All 8 meetings on file.

DateHomeScoreAway
21 Jan 25 Millwall 2–2 Cardiff
01 Oct 24 Cardiff 1–0 Millwall
13 Apr 24 Millwall 3–1 Cardiff
09 Dec 23 Cardiff 1–0 Millwall
21 Jan 23 Cardiff 0–1 Millwall
03 Sep 22 Millwall 2–0 Cardiff
12 Feb 22 Millwall 2–1 Cardiff
21 Aug 21 Cardiff 3–1 Millwall
8meetings
  • Millwall win · 4 (50%)
  • Draw · 1 (12%)
  • Cardiff win · 3 (38%)
Avg. total goals 2.50 League avg: 2.62
Over 2.5 goals 50% League avg: 51%
Both teams to score 50% League avg: 56%
Whoever hosts wins 75% League avg: 43%
Avg. total corners 8.75 League avg: 10.31
Avg. total cards 3.12 League avg: 3.82
Millwall avg. goals 1.38 League avg: 1.31
Cardiff avg. goals 1.12 League avg: 1.31

Biggest win: Millwall 3–1 Cardiff (13 Apr 24).

Millwall vs Cardiff head to head: in the previous 8 meetings, Millwall have won 4 times, Cardiff have won 3 times and 1 ended in a draw. Millwall scored 11 goals and Cardiff scored 9 goals in these matches. The latest meeting, on 21 Jan 2025, ended 2-2 at Millwall. Across these matches, both teams scored in 4 of 8 and 4 had over 2.5 goals. Millwall kept 2 clean sheets and Cardiff kept 2.

How they play

Each line runs across the 24 clubs of the league, from up to the last 19 league games of each. A marker at either end means the most or least of that measure.

Millwall
  • Selective shooters
  • Set piece heavy
  • Crosses and headers
Cardiff
  • Keeps the ball
  • Possession
    Cedes the ballKeeps the ball
    49% 13th of 24 60% 1st of 24
  • Shot selection
    Shoots on sightWaits for the chance
    0.12 xG a shot 3rd of 24 0.11 xG a shot 9th of 24
  • Set pieces
    Open playSet pieces
    35% of xG 6th of 24 23% of xG 15th of 24
  • Route to goal
    On the groundCrosses and headers
    22% of shots 7th of 24 17% of shots 13th of 24

Where they differ

  • Cardiff see much more of the ball than Millwall, 60% against 49%.
  • Millwall get more of their chances from set pieces than Cardiff, 35% against 23%.

Ball Stats (Last 10 games)

Millwall Cardiff
13 (1.3 avg) Goals 21 (2.1 avg)
135 (13.5 avg) Total Shots 171 (17.1 avg)
40 (4.0 avg) Shots on Target 67 (6.7 avg)
37 (3.7 avg) Blocked Shots 53 (5.3 avg)
50 (5.0 avg) Corners 56 (5.6 avg)
913 (91.3 avg) Attacks 976 (97.6 avg)
491 (49.1 avg) Dangerous Attacks 510 (51.0 avg)
99 (9.9 avg) Key Passes 135 (13.5 avg)
3530 (353.0 avg) Passes 4760 (476.0 avg)
2608 (74%) Pass Accuracy 3957 (83%)
47% Ball Possession 58%

Disciplinary/Tackles (Last 10 games)

Millwall Cardiff
0 (0.0 avg) Red Cards 1 (0.1 avg)
24 (2.4 avg) Yellow Cards 18 (1.8 avg)
133 (13.3 avg) Tackles 135 (13.5 avg)
123 (12.3 avg) Fouls 91 (9.1 avg)
29 (2.9 avg) Offsides 23 (2.3 avg)
531 (53.1 avg) Duels Won 473 (47.3 avg)
243 (24.3 avg) Aerial Duels Won 131 (13.1 avg)

Previous Game Statistics (Last 10)

Millwall

1.5Goals
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 0 (0%)
  • Over · 9 (100%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 3 (33%)
  • Over · 6 (67%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (44%)
  • Over · 5 (56%)
CS
  • Yes · 1 (10%)
  • No · 9 (90%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 6 (60%)
  • No · 4 (40%)

Cardiff

1.5Goals
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 3 (33%)
  • Over · 6 (67%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 3 (30%)
  • Over · 7 (70%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (44%)
  • Over · 5 (56%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (44%)
  • Over · 5 (56%)
CS
  • Yes · 1 (10%)
  • No · 9 (90%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 7 (70%)
  • No · 3 (30%)