Millwall vs Middlesbrough

Tue 06 Apr, 18:45 UTC · Matchweek 41 · probabilities and historical statistics

Predicted outcome

Millwall win 31.2%
Draw 26.1%
Middlesbrough win · Most likely 42.7%

Event markets

Both teams to score 60%Avg 56%
Over 1.5 goals 79%Avg 75%
Over 2.5 goals 55%Avg 51%
Millwall clean sheet 20%Avg 28%
Middlesbrough clean sheet 26%Avg 22%
Over 8.5 corners 81%Avg 66%
Over 9.5 corners 71%Avg 54%
Over 2.5 cards 64%Avg 72%
Over 3.5 cards 42%Avg 50%

This match League average

Predicted Score

1-29.0%
0-18.3%
0-26.6%

Team comparison

Attack Defense Form Discipline Cleansheets
  • Millwall
  • Middlesbrough

Did you know?

  • Millwall have won just 2 of their last 10 matches.
  • Millwall's matches have gone over 2.5 goals in 8 of their last 10.
  • Millwall have conceded in each of their last 6 matches.
  • Middlesbrough have won just 3 of their last 10 away matches.

H2H

All 11 meetings on file.

DateHomeScoreAway
15 Sep 26 Middlesbrough 2–2 Millwall
03 Apr 26 Middlesbrough 1–2 Millwall
16 Aug 25 Millwall 0–3 Middlesbrough
12 Apr 25 Millwall 1–0 Middlesbrough
14 Dec 24 Middlesbrough 1–0 Millwall
13 Jan 24 Millwall 1–3 Middlesbrough
05 Aug 23 Middlesbrough 0–1 Millwall
14 Jan 23 Middlesbrough 1–0 Millwall
08 Oct 22 Millwall 2–0 Middlesbrough
12 Mar 22 Millwall 0–0 Middlesbrough
20 Nov 21 Middlesbrough 1–1 Millwall
11meetings
  • Millwall win · 4 (36%)
  • Draw · 3 (27%)
  • Middlesbrough win · 4 (36%)
Avg. total goals 2.00 League avg: 2.62
Over 2.5 goals 36% League avg: 51%
Both teams to score 36% League avg: 56%
Whoever hosts wins 36% League avg: 43%
Avg. total corners 12.55 League avg: 10.31
Avg. total cards 3.91 League avg: 3.82
Millwall avg. goals 0.91 League avg: 1.31
Middlesbrough avg. goals 1.09 League avg: 1.31

Biggest win: Millwall 0–3 Middlesbrough (16 Aug 25).

Millwall vs Middlesbrough head to head: in the previous 11 meetings, Millwall have won 4 times, Middlesbrough have won 4 times and 3 ended in a draw. Millwall scored 10 goals and Middlesbrough scored 12 goals in these matches. The latest meeting, on 15 Sep 2026, ended 2-2 at Middlesbrough. Across these matches, both teams scored in 4 of 11 and 4 had over 2.5 goals. Millwall kept 4 clean sheets and Middlesbrough kept 4.

How they play

Each line runs across the 24 clubs of the league, from up to the last 19 league games of each. A marker at either end means the most or least of that measure.

Millwall
  • Selective shooters
  • Set piece heavy
  • Crosses and headers
Middlesbrough
  • Keeps the ball
  • Plays on the floor
  • Possession
    Cedes the ballKeeps the ball
    49% 13th of 24 59% 2nd of 24
  • Shot selection
    Shoots on sightWaits for the chance
    0.12 xG a shot 3rd of 24 0.11 xG a shot 8th of 24
  • Set pieces
    Open playSet pieces
    35% of xG 6th of 24 23% of xG 14th of 24
  • Route to goal
    On the groundCrosses and headers
    22% of shots 7th of 24 14% of shots 20th of 24

Where they differ

  • Millwall go more through the air than Middlesbrough, 22% of shots against 14%.
  • Middlesbrough see much more of the ball than Millwall, 59% against 49%.
  • Millwall get more of their chances from set pieces than Middlesbrough, 35% against 23%.

Ball Stats (Last 10 games)

Millwall Middlesbrough
13 (1.3 avg) Goals 22 (2.2 avg)
135 (13.5 avg) Total Shots 201 (20.1 avg)
40 (4.0 avg) Shots on Target 68 (6.8 avg)
37 (3.7 avg) Blocked Shots 63 (6.3 avg)
50 (5.0 avg) Corners 66 (6.6 avg)
913 (91.3 avg) Attacks 896 (89.6 avg)
491 (49.1 avg) Dangerous Attacks 537 (53.7 avg)
99 (9.9 avg) Key Passes 158 (15.8 avg)
3530 (353.0 avg) Passes 5387 (538.7 avg)
2608 (74%) Pass Accuracy 4678 (87%)
47% Ball Possession 61%

Disciplinary/Tackles (Last 10 games)

Millwall Middlesbrough
0 (0.0 avg) Red Cards 0 (0.0 avg)
24 (2.4 avg) Yellow Cards 13 (1.3 avg)
133 (13.3 avg) Tackles 156 (15.6 avg)
123 (12.3 avg) Fouls 89 (8.9 avg)
29 (2.9 avg) Offsides 26 (2.6 avg)
531 (53.1 avg) Duels Won 444 (44.4 avg)
243 (24.3 avg) Aerial Duels Won 130 (13.0 avg)

Previous Game Statistics (Last 10)

Millwall

1.5Goals
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 0 (0%)
  • Over · 9 (100%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 3 (33%)
  • Over · 6 (67%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (44%)
  • Over · 5 (56%)
CS
  • Yes · 1 (10%)
  • No · 9 (90%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 6 (60%)
  • No · 4 (40%)

Middlesbrough

1.5Goals
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 2 (22%)
  • Over · 7 (78%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 3 (30%)
  • Over · 7 (70%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (44%)
  • Over · 5 (56%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (44%)
  • Over · 5 (56%)
CS
  • Yes · 3 (30%)
  • No · 7 (70%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 6 (60%)
  • No · 4 (40%)