Millwall vs QPR

Sat 21 Nov, 12:30 UTC · Matchweek 16 · probabilities and historical statistics

Predicted outcome

Millwall win · Most likely 46.6%
Draw 27.6%
QPR win 25.8%

Event markets

Both teams to score 52%Avg 56%
Over 1.5 goals 72%Avg 75%
Over 2.5 goals 47%Avg 51%
Millwall clean sheet 34%Avg 28%
QPR clean sheet 22%Avg 22%
Over 8.5 corners 73%Avg 66%
Over 9.5 corners 61%Avg 55%
Over 2.5 cards 74%Avg 72%
Over 3.5 cards 54%Avg 51%

This match League average

Predicted Score

1-011.3%
2-19.3%
2-08.4%

Team comparison

Attack Defense Form Discipline Cleansheets
  • Millwall
  • QPR

Did you know?

  • QPR's matches have gone over 1.5 goals in 9 of their last 10.
  • Millwall have won just 2 of their last 10 matches.
  • Millwall's matches have gone over 2.5 goals in 8 of their last 10.
  • QPR have won just 2 of their last 10 away matches.

H2H

All 10 meetings on file.

DateHomeScoreAway
18 Apr 26 Millwall 2–0 QPR
18 Oct 25 QPR 1–2 Millwall
01 Feb 25 Millwall 2–1 QPR
21 Sep 24 QPR 1–1 Millwall
20 Jan 24 QPR 2–0 Millwall
26 Dec 23 Millwall 2–0 QPR
11 Feb 23 QPR 1–2 Millwall
14 Sep 22 Millwall 0–2 QPR
15 Feb 22 Millwall 2–0 QPR
07 Aug 21 QPR 1–1 Millwall
10meetings
  • Millwall win · 6 (60%)
  • Draw · 2 (20%)
  • QPR win · 2 (20%)
Avg. total goals 2.30 League avg: 2.62
Over 2.5 goals 30% League avg: 51%
Both teams to score 50% League avg: 56%
Whoever hosts wins 50% League avg: 43%
Avg. total corners 10.50 League avg: 10.31
Avg. total cards 3.20 League avg: 3.83
Millwall avg. goals 1.40 League avg: 1.31
QPR avg. goals 0.90 League avg: 1.31

Biggest win: Millwall 2–0 QPR (18 Apr 26).

Millwall vs QPR head to head: in the previous 10 meetings, Millwall have won 6 times, QPR have won 2 times and 2 ended in a draw. Millwall scored 14 goals and QPR scored 9 goals in these matches. The latest meeting, on 18 Apr 2026, was won 2-0 by Millwall, at home against QPR. Millwall are unbeaten in the last 4 meetings. Across these matches, both teams scored in 5 of 10 and 3 had over 2.5 goals. Millwall kept 3 clean sheets and QPR kept 2.

How they play

Each line runs across the 24 clubs of the league, from up to the last 19 league games of each. A marker at either end means the most or least of that measure.

Millwall
  • Selective shooters
  • Set piece heavy
  • Crosses and headers
QPR
  • Plays on the floor
  • Open play side
  • Possession
    Cedes the ballKeeps the ball
    49% 13th of 24 50% 11th of 24
  • Shot selection
    Shoots on sightWaits for the chance
    0.12 xG a shot 3rd of 24 0.10 xG a shot 16th of 24
  • Set pieces
    Open playSet pieces
    35% of xG 6th of 24 22% of xG 19th of 24
  • Route to goal
    On the groundCrosses and headers
    22% of shots 7th of 24 14% of shots 22nd of 24

Where they differ

  • Millwall go more through the air than QPR, 22% of shots against 14%.
  • Millwall get more of their chances from set pieces than QPR, 35% against 22%.
  • Millwall wait for better chances than QPR, 0.12 xG a shot against 0.10.

Ball Stats (Last 10 games)

Millwall QPR
13 (1.3 avg) Goals 17 (1.7 avg)
135 (13.5 avg) Total Shots 145 (14.5 avg)
40 (4.0 avg) Shots on Target 42 (4.2 avg)
37 (3.7 avg) Blocked Shots 43 (4.3 avg)
50 (5.0 avg) Corners 55 (5.5 avg)
913 (91.3 avg) Attacks N/A
491 (49.1 avg) Dangerous Attacks N/A
99 (9.9 avg) Key Passes 112 (11.2 avg)
3530 (353.0 avg) Passes 4734 (473.4 avg)
2608 (74%) Pass Accuracy 4045 (85%)
47% Ball Possession 51%

Disciplinary/Tackles (Last 10 games)

Millwall QPR
0 (0.0 avg) Red Cards 1 (0.1 avg)
24 (2.4 avg) Yellow Cards 24 (2.4 avg)
133 (13.3 avg) Tackles 125 (12.5 avg)
123 (12.3 avg) Fouls 95 (9.5 avg)
29 (2.9 avg) Offsides 19 (1.9 avg)
531 (53.1 avg) Duels Won 399 (39.9 avg)
243 (24.3 avg) Aerial Duels Won 110 (11.0 avg)

Previous Game Statistics (Last 10)

Millwall

1.5Goals
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 0 (0%)
  • Over · 10 (100%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 3 (30%)
  • Over · 7 (70%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
CS
  • Yes · 1 (10%)
  • No · 9 (90%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 6 (60%)
  • No · 4 (40%)

QPR

1.5Goals
  • Under · 1 (10%)
  • Over · 9 (90%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 3 (30%)
  • Over · 7 (70%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 6 (60%)
  • Over · 4 (40%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 6 (60%)
  • Over · 4 (40%)
CS
  • Yes · 2 (20%)
  • No · 8 (80%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 7 (70%)
  • No · 3 (30%)