Millwall vs Stoke

Sat 01 May, 11:30 UTC · Matchweek 46 · probabilities and historical statistics

Predicted outcome

Millwall win · Most likely 53.8%
Draw 25.3%
Stoke win 20.9%

Event markets

Both teams to score 53%Avg 56%
Over 1.5 goals 75%Avg 75%
Over 2.5 goals 51%Avg 51%
Millwall clean sheet 36%Avg 28%
Stoke clean sheet 18%Avg 22%
Over 8.5 corners 77%Avg 66%
Over 9.5 corners 67%Avg 54%
Over 2.5 cards 77%Avg 72%
Over 3.5 cards 57%Avg 50%

This match League average

Predicted Score

1-011.0%
2-19.8%
2-09.4%

Team comparison

Attack Defense Form Discipline Cleansheets
  • Millwall
  • Stoke

Did you know?

  • Millwall have lost to Stoke just once in their last 10 meetings.
  • Stoke have outscored their xG by 0.62 goals per game over their last 10. Finishing that hot rarely keeps up.
  • Millwall have won just 2 of their last 10 matches.
  • Millwall's matches have gone over 2.5 goals in 8 of their last 10.

H2H

All 10 meetings on file.

DateHomeScoreAway
21 Apr 26 Stoke 1–3 Millwall
21 Oct 25 Millwall 2–0 Stoke
15 Mar 25 Millwall 1–0 Stoke
09 Nov 24 Stoke 1–1 Millwall
23 Dec 23 Stoke 0–0 Millwall
26 Aug 23 Millwall 1–0 Stoke
25 Feb 23 Stoke 0–1 Millwall
30 Jul 22 Millwall 2–0 Stoke
19 Mar 22 Stoke 2–0 Millwall
23 Oct 21 Millwall 2–1 Stoke
10meetings
  • Millwall win · 7 (70%)
  • Draw · 2 (20%)
  • Stoke win · 1 (10%)
Avg. total goals 1.80 League avg: 2.61
Over 2.5 goals 20% League avg: 51%
Both teams to score 30% League avg: 56%
Whoever hosts wins 60% League avg: 43%
Avg. total corners 10.20 League avg: 10.31
Avg. total cards 3.80 League avg: 3.82
Millwall avg. goals 1.30 League avg: 1.31
Stoke avg. goals 0.50 League avg: 1.31

Biggest win: Stoke 1–3 Millwall (21 Apr 26).

Millwall vs Stoke head to head: in the previous 10 meetings, Millwall have won 7 times, Stoke have won once and 2 ended in a draw. Millwall scored 13 goals and Stoke scored 5 goals in these matches. The latest meeting, on 21 Apr 2026, was won 3-1 by Millwall, away at Stoke. Millwall are unbeaten in the last 8 meetings. Across these matches, both teams scored in 3 of 10 and 2 had over 2.5 goals. Millwall kept 6 clean sheets and Stoke kept 2.

How they play

Each line runs across the 24 clubs of the league, from up to the last 19 league games of each. A marker at either end means the most or least of that measure.

Millwall
  • Selective shooters
  • Set piece heavy
  • Crosses and headers
Stoke
  • Shoots on sight
  • Cedes possession
  • Possession
    Cedes the ballKeeps the ball
    49% 13th of 24 47% 18th of 24
  • Shot selection
    Shoots on sightWaits for the chance
    0.12 xG a shot 4th of 24 0.09 xG a shot 22nd of 24
  • Set pieces
    Open playSet pieces
    35% of xG 6th of 24 32% of xG 10th of 24
  • Route to goal
    On the groundCrosses and headers
    22% of shots 7th of 24 19% of shots 11th of 24

Where they differ

  • Millwall wait for better chances than Stoke, 0.12 xG a shot against 0.09.

Ball Stats (Last 10 games)

Millwall Stoke
13 (1.3 avg) Goals 16 (1.6 avg)
135 (13.5 avg) Total Shots 115 (11.5 avg)
40 (4.0 avg) Shots on Target 37 (3.7 avg)
37 (3.7 avg) Blocked Shots 25 (2.5 avg)
50 (5.0 avg) Corners 52 (5.2 avg)
913 (91.3 avg) Attacks 783 (78.3 avg)
491 (49.1 avg) Dangerous Attacks 358 (35.8 avg)
94 (10.4 avg) Key Passes 89 (8.9 avg)
3528 (352.8 avg) Passes 3839 (383.9 avg)
2607 (74%) Pass Accuracy 3015 (79%)
47% Ball Possession 47%

Disciplinary/Tackles (Last 10 games)

Millwall Stoke
0 (0.0 avg) Red Cards 1 (0.1 avg)
24 (2.4 avg) Yellow Cards 20 (2.0 avg)
133 (13.3 avg) Tackles 154 (15.4 avg)
123 (12.3 avg) Fouls 115 (11.5 avg)
29 (2.9 avg) Offsides 24 (2.4 avg)
478 (53.1 avg) Duels Won 499 (49.9 avg)
223 (24.8 avg) Aerial Duels Won 178 (17.8 avg)

Previous Game Statistics (Last 10)

Millwall

1.5Goals
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 0 (0%)
  • Over · 9 (100%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 3 (33%)
  • Over · 6 (67%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (44%)
  • Over · 5 (56%)
CS
  • Yes · 1 (10%)
  • No · 9 (90%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 6 (60%)
  • No · 4 (40%)

Stoke

1.5Goals
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 1 (11%)
  • Over · 8 (89%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 1 (11%)
  • Over · 8 (89%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 9 (90%)
  • Over · 1 (10%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 2 (22%)
  • Over · 7 (78%)
CS
  • Yes · 3 (30%)
  • No · 7 (70%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 7 (70%)
  • No · 3 (30%)