Milton Keynes Dons vs Oxford

Sat 06 Mar, 15:00 UTC · Matchweek 34 · probabilities and historical statistics

Predicted outcome

Milton Keynes Dons win · Most likely 41.2%
Draw 26.2%
Oxford win 32.6%

Limited history for Milton Keynes Dons and Oxford. Fewer past top flight matches on record means these figures are less reliable than usual.

Event markets

Both teams to score 62%Avg 53%
Over 1.5 goals 80%Avg 73%
Over 2.5 goals 58%Avg 51%
Milton Keynes Dons clean sheet 24%Avg 30%
Oxford clean sheet 20%Avg 24%
Over 8.5 corners 70%Avg 65%
Over 9.5 corners 58%Avg 53%
Over 2.5 cards 76%Avg 73%
Over 3.5 cards 56%Avg 53%

This match League average

Predicted Score

2-18.8%
1-07.4%
2-06.1%

Team comparison

Attack Defense Form Discipline Cleansheets
  • Milton Keynes Dons
  • Oxford

Did you know?

  • Oxford are unbeaten in their last 10 matches.
  • Both teams have scored in 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
  • Oxford's matches have had over 9.5 corners in 8 of their last 10 (corner data on file).
  • Oxford have won just 3 of their last 10 away matches.

H2H

All 5 meetings on file.

DateHomeScoreAway
15 Aug 26 Oxford 2–2 Milton Keynes Dons
11 Feb 23 Milton Keynes Dons 1–1 Oxford
17 Sep 22 Oxford 1–2 Milton Keynes Dons
19 Apr 22 Oxford 1–0 Milton Keynes Dons
11 Dec 21 Milton Keynes Dons 1–2 Oxford
5meetings
  • Milton Keynes Dons win · 1 (20%)
  • Draw · 2 (40%)
  • Oxford win · 2 (40%)
Avg. total goals 2.60 League avg: 2.62
Over 2.5 goals 60% League avg: 51%
Both teams to score 80% League avg: 53%
Whoever hosts wins 20% League avg: 44%
Avg. total corners 10.20 League avg: 10.48
Avg. total cards 3.40 League avg: 3.78
Milton Keynes Dons avg. goals 1.20 League avg: 1.31
Oxford avg. goals 1.40 League avg: 1.31

Biggest win: Oxford 1–2 Milton Keynes Dons (17 Sep 22).

Milton Keynes Dons vs Oxford head to head: in the previous 5 meetings, Milton Keynes Dons have won once, Oxford have won 2 times and 2 ended in a draw. Milton Keynes Dons scored 6 goals and Oxford scored 7 goals in these matches. The latest meeting, on 15 Aug 2026, ended 2-2 at Oxford. Milton Keynes Dons are unbeaten in the last 3 meetings. Across these matches, both teams scored in 4 of 5 and 3 had over 2.5 goals. Oxford kept 1.

How they play

Each line runs across the 24 clubs of the league, from up to the last 19 league games of each. A marker at either end means the most or least of that measure.

Milton Keynes Dons
  • Set piece heavy
  • Crosses and headers
  • Cedes possession
Oxford
  • Open play side
  • Plays on the floor
  • Keeps the ball
  • Possession
    Cedes the ballKeeps the ball
    46% 18th of 24 57% 3rd of 24
  • Shot selection
    Shoots on sightWaits for the chance
    0.11 xG a shot 10th of 24 0.10 xG a shot 13th of 24
  • Set pieces
    Open playSet pieces
    42% of xG 1st of 24 15% of xG 24th of 24
  • Route to goal
    On the groundCrosses and headers
    27% of shots 4th of 24 10% of shots 24th of 24

Where they differ

  • Milton Keynes Dons get more of their chances from set pieces than Oxford, 42% against 15%.
  • Milton Keynes Dons go more through the air than Oxford, 27% of shots against 10%.
  • Oxford see much more of the ball than Milton Keynes Dons, 57% against 46%.

Ball Stats (Last 10 games)

Milton Keynes Dons Oxford
19 (1.9 avg) Goals 17 (1.7 avg)
150 (15.0 avg) Total Shots 150 (15.0 avg)
43 (4.3 avg) Shots on Target 54 (5.4 avg)
43 (4.3 avg) Blocked Shots 50 (5.0 avg)
53 (5.3 avg) Corners 55 (5.5 avg)
793 (79.3 avg) Attacks 676 (67.6 avg)
391 (39.1 avg) Dangerous Attacks 391 (39.1 avg)
110 (11.0 avg) Key Passes 106 (10.6 avg)
3333 (333.3 avg) Passes 4316 (431.6 avg)
2324 (70%) Pass Accuracy 3507 (81%)
48% Ball Possession 56%

Disciplinary/Tackles (Last 10 games)

Milton Keynes Dons Oxford
0 (0.0 avg) Red Cards 3 (0.3 avg)
20 (2.0 avg) Yellow Cards 18 (1.8 avg)
147 (14.7 avg) Tackles 173 (17.3 avg)
140 (14.0 avg) Fouls 125 (12.5 avg)
21 (2.1 avg) Offsides 18 (2.0 avg)
550 (55.0 avg) Duels Won 533 (53.3 avg)
239 (23.9 avg) Aerial Duels Won 145 (14.5 avg)

Previous Game Statistics (Last 10)

Milton Keynes Dons

1.5Goals
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 3 (30%)
  • Over · 7 (70%)
CS
  • Yes · 2 (20%)
  • No · 8 (80%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 7 (70%)
  • No · 3 (30%)

Oxford

1.5Goals
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 1 (10%)
  • Over · 9 (90%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 6 (60%)
  • Over · 4 (40%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 1 (10%)
  • Over · 9 (90%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 9 (90%)
  • Over · 1 (10%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
CS
  • Yes · 5 (50%)
  • No · 5 (50%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 5 (50%)
  • No · 5 (50%)