Motherwell vs Kilmarnock

Sat 05 Dec, 15:00 UTC · Matchweek 17 · probabilities and historical statistics

Predicted outcome

Motherwell win · Most likely 54.6%
Draw 23.2%
Kilmarnock win 22.2%

Event markets

Both teams to score 56%Avg 53%
Over 1.5 goals 78%Avg 78%
Over 2.5 goals 55%Avg 56%
Motherwell clean sheet 33%Avg 32%
Kilmarnock clean sheet 16%Avg 21%
Over 8.5 corners 58%Avg 74%
Over 9.5 corners 45%Avg 62%
Over 2.5 cards 77%Avg 76%
Over 3.5 cards 58%Avg 55%

This match League average

Predicted Score

1-010.4%
2-19.9%
2-08.8%

Team comparison

Attack Defense Form Discipline Cleansheets
  • Motherwell
  • Kilmarnock

Did you know?

  • Kilmarnock have underscored their xG by 0.57 goals per game over their last 10. They have created more than the scoreline shows.
  • Motherwell have won just 2 of their last 10 matches.
  • Motherwell have won just 2 of their last 10 home matches.
  • Motherwell beat Kilmarnock 4-0 in the biggest recent win between these two.

H2H

All 15 meetings on file.

DateHomeScoreAway
17 Oct 26 Kilmarnock 3–2 Motherwell
24 Jan 26 Motherwell 4–0 Kilmarnock
22 Nov 25 Kilmarnock 1–3 Motherwell
30 Aug 25 Motherwell 2–2 Kilmarnock
14 May 25 Motherwell 3–0 Kilmarnock
05 Apr 25 Kilmarnock 2–0 Motherwell
08 Jan 25 Kilmarnock 0–0 Motherwell
20 Dec 24 Motherwell 1–1 Kilmarnock
03 Feb 24 Motherwell 1–1 Kilmarnock
04 Nov 23 Kilmarnock 1–0 Motherwell
26 Aug 23 Motherwell 2–1 Kilmarnock
06 May 23 Motherwell 2–0 Kilmarnock
25 Feb 23 Kilmarnock 1–1 Motherwell
23 Dec 22 Motherwell 2–2 Kilmarnock
27 Aug 22 Kilmarnock 2–1 Motherwell
15meetings
  • Motherwell win · 5 (33%)
  • Draw · 6 (40%)
  • Kilmarnock win · 4 (27%)
Avg. total goals 2.73 League avg: 2.87
Over 2.5 goals 53% League avg: 56%
Both teams to score 60% League avg: 53%
Whoever hosts wins 53% League avg: 45%
Avg. total corners 9.73 League avg: 10.63
Avg. total cards 4.47 League avg: 4.00
Motherwell avg. goals 1.60 League avg: 1.43
Kilmarnock avg. goals 1.13 League avg: 1.43

Biggest win: Motherwell 4–0 Kilmarnock (24 Jan 26).

Motherwell vs Kilmarnock head to head: in the previous 15 meetings, Motherwell have won 5 times, Kilmarnock have won 4 times and 6 ended in a draw. Motherwell scored 24 goals and Kilmarnock scored 17 goals in these matches. The latest meeting, on 17 Oct 2026, was won 3-2 by Kilmarnock, at home against Motherwell. Across these matches, both teams scored in 9 of 15 and 8 had over 2.5 goals. Motherwell kept 4 clean sheets and Kilmarnock kept 3.

How they play

Each line runs across the 12 clubs of the league, from up to the last 19 league games of each. A marker at either end means the most or least of that measure.

Motherwell
  • Plays on the floor
  • Open play side
  • Keeps the ball
Kilmarnock
  • Selective shooters
  • Possession
    Cedes the ballKeeps the ball
    53% 4th of 12 47% 8th of 12
  • Shot selection
    Shoots on sightWaits for the chance
    0.11 xG a shot 8th of 12 0.12 xG a shot 3rd of 12
  • Set pieces
    Open playSet pieces
    16% of xG 11th of 12 25% of xG 8th of 12
  • Route to goal
    On the groundCrosses and headers
    12% of shots 12th of 12 18% of shots 6th of 12

Where they differ

  • Kilmarnock go more through the air than Motherwell, 18% of shots against 12%.
  • Kilmarnock wait for better chances than Motherwell, 0.12 xG a shot against 0.11.
  • Motherwell see much more of the ball than Kilmarnock, 53% against 47%.

Ball Stats (Last 10 games)

Motherwell Kilmarnock
10 (1.0 avg) Goals 9 (0.9 avg)
145 (14.5 avg) Total Shots 128 (12.8 avg)
51 (5.1 avg) Shots on Target 38 (3.8 avg)
44 (4.4 avg) Blocked Shots 44 (4.4 avg)
60 (6.0 avg) Corners 56 (5.6 avg)
798 (79.8 avg) Attacks 842 (84.2 avg)
458 (45.8 avg) Dangerous Attacks 473 (47.3 avg)
110 (11.0 avg) Key Passes 100 (10.0 avg)
5252 (525.2 avg) Passes 4010 (401.0 avg)
4496 (86%) Pass Accuracy 3118 (78%)
54% Ball Possession 47%

Disciplinary/Tackles (Last 10 games)

Motherwell Kilmarnock
0 (0.0 avg) Red Cards 2 (0.2 avg)
16 (1.6 avg) Yellow Cards 23 (2.3 avg)
151 (15.1 avg) Tackles 151 (15.1 avg)
111 (11.1 avg) Fouls 118 (11.8 avg)
9 (1.3 avg) Offsides 11 (1.4 avg)
409 (40.9 avg) Duels Won 447 (44.7 avg)
113 (11.3 avg) Aerial Duels Won 143 (14.3 avg)

Previous Game Statistics (Last 10)

Motherwell

1.5Goals
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 1 (11%)
  • Over · 8 (89%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 2 (22%)
  • Over · 7 (78%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 7 (70%)
  • Over · 3 (30%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 3 (33%)
  • Over · 6 (67%)
CS
  • Yes · 2 (20%)
  • No · 8 (80%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 4 (40%)
  • No · 6 (60%)

Kilmarnock

1.5Goals
  • Under · 3 (30%)
  • Over · 7 (70%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 0 (0%)
  • Over · 10 (100%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 3 (30%)
  • Over · 7 (70%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 3 (30%)
  • Over · 7 (70%)
CS
  • Yes · 2 (20%)
  • No · 8 (80%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 5 (50%)
  • No · 5 (50%)