Neom vs Al-Ahli

Thu 10 Dec, 17:00 UTC · Matchweek 17 · probabilities and historical statistics

Predicted outcome

Neom win 27.4%
Draw 31.2%
Al-Ahli win · Most likely 41.4%

Event markets

Both teams to score 52%Avg 57%
Over 1.5 goals 71%Avg 80%
Over 2.5 goals 44%Avg 57%
Neom clean sheet 25%Avg 27%
Al-Ahli clean sheet 34%Avg 22%
Over 8.5 corners 61%Avg 63%
Over 9.5 corners 48%Avg 50%
Over 2.5 cards 78%Avg 76%
Over 3.5 cards 59%Avg 58%

This match League average

Predicted Score

0-110.4%
1-28.9%
0-27.8%

Team comparison

Attack Defense Form Discipline Cleansheets
  • Neom
  • Al-Ahli

Did you know?

  • Al-Ahli's matches have gone over 2.5 goals in 10 of their last 10.
  • Al-Ahli's matches have gone over 1.5 goals in 10 of their last 10.
  • Al-Ahli's matches have stayed under 9.5 corners in 9 of their last 10 (corner data on file).
  • Al-Ahli's matches have produced over 3.5 goals in 9 of their last 10.

H2H

All 2 meetings on file.

DateHomeScoreAway
24 Jan 26 Neom 0–3 Al-Ahli
28 Aug 25 Al-Ahli 1–0 Neom
2meetings
  • Neom win · 0 (0%)
  • Draw · 0 (0%)
  • Al-Ahli win · 2 (100%)
Avg. total goals 2.00 League avg: 3.02
Over 2.5 goals 50% League avg: 57%
Both teams to score 0% League avg: 57%
Whoever hosts wins 50% League avg: 43%
Avg. total corners 6.00 League avg: 9.91
Avg. total cards 5.00 League avg: 4.04
Neom avg. goals 0.00 League avg: 1.51
Al-Ahli avg. goals 2.00 League avg: 1.51

Biggest win: Neom 0–3 Al-Ahli (24 Jan 26).

Neom vs Al-Ahli head to head: in the previous 2 meetings, Neom have not won, Al-Ahli have won 2 times and none ended in a draw. Neom scored 0 goals and Al-Ahli scored 4 goals in these matches. The latest meeting, on 24 Jan 2026, was won 3-0 by Al-Ahli, away at Neom. Across these matches, both teams scored in 0 of 2 and 1 had over 2.5 goals. Al-Ahli kept 2.

How they play

Each line runs across the 18 clubs of the league, from up to the last 19 league games of each. A marker at either end means the most or least of that measure.

Neom
  • Keeps the ball
  • Set piece heavy
  • Plays on the floor
Al-Ahli
  • Open play side
  • Selective shooters
  • Crosses and headers
  • Possession
    Cedes the ballKeeps the ball
    54% 5th of 18 53% 6th of 18
  • Shot selection
    Shoots on sightWaits for the chance
    0.11 xG a shot 11th of 18 0.16 xG a shot 3rd of 18
  • Set pieces
    Open playSet pieces
    25% of xG 5th of 18 15% of xG 17th of 18
  • Route to goal
    On the groundCrosses and headers
    15% of shots 14th of 18 18% of shots 5th of 18

Where they differ

  • Neom get more of their chances from set pieces than Al-Ahli, 25% against 15%.
  • Al-Ahli go more through the air than Neom, 18% of shots against 15%.
  • Al-Ahli wait for better chances than Neom, 0.16 xG a shot against 0.11.

Ball Stats (Last 10 games)

Neom Al-Ahli
14 (1.4 avg) Goals 27 (2.7 avg)
130 (13.0 avg) Total Shots 149 (14.9 avg)
40 (4.0 avg) Shots on Target 65 (6.5 avg)
33 (3.3 avg) Blocked Shots 34 (3.4 avg)
52 (5.2 avg) Corners 37 (3.7 avg)
813 (81.3 avg) Attacks 760 (76.0 avg)
411 (41.1 avg) Dangerous Attacks 447 (44.7 avg)
94 (9.4 avg) Key Passes 113 (11.3 avg)
4690 (469.0 avg) Passes 4121 (412.1 avg)
4003 (85%) Pass Accuracy 3499 (85%)
55% Ball Possession 53%

Disciplinary/Tackles (Last 10 games)

Neom Al-Ahli
0 (0.0 avg) Red Cards 2 (0.2 avg)
15 (1.5 avg) Yellow Cards 12 (1.2 avg)
162 (16.2 avg) Tackles 167 (16.7 avg)
125 (12.5 avg) Fouls 145 (14.5 avg)
21 (2.3 avg) Offsides 27 (2.7 avg)
421 (42.1 avg) Duels Won 479 (47.9 avg)
88 (8.8 avg) Aerial Duels Won 100 (10.0 avg)

Previous Game Statistics (Last 10)

Neom

1.5Goals
  • Under · 3 (30%)
  • Over · 7 (70%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 7 (70%)
  • Over · 3 (30%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 6 (60%)
  • Over · 4 (40%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 9 (90%)
  • Over · 1 (10%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 7 (70%)
  • Over · 3 (30%)
CS
  • Yes · 3 (30%)
  • No · 7 (70%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 3 (30%)
  • No · 7 (70%)

Al-Ahli

1.5Goals
  • Under · 0 (0%)
  • Over · 10 (100%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 8 (80%)
  • Over · 2 (20%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 0 (0%)
  • Over · 10 (100%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 8 (80%)
  • Over · 2 (20%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 1 (10%)
  • Over · 9 (90%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 9 (90%)
  • Over · 1 (10%)
CS
  • Yes · 3 (30%)
  • No · 7 (70%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 6 (60%)
  • No · 4 (40%)