Nott'm Forest
vs
Arsenal
Sun 18 Oct, 15:30 UTC · Matchweek 7 · probabilities and historical statistics
Live Games
Predicted outcome
Event markets
This match League average
Predicted Score
Team comparison
- Nott'm Forest
- Arsenal
Did you know?
- Nott'm Forest have underscored their xG by 0.79 goals per game over their last 10. They have created more than the scoreline shows.
- Arsenal beat Nott'm Forest 5-0 in the biggest recent win between these two.
- Arsenal have won 9 of their last 10 matches (all competitions).
- Nott'm Forest have won just 1 of their last 10 home matches.
H2H
All 8 meetings on file.
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan 26 | Nott'm Forest |
0–0 | Arsenal |
| 13 Sep 25 | Arsenal |
3–0 | Nott'm Forest |
| 26 Feb 25 | Nott'm Forest |
0–0 | Arsenal |
| 23 Nov 24 | Arsenal |
3–0 | Nott'm Forest |
| 30 Jan 24 | Nott'm Forest |
1–2 | Arsenal |
| 12 Aug 23 | Arsenal |
2–1 | Nott'm Forest |
| 20 May 23 | Nott'm Forest |
1–0 | Arsenal |
| 30 Oct 22 | Arsenal |
5–0 | Nott'm Forest |
- Nott'm Forest win · 1 (12%)
- Draw · 2 (25%)
- Arsenal win · 5 (62%)
Biggest win: Arsenal 5–0 Nott'm Forest (30 Oct 22).
Nott'm Forest vs Arsenal head to head: in the previous 8 meetings, Nott'm Forest have won once, Arsenal have won 5 times and 2 ended in a draw. Nott'm Forest scored 3 goals and Arsenal scored 15 goals in these matches. The latest meeting, on 17 Jan 2026, ended 0-0 at Nott'm Forest. Arsenal are unbeaten in the last 6 meetings. Across these matches, both teams scored in 2 of 8 and 5 had over 2.5 goals. Nott'm Forest kept 3 clean sheets and Arsenal kept 5.
Ball Stats (Last 10 games)
Nott'm Forest
Arsenal
Disciplinary/Tackles (Last 10 games)
Nott'm Forest
Arsenal
Previous Game Statistics (Last 10)
- Under · 3 (30%)
- Over · 7 (70%)
- Under · 3 (30%)
- Over · 7 (70%)
- Under · 5 (50%)
- Over · 5 (50%)
- Under · 5 (50%)
- Over · 5 (50%)
- Under · 6 (60%)
- Over · 4 (40%)
- Under · 6 (60%)
- Over · 4 (40%)
- Yes · 1 (10%)
- No · 9 (90%)
- Yes · 7 (70%)
- No · 3 (30%)
- Under · 3 (30%)
- Over · 7 (70%)
- Under · 7 (70%)
- Over · 3 (30%)
- Under · 4 (40%)
- Over · 6 (60%)
- Under · 8 (80%)
- Over · 2 (20%)
- Under · 10 (100%)
- Over · 0 (0%)
- Under · 8 (80%)
- Over · 2 (20%)
- Yes · 6 (60%)
- No · 4 (40%)
- Yes · 3 (30%)
- No · 7 (70%)
- Under · 6 (60%)
- Over · 4 (40%)
- Under · 2 (20%)
- Over · 8 (80%)
- Under · 9 (90%)
- Over · 1 (10%)
- Under · 4 (40%)
- Over · 6 (60%)
- Under · 9 (90%)
- Over · 1 (10%)
- Under · 7 (70%)
- Over · 3 (30%)
- Yes · 3 (30%)
- No · 7 (70%)
- Yes · 4 (40%)
- No · 6 (60%)
- Under · 3 (30%)
- Over · 7 (70%)
- Under · 7 (70%)
- Over · 3 (30%)
- Under · 5 (50%)
- Over · 5 (50%)
- Under · 7 (70%)
- Over · 3 (30%)
- Under · 8 (80%)
- Over · 2 (20%)
- Under · 7 (70%)
- Over · 3 (30%)
- Yes · 4 (40%)
- No · 6 (60%)
- Yes · 5 (50%)
- No · 5 (50%)
Match Outlook
15th placed Nott'm Forest host 2nd placed Arsenal. Nott'm Forest have been mixed lately, with 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats from their last 5, and have won 1 of their last 10 at home. Arsenal have won 4 of their last 5 (WLWWW), scoring 7 and conceding 5, and have won 6 of their last 10 on the road. Nott'm Forest are without Igor Jesus (5 of 6 starts), while Morgan Gibbs-White (1 goal, 2 assists) is a doubt, plus 2 other absentees. Arsenal are without Christos Tzolis (5 of 6 starts), while Martín Zubimendi (5 of 6 starts) is a doubt, with 2 more on the absentee list. The main goal threats are Dan Ndoye (2 goals) for Nott'm Forest and Bukayo Saka (3 goals) for Arsenal. Arsenal are favourites here (Arsenal win 54%, draw 28%, Nott'm Forest win 18%). A fairly typical number of goals is expected, with 0-1 the most likely score. How Arsenal cope without Christos Tzolis could decide whether that edge holds.
-
Nott'm Forest
Doubt
Morgan Gibbs-White
1 goal, 2 assists
-
Nott'm Forest
Injured
Igor Jesus
5 of 6 starts
-
Arsenal
Injured
Christos Tzolis
5 of 6 starts
-
Arsenal
Doubt
Martín Zubimendi
5 of 6 starts
Nott'm Forest
Previous 10 Matches
WDLDLDDWLL-
11 Oct 26 A Nott'm Forest vs
Crystal Palace
1–3
L
-
19 Sep 26 H Nott'm Forest vs
Coventry
0–1
L
-
12 Sep 26 A Nott'm Forest vs
Aston Villa
2–1
W
-
05 Sep 26 H Nott'm Forest vs
Tottenham
0–0
D
-
29 Aug 26 A Nott'm Forest vs
Liverpool
2–2
D
-
22 Aug 26 H Nott'm Forest vs
Leeds
0–1
L
-
24 May 26 H Nott'm Forest vs
Bournemouth
1–1
D
-
17 May 26 A Nott'm Forest vs
Man United
2–3
L
-
10 May 26 H Nott'm Forest vs
Newcastle
1–1
D
-
04 May 26 A Nott'm Forest vs
Chelsea
3–1
W
Previous 10 Matches
DLDDWDDLDL-
19 Sep 26 H Nott'm Forest vs
Coventry
0–1
L
-
05 Sep 26 H Nott'm Forest vs
Tottenham
0–0
D
-
22 Aug 26 H Nott'm Forest vs
Leeds
0–1
L
-
24 May 26 H Nott'm Forest vs
Bournemouth
1–1
D
-
10 May 26 H Nott'm Forest vs
Newcastle
1–1
D
-
19 Apr 26 H Nott'm Forest vs
Burnley
4–1
W
-
12 Apr 26 H Nott'm Forest vs
Aston Villa
1–1
D
-
15 Mar 26 H Nott'm Forest vs
Fulham
0–0
D
-
22 Feb 26 H Nott'm Forest vs
Liverpool
0–1
L
-
11 Feb 26 H Nott'm Forest vs
Wolves
0–0
D
Previous 10 Matches
LLDWWWLDWL-
11 Oct 26 A Nott'm Forest vs
Crystal Palace
1–3
L
-
12 Sep 26 A Nott'm Forest vs
Aston Villa
2–1
W
-
29 Aug 26 A Nott'm Forest vs
Liverpool
2–2
D
-
17 May 26 A Nott'm Forest vs
Man United
2–3
L
-
04 May 26 A Nott'm Forest vs
Chelsea
3–1
W
-
24 Apr 26 A Nott'm Forest vs
Sunderland
5–0
W
-
22 Mar 26 A Nott'm Forest vs
Tottenham
3–0
W
-
04 Mar 26 A Nott'm Forest vs
Man City
2–2
D
-
01 Mar 26 A Nott'm Forest vs
Brighton
1–2
L
-
06 Feb 26 A Nott'm Forest vs
Leeds
1–3
L
Form & stats (Last 10)
15th in the league · 5 pts
| Results | PPG | |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | WDLDLDDWLL | 1.00 |
| Home | DLDDWDDLDL | 0.90 |
| Away | LLDWWWLDWL | 1.40 |
All time statistics
| Overall | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 31% | 33% | 29% |
| Goals/game (both sides) | 2.77 | 2.47 | 3.08 |
| Scored/game | 1.25 | 1.27 | 1.24 |
| Conceded/game | 1.52 | 1.20 | 1.84 |
| Both teams scored | 53% | 51% | 54% |
| Clean sheets | 22% | 27% | 18% |
| Failed to score | 30% | 29% | 30% |
| xG/game | 1.30 | 1.38 | 1.22 |
| xG against/game | 1.60 | 1.37 | 1.83 |
| npxG/game | 1.23 | 1.30 | 1.16 |
| Deep completions/game | 5.3 | 5.9 | 4.8 |
| PPDA (press intensity) | 17.2 | 16.7 | 17.8 |
| Led at half-time | 26% | 28% | 24% |
| Comebacks (trailed at HT, won) | 4% | 6% | 3% |
Arsenal
Previous 10 Matches
WWWWWWWWLW-
12 Sep 26 A Arsenal vs
Sunderland
2–0
W
-
31 Aug 26 A Arsenal vs
Aston Villa
1–0
W
-
24 May 26 A Arsenal vs
Crystal Palace
2–1
W
Previous 10 Matches
WWWLWWWWWW-
11 Apr 26 H Arsenal vs
Bournemouth
1–2
L
-
07 Feb 26 H Arsenal vs
Sunderland
3–0
W
Previous 10 Matches
DDWWLWWWWL-
12 Sep 26 A Arsenal vs
Sunderland
2–0
W
-
31 Aug 26 A Arsenal vs
Aston Villa
1–0
W
-
24 May 26 A Arsenal vs
Crystal Palace
2–1
W
Form & stats (Last 10)
2nd in the league · 15 pts
| Results | PPG | |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | WWWWWWWWLW | 2.70 |
| Home | WWWLWWWWWW | 2.70 |
| Away | DDWWLWWWWL | 2.00 |
All time statistics
| Overall | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 58% | 66% | 50% |
| Goals/game (both sides) | 2.90 | 3.03 | 2.76 |
| Scored/game | 1.85 | 2.07 | 1.63 |
| Conceded/game | 1.05 | 0.96 | 1.13 |
| Both teams scored | 52% | 57% | 47% |
| Clean sheets | 35% | 34% | 37% |
| Failed to score | 17% | 13% | 21% |
| xG/game | 1.79 | 1.98 | 1.60 |
| xG against/game | 1.17 | 1.09 | 1.25 |
| npxG/game | 1.68 | 1.86 | 1.51 |
| Deep completions/game | 9.8 | 11.1 | 8.5 |
| PPDA (press intensity) | 11.3 | 10.4 | 12.2 |
| Led at half-time | 42% | 47% | 37% |
| Comebacks (trailed at HT, won) | 13% | 23% | 7% |
League standings
Nott'm Forest are 15th with 5 points. Arsenal are 2nd with 15 points.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Man City |
6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 5 | +11 | 18 |
| 2 | Arsenal |
6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 5 | +5 | 15 |
| 3 | Brighton |
6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 5 | +13 | 13 |
| 4 | Chelsea |
7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 13 | +4 | 13 |
| 5 | Brentford |
6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 12 | 6 | +6 | 10 |
| 6 | Everton |
7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 7 | +1 | 10 |
| 7 | Leeds |
6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 5 | +3 | 9 |
| 8 | Hull |
6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 6 | +2 | 9 |
| 9 | Liverpool |
6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 7 | +0 | 9 |
| 10 | Ipswich |
6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 12 | -3 | 9 |
| 11 | Newcastle |
6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 13 | -3 | 8 |
| 12 | Crystal Palace |
6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 12 | -3 | 7 |
| 13 | Man United |
6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 9 | +0 | 6 |
| 14 | Coventry |
6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 11 | -6 | 6 |
| 15 | Nott'm Forest |
6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 5 |
| 16 | Aston Villa |
6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 5 |
| 17 | Sunderland |
6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 12 | -6 | 4 |
| 18 | Bournemouth |
6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 13 | -6 | 3 |
| 19 | Tottenham |
6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 9 | -6 | 3 |
| 20 | Fulham |
6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 2 |
Scroll the table sideways for every column
Lineups & injuries
Out / doubtful
- Igor Jesus Injured · Calf injury - Unknown return date
- Savona Injured · Knee injury - Unknown return date
- Gibbs-White Doubtful · 75% to play · Muscular injury - 75% chance of playing
- Milenković Doubtful · 75% to play · Knee injury - 75% chance of playing
Season Player Statistics
Each player’s numbers in their last 3 matches individually, next to their season total and appearances.
Goals
Scored this season
Nott'm Forest
- Dan Ndoye 001 2 6
- Morgan Gibbs-White 000 1 6
- Igor Jesus 10– 1 5
Arsenal
- Bukayo Saka 100 3 6
- Martin Ødegaard 000 2 6
- Kai Havertz 000 2 6
Shots on target
Efforts that tested the keeper
Nott'm Forest
- Dan Ndoye 102 4 6
- Igor Jesus 11– 4 5
- Morgan Gibbs-White 100 3 6
Arsenal
- Bukayo Saka 311 10 6
- Kai Havertz 111 7 6
- Martin Ødegaard 002 4 6
Total shots
Every attempt on goal
Nott'm Forest
- Dan Ndoye 534 15 6
- Liam Delap 642 14 4
- Morgan Gibbs-White 202 11 6
Arsenal
- Bukayo Saka 422 17 6
- Kai Havertz 322 12 6
- Martin Ødegaard 012 9 6
Most carded
Yellow and red cards
Nott'm Forest
- Ola Aina 0–1 3Y 5
- Murillo 101 2Y 6
- James McAtee 100 2Y 6
Arsenal
- Gabriel 100 2Y 6
- Christos Tzolis 00– 2Y 5
- Declan Rice 010 1Y 6
Most fouls
Fouls committed
Nott'm Forest
- Murillo 501 10 6
- Dan Ndoye 300 8 6
- James McAtee 300 7 6
Arsenal
- Myles Anthony Lewis-Skelly 2–1 9 5
- Gabriel 111 6 6
- Kai Havertz 210 6 6
Most tackles
Tackles made
Nott'm Forest
- Xaver Schlager 620 17 6
- Neco Williams 111 15 6
- Murillo 213 12 6
Arsenal
- Declan Rice 122 9 6
- Riccardo Calafiori 122 9 6
- Ben White 2–3 9 5
Interceptions
Passes cut out
Nott'm Forest
- Murillo 222 9 6
- Xaver Schlager 201 6 6
- Ola Aina 1–2 5 5
Arsenal
- Declan Rice 011 6 6
- Gabriel 200 6 6
- Ezri Konsa 212 6 4
Duels won
Challenges won
Nott'm Forest
- Neco Williams 352 32 6
- Ola Aina 5–8 30 5
- Murillo 465 29 6
Arsenal
- Bukayo Saka 654 34 6
- Ezri Konsa 729 27 4
- Kai Havertz 552 26 6
Blocked shots
Shots stopped on the way
Nott'm Forest
- Murillo 001 3 6
- Neco Williams 000 3 6
- Ibrahim Sangaré 000 3 4
Arsenal
- Gabriel 310 4 6
- Declan Rice 100 3 6
- Myles Anthony Lewis-Skelly 0–1 3 5
Key passes
Passes that set up a shot
Nott'm Forest
- Morgan Gibbs-White 763 17 6
- James McAtee 212 14 6
- Neco Williams 141 9 6
Arsenal
- Martin Ødegaard 500 12 6
- Bukayo Saka 132 9 6
- Declan Rice 311 8 6
Referee
MOMichael Oliver
54 matches on file in this leagueLeans 0.6 more cards/game on the away side.
Referee data before 2025/26 from the Transfermarkt datasets project.
Historic Bets Win Rate
How often each market has actually landed over each side’s last 10 games.
Top 5 Bangers
The five markets that have landed most often over the last 10 games, best first.
-
1
Arsenal
To Win
90.0%
-
2
Arsenal
To Win or Draw (Double Chance)
90.0%
-
3
Arsenal
Odd Number of Goals
90.0%
-
4
Arsenal
To Score
90.0%
-
5
Arsenal
Win Either Half
90.0%
-
1
MS
Matz Sels
Over 1.5 Saves
90.0%
-
2
BS
Bukayo Saka
Over 1.5 Shots
90.0%
-
3
OA
Ola Aina
Over 1.5 Tackles
80.0%
-
4
IJ
Igor Jesus
Over 0.5 Shots on Target
80.0%
-
5
NM
Nikola Milenković
Over 0.5 Fouls Committed
80.0%
Match Result
3 markets
Handicap
3 markets
Goals
9 markets
Both Teams to Score
5 markets
Correct Score
7 markets
Half-Time
6 markets
Half-Time / Full-Time
5 markets
First & Last Goal
5 markets
Clean Sheet & Win to Nil
4 markets
Corners
9 markets
Cards
7 markets
Shots
6 markets
Fouls & Offsides
4 markets
Match Specials
3 markets
Goalscorer
6 markets, best-placed player from each squad
Assists
3 markets, best-placed player from each squad
Shots
6 markets, best-placed player from each squad
Cards
2 markets, best-placed player from each squad
Fouls
3 markets, best-placed player from each squad
Tackles
3 markets, best-placed player from each squad
Goalkeeper
4 markets, best-placed player from each squad
Player Combos
3 markets, best-placed player from each squad
Compare bookmaker prices
The best price for each result, then every bookmaker side by side. Red marks the best price.
-
888sport
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5.50
3.70
1.61
-
Bet Victor
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5.50
3.80
1.60
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Betano (UK)
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5.50
3.80
1.60
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Betfair
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6.40
4.00
1.68
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Betfair Sportsbook
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5.50
3.80
1.62
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Betfred (UK)
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5.50
4.00
1.62
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Betway
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5.75
3.75
1.61
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BoyleSports
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6.00
3.75
1.60
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Casumo
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5.80
3.90
1.60
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Coral
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5.50
3.90
1.61
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Grosvenor
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5.80
3.90
1.60
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Ladbrokes
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5.50
3.80
1.61
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LeoVegas
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5.40
3.85
1.60
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LiveScore Bet
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5.40
3.75
1.57
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Matchbook
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6.40
4.00
1.68
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Paddy Power
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5.50
3.75
1.62
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Sky Bet
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5.50
3.75
1.60
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Smarkets
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6.40
4.00
1.67
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Unibet (UK)
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5.75
4.00
1.62
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Virgin Bet
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5.50
3.75
1.57
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William Hill
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5.50
3.70
1.62
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