QPR vs Stoke

Tue 16 Mar, 19:45 UTC · Matchweek 38 · probabilities and historical statistics

Predicted outcome

QPR win · Most likely 54.2%
Draw 25.8%
Stoke win 20.0%

Event markets

Both teams to score 51%Avg 56%
Over 1.5 goals 73%Avg 75%
Over 2.5 goals 48%Avg 51%
QPR clean sheet 39%Avg 28%
Stoke clean sheet 19%Avg 22%
Over 8.5 corners 74%Avg 66%
Over 9.5 corners 62%Avg 54%
Over 2.5 cards 78%Avg 72%
Over 3.5 cards 60%Avg 50%

This match League average

Predicted Score

1-012.1%
2-010.0%
2-19.8%

Team comparison

Attack Defense Form Discipline Cleansheets
  • QPR
  • Stoke

Did you know?

  • QPR's matches have gone over 1.5 goals in 9 of their last 10.
  • Stoke have outscored their xG by 0.62 goals per game over their last 10. Finishing that hot rarely keeps up.
  • Stoke's matches have had over 9.5 corners in 7 of their last 9 (corner data on file).
  • QPR have won just 3 of their last 10 matches.

H2H

All 10 meetings on file.

DateHomeScoreAway
17 Jan 26 Stoke 0–0 QPR
20 Sep 25 QPR 1–0 Stoke
29 Mar 25 Stoke 3–1 QPR
23 Nov 24 QPR 1–1 Stoke
14 Feb 24 Stoke 1–0 QPR
28 Nov 23 QPR 4–2 Stoke
29 Apr 23 Stoke 0–1 QPR
17 Sep 22 QPR 0–0 Stoke
23 Apr 22 Stoke 1–0 QPR
05 Dec 21 QPR 0–2 Stoke
10meetings
  • QPR win · 3 (30%)
  • Draw · 3 (30%)
  • Stoke win · 4 (40%)
Avg. total goals 1.80 League avg: 2.62
Over 2.5 goals 20% League avg: 51%
Both teams to score 30% League avg: 56%
Whoever hosts wins 50% League avg: 43%
Avg. total corners 12.60 League avg: 10.31
Avg. total cards 4.20 League avg: 3.82
QPR avg. goals 0.80 League avg: 1.31
Stoke avg. goals 1.00 League avg: 1.31

Biggest win: Stoke 3–1 QPR (29 Mar 25).

QPR vs Stoke head to head: in the previous 10 meetings, QPR have won 3 times, Stoke have won 4 times and 3 ended in a draw. QPR scored 8 goals and Stoke scored 10 goals in these matches. The latest meeting, on 17 Jan 2026, ended 0-0 at Stoke. Across these matches, both teams scored in 3 of 10 and 2 had over 2.5 goals. QPR kept 4 clean sheets and Stoke kept 5.

How they play

Each line runs across the 24 clubs of the league, from up to the last 19 league games of each. A marker at either end means the most or least of that measure.

QPR
  • Plays on the floor
  • Open play side
Stoke
  • Shoots on sight
  • Cedes possession
  • Possession
    Cedes the ballKeeps the ball
    50% 11th of 24 47% 18th of 24
  • Shot selection
    Shoots on sightWaits for the chance
    0.10 xG a shot 16th of 24 0.09 xG a shot 22nd of 24
  • Set pieces
    Open playSet pieces
    22% of xG 19th of 24 32% of xG 10th of 24
  • Route to goal
    On the groundCrosses and headers
    14% of shots 22nd of 24 19% of shots 11th of 24

Where they differ

  • Stoke go more through the air than QPR, 19% of shots against 14%.
  • Stoke get more of their chances from set pieces than QPR, 32% against 22%.
  • QPR see much more of the ball than Stoke, 50% against 47%.

Ball Stats (Last 10 games)

QPR Stoke
17 (1.7 avg) Goals 16 (1.6 avg)
145 (14.5 avg) Total Shots 115 (11.5 avg)
42 (4.2 avg) Shots on Target 37 (3.7 avg)
43 (4.3 avg) Blocked Shots 25 (2.5 avg)
55 (5.5 avg) Corners 52 (5.2 avg)
N/A Attacks 783 (78.3 avg)
N/A Dangerous Attacks 358 (35.8 avg)
112 (11.2 avg) Key Passes 89 (8.9 avg)
4734 (473.4 avg) Passes 3839 (383.9 avg)
4045 (85%) Pass Accuracy 3015 (79%)
51% Ball Possession 47%

Disciplinary/Tackles (Last 10 games)

QPR Stoke
1 (0.1 avg) Red Cards 1 (0.1 avg)
24 (2.4 avg) Yellow Cards 20 (2.0 avg)
125 (12.5 avg) Tackles 154 (15.4 avg)
95 (9.5 avg) Fouls 115 (11.5 avg)
19 (1.9 avg) Offsides 24 (2.4 avg)
399 (39.9 avg) Duels Won 499 (49.9 avg)
110 (11.0 avg) Aerial Duels Won 178 (17.8 avg)

Previous Game Statistics (Last 10)

QPR

1.5Goals
  • Under · 1 (10%)
  • Over · 9 (90%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 3 (33%)
  • Over · 6 (67%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (44%)
  • Over · 5 (56%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 6 (60%)
  • Over · 4 (40%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 5 (56%)
  • Over · 4 (44%)
CS
  • Yes · 2 (20%)
  • No · 8 (80%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 7 (70%)
  • No · 3 (30%)

Stoke

1.5Goals
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 1 (11%)
  • Over · 8 (89%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 1 (11%)
  • Over · 8 (89%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 9 (90%)
  • Over · 1 (10%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 2 (22%)
  • Over · 7 (78%)
CS
  • Yes · 3 (30%)
  • No · 7 (70%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 7 (70%)
  • No · 3 (30%)