Stoke vs Birmingham

Sat 21 Nov, 15:00 UTC · Matchweek 16 · probabilities and historical statistics

Predicted outcome

Stoke win 31.0%
Draw 28.7%
Birmingham win · Most likely 40.3%

Event markets

Both teams to score 51%Avg 56%
Over 1.5 goals 71%Avg 75%
Over 2.5 goals 45%Avg 51%
Stoke clean sheet 26%Avg 28%
Birmingham clean sheet 32%Avg 22%
Over 8.5 corners 77%Avg 66%
Over 9.5 corners 66%Avg 54%
Over 2.5 cards 75%Avg 72%
Over 3.5 cards 55%Avg 50%

This match League average

Predicted Score

0-110.9%
1-28.6%
0-27.2%

Team comparison

Attack Defense Form Discipline Cleansheets
  • Stoke
  • Birmingham

Did you know?

  • Stoke have outscored their xG by 0.62 goals per game over their last 10. Finishing that hot rarely keeps up.
  • Birmingham's matches have gone over 2.5 goals in 8 of their last 10.
  • Stoke's matches have had over 9.5 corners in 7 of their last 9 (corner data on file).
  • Stoke have won 7 of their last 10 matches (all competitions).

H2H

All 8 meetings on file.

DateHomeScoreAway
24 Jan 26 Birmingham 1–1 Stoke
13 Sep 25 Stoke 1–0 Birmingham
20 Jan 24 Stoke 1–2 Birmingham
26 Dec 23 Birmingham 1–3 Stoke
10 Apr 23 Birmingham 0–0 Stoke
05 Nov 22 Stoke 1–2 Birmingham
19 Feb 22 Stoke 2–2 Birmingham
14 Aug 21 Birmingham 0–0 Stoke
8meetings
  • Stoke win · 2 (25%)
  • Draw · 4 (50%)
  • Birmingham win · 2 (25%)
Avg. total goals 2.12 League avg: 2.61
Over 2.5 goals 50% League avg: 51%
Both teams to score 62% League avg: 56%
Whoever hosts wins 12% League avg: 43%
Avg. total corners 10.75 League avg: 10.31
Avg. total cards 3.38 League avg: 3.82
Stoke avg. goals 1.12 League avg: 1.31
Birmingham avg. goals 1.00 League avg: 1.31

Biggest win: Birmingham 1–3 Stoke (26 Dec 23).

Stoke vs Birmingham head to head: in the previous 8 meetings, Stoke have won 2 times, Birmingham have won 2 times and 4 ended in a draw. Stoke scored 9 goals and Birmingham scored 8 goals in these matches. The latest meeting, on 24 Jan 2026, ended 1-1 at Birmingham. Across these matches, both teams scored in 5 of 8 and 4 had over 2.5 goals. Stoke kept 3 clean sheets and Birmingham kept 2.

How they play

Each line runs across the 24 clubs of the league, from up to the last 19 league games of each. A marker at either end means the most or least of that measure.

Stoke
  • Shoots on sight
  • Cedes possession
Birmingham
  • Selective shooters
  • Possession
    Cedes the ballKeeps the ball
    47% 19th of 24 50% 10th of 24
  • Shot selection
    Shoots on sightWaits for the chance
    0.09 xG a shot 22nd of 24 0.12 xG a shot 5th of 24
  • Set pieces
    Open playSet pieces
    32% of xG 8th of 24 31% of xG 9th of 24
  • Route to goal
    On the groundCrosses and headers
    19% of shots 10th of 24 21% of shots 8th of 24

Where they differ

  • Birmingham wait for better chances than Stoke, 0.12 xG a shot against 0.09.
  • Birmingham see much more of the ball than Stoke, 50% against 47%.

Ball Stats (Last 10 games)

Stoke Birmingham
16 (1.6 avg) Goals 21 (2.1 avg)
115 (11.5 avg) Total Shots 151 (15.1 avg)
37 (3.7 avg) Shots on Target 58 (5.8 avg)
25 (2.5 avg) Blocked Shots 44 (4.4 avg)
52 (5.2 avg) Corners 51 (5.1 avg)
783 (78.3 avg) Attacks 783 (87.0 avg)
358 (35.8 avg) Dangerous Attacks 401 (44.6 avg)
87 (9.7 avg) Key Passes 105 (10.5 avg)
3839 (383.9 avg) Passes 4101 (410.1 avg)
3015 (79%) Pass Accuracy 3130 (76%)
47% Ball Possession 52%

Disciplinary/Tackles (Last 10 games)

Stoke Birmingham
1 (0.1 avg) Red Cards 0 (0.0 avg)
20 (2.0 avg) Yellow Cards 21 (2.1 avg)
154 (15.4 avg) Tackles 154 (15.4 avg)
115 (11.5 avg) Fouls 123 (12.3 avg)
24 (2.4 avg) Offsides 20 (2.0 avg)
441 (49.0 avg) Duels Won 491 (49.1 avg)
152 (16.9 avg) Aerial Duels Won 187 (18.7 avg)

Previous Game Statistics (Last 10)

Stoke

1.5Goals
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 1 (11%)
  • Over · 8 (89%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 1 (11%)
  • Over · 8 (89%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 9 (90%)
  • Over · 1 (10%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 2 (22%)
  • Over · 7 (78%)
CS
  • Yes · 3 (30%)
  • No · 7 (70%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 7 (70%)
  • No · 3 (30%)

Birmingham

1.5Goals
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 3 (30%)
  • Over · 7 (70%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 6 (60%)
  • Over · 4 (40%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 6 (60%)
  • Over · 4 (40%)
CS
  • Yes · 4 (40%)
  • No · 6 (60%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 5 (50%)
  • No · 5 (50%)