Stoke vs Cardiff

Tue 06 Apr, 18:45 UTC · Matchweek 41 · probabilities and historical statistics

Predicted outcome

Stoke win · Most likely 42.3%
Draw 26.3%
Cardiff win 31.4%

Event markets

Both teams to score 59%Avg 56%
Over 1.5 goals 78%Avg 75%
Over 2.5 goals 55%Avg 51%
Stoke clean sheet 26%Avg 28%
Cardiff clean sheet 21%Avg 22%
Over 8.5 corners 78%Avg 66%
Over 9.5 corners 67%Avg 54%
Over 2.5 cards 74%Avg 72%
Over 3.5 cards 54%Avg 50%

This match League average

Predicted Score

2-19.0%
1-08.4%
2-06.6%

Team comparison

Attack Defense Form Discipline Cleansheets
  • Stoke
  • Cardiff

Did you know?

  • Cardiff have won just 0 of their last 10 away matches.
  • Stoke have outscored their xG by 0.62 goals per game over their last 10. Finishing that hot rarely keeps up.
  • Both teams have scored in 7 of the last 9 meetings between these two.
  • Stoke's matches have had over 9.5 corners in 7 of their last 9 (corner data on file).

H2H

All 9 meetings on file.

DateHomeScoreAway
08 Sep 26 Cardiff 1–1 Stoke
12 Apr 25 Cardiff 0–1 Stoke
14 Dec 24 Stoke 2–2 Cardiff
24 Feb 24 Cardiff 2–1 Stoke
04 Nov 23 Stoke 0–0 Cardiff
22 Apr 23 Cardiff 1–1 Stoke
10 Dec 22 Stoke 2–2 Cardiff
16 Mar 22 Cardiff 2–1 Stoke
30 Oct 21 Stoke 3–3 Cardiff
9meetings
  • Stoke win · 1 (11%)
  • Draw · 6 (67%)
  • Cardiff win · 2 (22%)
Avg. total goals 2.78 League avg: 2.61
Over 2.5 goals 56% League avg: 51%
Both teams to score 78% League avg: 56%
Whoever hosts wins 22% League avg: 43%
Avg. total corners 10.33 League avg: 10.31
Avg. total cards 3.56 League avg: 3.82
Stoke avg. goals 1.33 League avg: 1.31
Cardiff avg. goals 1.44 League avg: 1.31

Biggest win: Cardiff 0–1 Stoke (12 Apr 25).

Stoke vs Cardiff head to head: in the previous 9 meetings, Stoke have won once, Cardiff have won 2 times and 6 ended in a draw. Stoke scored 12 goals and Cardiff scored 13 goals in these matches. The latest meeting, on 8 Sep 2026, ended 1-1 at Cardiff. Stoke are unbeaten in the last 3 meetings. Across these matches, both teams scored in 7 of 9 and 5 had over 2.5 goals. Stoke kept 2 clean sheets and Cardiff kept 1.

How they play

Each line runs across the 24 clubs of the league, from up to the last 19 league games of each. A marker at either end means the most or least of that measure.

Stoke
  • Shoots on sight
  • Cedes possession
Cardiff
  • Keeps the ball
  • Possession
    Cedes the ballKeeps the ball
    47% 18th of 24 60% 1st of 24
  • Shot selection
    Shoots on sightWaits for the chance
    0.09 xG a shot 22nd of 24 0.11 xG a shot 9th of 24
  • Set pieces
    Open playSet pieces
    32% of xG 10th of 24 23% of xG 15th of 24
  • Route to goal
    On the groundCrosses and headers
    19% of shots 11th of 24 17% of shots 13th of 24

Where they differ

  • Cardiff see much more of the ball than Stoke, 60% against 47%.
  • Cardiff wait for better chances than Stoke, 0.11 xG a shot against 0.09.

Ball Stats (Last 10 games)

Stoke Cardiff
16 (1.6 avg) Goals 21 (2.1 avg)
115 (11.5 avg) Total Shots 171 (17.1 avg)
37 (3.7 avg) Shots on Target 67 (6.7 avg)
25 (2.5 avg) Blocked Shots 53 (5.3 avg)
52 (5.2 avg) Corners 56 (5.6 avg)
783 (78.3 avg) Attacks 976 (97.6 avg)
358 (35.8 avg) Dangerous Attacks 510 (51.0 avg)
89 (8.9 avg) Key Passes 114 (12.7 avg)
3839 (383.9 avg) Passes 4753 (475.3 avg)
3015 (79%) Pass Accuracy 3949 (83%)
47% Ball Possession 57%

Disciplinary/Tackles (Last 10 games)

Stoke Cardiff
1 (0.1 avg) Red Cards 1 (0.1 avg)
20 (2.0 avg) Yellow Cards 18 (1.8 avg)
154 (15.4 avg) Tackles 136 (13.6 avg)
115 (11.5 avg) Fouls 91 (9.1 avg)
24 (2.4 avg) Offsides 23 (2.3 avg)
499 (49.9 avg) Duels Won 438 (48.7 avg)
178 (17.8 avg) Aerial Duels Won 122 (13.6 avg)

Previous Game Statistics (Last 10)

Stoke

1.5Goals
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 1 (11%)
  • Over · 8 (89%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 1 (11%)
  • Over · 8 (89%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 9 (90%)
  • Over · 1 (10%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 2 (22%)
  • Over · 7 (78%)
CS
  • Yes · 3 (30%)
  • No · 7 (70%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 7 (70%)
  • No · 3 (30%)

Cardiff

1.5Goals
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 3 (33%)
  • Over · 6 (67%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 3 (30%)
  • Over · 7 (70%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (44%)
  • Over · 5 (56%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (44%)
  • Over · 5 (56%)
CS
  • Yes · 1 (10%)
  • No · 9 (90%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 7 (70%)
  • No · 3 (30%)