Stoke vs Lincoln City

Sat 24 Apr, 14:00 UTC · Matchweek 45 · probabilities and historical statistics

Predicted outcome

Stoke win · Most likely 44.1%
Draw 28.0%
Lincoln City win 27.9%

Limited history for Lincoln City. Fewer past top flight matches on record means these figures are less reliable than usual.

Event markets

Both teams to score 52%Avg 56%
Over 1.5 goals 72%Avg 75%
Over 2.5 goals 46%Avg 51%
Stoke clean sheet 33%Avg 28%
Lincoln City clean sheet 24%Avg 22%
Over 8.5 corners 71%Avg 66%
Over 9.5 corners 59%Avg 54%
Over 2.5 cards 79%Avg 72%
Over 3.5 cards 60%Avg 50%

This match League average

Predicted Score

1-011.0%
2-19.1%
2-07.9%

Team comparison

Attack Defense Form Discipline Cleansheets
  • Stoke
  • Lincoln City

Did you know?

  • Lincoln City have conceded in each of their last 8 matches.
  • Stoke have outscored their xG by 0.62 goals per game over their last 10. Finishing that hot rarely keeps up.
  • Stoke's matches have had over 9.5 corners in 7 of their last 9 (corner data on file).
  • Stoke have won 7 of their last 10 matches (all competitions).

H2H

These two have no meetings in the stored history. At least one of them is newly promoted.

How they play

Each line runs across the 24 clubs of the league, from up to the last 19 league games of each. A marker at either end means the most or least of that measure.

Stoke
  • Shoots on sight
  • Cedes possession
Lincoln City
  • Cedes possession
  • Set piece heavy
  • Crosses and headers
  • Possession
    Cedes the ballKeeps the ball
    47% 18th of 24 37% 24th of 24
  • Shot selection
    Shoots on sightWaits for the chance
    0.09 xG a shot 22nd of 24 0.11 xG a shot 11th of 24
  • Set pieces
    Open playSet pieces
    32% of xG 10th of 24 38% of xG 3rd of 24
  • Route to goal
    On the groundCrosses and headers
    19% of shots 11th of 24 24% of shots 3rd of 24

Where they differ

  • Lincoln City wait for better chances than Stoke, 0.11 xG a shot against 0.09.
  • Lincoln City go more through the air than Stoke, 24% of shots against 19%.
  • Lincoln City get more of their chances from set pieces than Stoke, 38% against 32%.

Ball Stats (Last 10 games)

Stoke Lincoln City
16 (1.6 avg) Goals 11 (1.1 avg)
115 (11.5 avg) Total Shots 114 (11.4 avg)
37 (3.7 avg) Shots on Target 33 (3.3 avg)
25 (2.5 avg) Blocked Shots 34 (3.4 avg)
52 (5.2 avg) Corners 29 (2.9 avg)
783 (78.3 avg) Attacks 662 (73.6 avg)
358 (35.8 avg) Dangerous Attacks 375 (41.7 avg)
89 (8.9 avg) Key Passes 72 (7.2 avg)
3839 (383.9 avg) Passes 2897 (289.7 avg)
3015 (79%) Pass Accuracy 1968 (68%)
47% Ball Possession 38%

Disciplinary/Tackles (Last 10 games)

Stoke Lincoln City
1 (0.1 avg) Red Cards 3 (0.3 avg)
20 (2.0 avg) Yellow Cards 23 (2.3 avg)
154 (15.4 avg) Tackles 137 (13.7 avg)
115 (11.5 avg) Fouls 120 (12.0 avg)
24 (2.4 avg) Offsides 23 (2.3 avg)
499 (49.9 avg) Duels Won 497 (49.7 avg)
178 (17.8 avg) Aerial Duels Won 208 (20.8 avg)

Previous Game Statistics (Last 10)

Stoke

1.5Goals
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 1 (11%)
  • Over · 8 (89%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 1 (11%)
  • Over · 8 (89%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 9 (90%)
  • Over · 1 (10%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 2 (22%)
  • Over · 7 (78%)
CS
  • Yes · 3 (30%)
  • No · 7 (70%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 7 (70%)
  • No · 3 (30%)

Lincoln City

1.5Goals
  • Under · 3 (30%)
  • Over · 7 (70%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (44%)
  • Over · 5 (56%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 3 (30%)
  • Over · 7 (70%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (44%)
  • Over · 5 (56%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 6 (60%)
  • Over · 4 (40%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (44%)
  • Over · 5 (56%)
CS
  • Yes · 2 (20%)
  • No · 8 (80%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 5 (50%)
  • No · 5 (50%)