Stoke vs Millwall

Wed 25 Nov, 20:00 UTC · Matchweek 17 · probabilities and historical statistics

Predicted outcome

Stoke win 32.3%
Draw 27.9%
Millwall win · Most likely 39.8%

Event markets

Both teams to score 54%Avg 56%
Over 1.5 goals 73%Avg 75%
Over 2.5 goals 48%Avg 51%
Stoke clean sheet 25%Avg 28%
Millwall clean sheet 29%Avg 22%
Over 8.5 corners 74%Avg 66%
Over 9.5 corners 62%Avg 54%
Over 2.5 cards 75%Avg 72%
Over 3.5 cards 56%Avg 50%

This match League average

Predicted Score

0-19.9%
1-28.7%
0-26.8%

Team comparison

Attack Defense Form Discipline Cleansheets
  • Stoke
  • Millwall

Did you know?

  • Stoke have outscored their xG by 0.69 goals per game over their last 10. Finishing that hot rarely keeps up.
  • Millwall have lost to Stoke just once in their last 10 meetings.
  • Millwall's matches have gone over 2.5 goals in 8 of their last 10.
  • Stoke have won 7 of their last 10 matches (all competitions).

H2H

All 10 meetings on file.

DateHomeScoreAway
21 Apr 26 Stoke 1–3 Millwall
21 Oct 25 Millwall 2–0 Stoke
15 Mar 25 Millwall 1–0 Stoke
09 Nov 24 Stoke 1–1 Millwall
23 Dec 23 Stoke 0–0 Millwall
26 Aug 23 Millwall 1–0 Stoke
25 Feb 23 Stoke 0–1 Millwall
30 Jul 22 Millwall 2–0 Stoke
19 Mar 22 Stoke 2–0 Millwall
23 Oct 21 Millwall 2–1 Stoke
10meetings
  • Stoke win · 1 (10%)
  • Draw · 2 (20%)
  • Millwall win · 7 (70%)
Avg. total goals 1.80 League avg: 2.61
Over 2.5 goals 20% League avg: 51%
Both teams to score 30% League avg: 56%
Whoever hosts wins 60% League avg: 43%
Avg. total corners 10.20 League avg: 10.31
Avg. total cards 3.80 League avg: 3.82
Stoke avg. goals 0.50 League avg: 1.30
Millwall avg. goals 1.30 League avg: 1.30

Biggest win: Stoke 1–3 Millwall (21 Apr 26).

Stoke vs Millwall head to head: in the previous 10 meetings, Stoke have won once, Millwall have won 7 times and 2 ended in a draw. Stoke scored 5 goals and Millwall scored 13 goals in these matches. The latest meeting, on 21 Apr 2026, was won 3-1 by Millwall, away at Stoke. Millwall are unbeaten in the last 8 meetings. Across these matches, both teams scored in 3 of 10 and 2 had over 2.5 goals. Stoke kept 2 clean sheets and Millwall kept 6.

How they play

Each line runs across the 24 clubs of the league, from up to the last 19 league games of each. A marker at either end means the most or least of that measure.

Stoke
  • Shoots on sight
  • Cedes possession
Millwall
  • Selective shooters
  • Set piece heavy
  • Crosses and headers
  • Possession
    Cedes the ballKeeps the ball
    48% 18th of 24 49% 11th of 24
  • Shot selection
    Shoots on sightWaits for the chance
    0.09 xG a shot 23rd of 24 0.12 xG a shot 3rd of 24
  • Set pieces
    Open playSet pieces
    29% of xG 10th of 24 35% of xG 6th of 24
  • Route to goal
    On the groundCrosses and headers
    18% of shots 12th of 24 22% of shots 6th of 24

Where they differ

  • Millwall wait for better chances than Stoke, 0.12 xG a shot against 0.09.
  • Millwall see much more of the ball than Stoke, 49% against 48%.

Ball Stats (Last 10 games)

Stoke Millwall
18 (1.8 avg) Goals 17 (1.7 avg)
128 (12.8 avg) Total Shots 141 (14.1 avg)
42 (4.2 avg) Shots on Target 43 (4.3 avg)
29 (2.9 avg) Blocked Shots 37 (3.7 avg)
57 (5.7 avg) Corners 49 (4.9 avg)
781 (78.1 avg) Attacks 879 (87.9 avg)
360 (36.0 avg) Dangerous Attacks 474 (47.4 avg)
100 (10.0 avg) Key Passes 102 (10.2 avg)
4019 (401.9 avg) Passes 3476 (347.6 avg)
3216 (80%) Pass Accuracy 2560 (74%)
49% Ball Possession 47%

Disciplinary/Tackles (Last 10 games)

Stoke Millwall
1 (0.1 avg) Red Cards 1 (0.1 avg)
18 (1.8 avg) Yellow Cards 22 (2.2 avg)
157 (15.7 avg) Tackles 132 (13.2 avg)
123 (12.3 avg) Fouls 122 (12.2 avg)
20 (2.0 avg) Offsides 29 (2.9 avg)
480 (48.0 avg) Duels Won 533 (53.3 avg)
160 (16.0 avg) Aerial Duels Won 248 (24.8 avg)

Previous Game Statistics (Last 10)

Stoke

1.5Goals
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 1 (10%)
  • Over · 9 (90%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 8 (80%)
  • Over · 2 (20%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 3 (30%)
  • Over · 7 (70%)
CS
  • Yes · 4 (40%)
  • No · 6 (60%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 6 (60%)
  • No · 4 (40%)

Millwall

1.5Goals
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 0 (0%)
  • Over · 10 (100%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 3 (30%)
  • Over · 7 (70%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
CS
  • Yes · 2 (20%)
  • No · 8 (80%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 6 (60%)
  • No · 4 (40%)