Stoke vs QPR

Sat 05 Dec, 15:00 UTC · Matchweek 19 · probabilities and historical statistics

Predicted outcome

Stoke win · Most likely 35.6%
Draw 30.1%
QPR win 34.3%

Event markets

Both teams to score 48%Avg 56%
Over 1.5 goals 67%Avg 75%
Over 2.5 goals 40%Avg 51%
Stoke clean sheet 32%Avg 28%
QPR clean sheet 31%Avg 22%
Over 8.5 corners 69%Avg 66%
Over 9.5 corners 57%Avg 54%
Over 2.5 cards 76%Avg 72%
Over 3.5 cards 57%Avg 50%

This match League average

Predicted Score

1-011.2%
2-17.8%
2-06.5%

Team comparison

Attack Defense Form Discipline Cleansheets
  • Stoke
  • QPR

Did you know?

  • QPR's matches have gone over 1.5 goals in 9 of their last 10.
  • Stoke have outscored their xG by 0.62 goals per game over their last 10. Finishing that hot rarely keeps up.
  • QPR have won just 2 of their last 10 away matches.
  • Stoke's matches have had over 9.5 corners in 7 of their last 9 (corner data on file).

H2H

All 10 meetings on file.

DateHomeScoreAway
17 Jan 26 Stoke 0–0 QPR
20 Sep 25 QPR 1–0 Stoke
29 Mar 25 Stoke 3–1 QPR
23 Nov 24 QPR 1–1 Stoke
14 Feb 24 Stoke 1–0 QPR
28 Nov 23 QPR 4–2 Stoke
29 Apr 23 Stoke 0–1 QPR
17 Sep 22 QPR 0–0 Stoke
23 Apr 22 Stoke 1–0 QPR
05 Dec 21 QPR 0–2 Stoke
10meetings
  • Stoke win · 4 (40%)
  • Draw · 3 (30%)
  • QPR win · 3 (30%)
Avg. total goals 1.80 League avg: 2.62
Over 2.5 goals 20% League avg: 51%
Both teams to score 30% League avg: 56%
Whoever hosts wins 50% League avg: 43%
Avg. total corners 12.60 League avg: 10.31
Avg. total cards 4.20 League avg: 3.82
Stoke avg. goals 1.00 League avg: 1.31
QPR avg. goals 0.80 League avg: 1.31

Biggest win: Stoke 3–1 QPR (29 Mar 25).

Stoke vs QPR head to head: in the previous 10 meetings, Stoke have won 4 times, QPR have won 3 times and 3 ended in a draw. Stoke scored 10 goals and QPR scored 8 goals in these matches. The latest meeting, on 17 Jan 2026, ended 0-0 at Stoke. Across these matches, both teams scored in 3 of 10 and 2 had over 2.5 goals. Stoke kept 5 clean sheets and QPR kept 4.

How they play

Each line runs across the 24 clubs of the league, from up to the last 19 league games of each. A marker at either end means the most or least of that measure.

Stoke
  • Shoots on sight
  • Cedes possession
QPR
  • Plays on the floor
  • Open play side
  • Possession
    Cedes the ballKeeps the ball
    47% 18th of 24 50% 11th of 24
  • Shot selection
    Shoots on sightWaits for the chance
    0.09 xG a shot 22nd of 24 0.10 xG a shot 16th of 24
  • Set pieces
    Open playSet pieces
    32% of xG 10th of 24 22% of xG 19th of 24
  • Route to goal
    On the groundCrosses and headers
    19% of shots 11th of 24 14% of shots 22nd of 24

Where they differ

  • Stoke go more through the air than QPR, 19% of shots against 14%.
  • Stoke get more of their chances from set pieces than QPR, 32% against 22%.
  • QPR see much more of the ball than Stoke, 50% against 47%.

Ball Stats (Last 10 games)

Stoke QPR
16 (1.6 avg) Goals 17 (1.7 avg)
115 (11.5 avg) Total Shots 145 (14.5 avg)
37 (3.7 avg) Shots on Target 42 (4.2 avg)
25 (2.5 avg) Blocked Shots 43 (4.3 avg)
52 (5.2 avg) Corners 55 (5.5 avg)
783 (78.3 avg) Attacks N/A
358 (35.8 avg) Dangerous Attacks N/A
89 (8.9 avg) Key Passes 112 (11.2 avg)
3839 (383.9 avg) Passes 4735 (473.5 avg)
3015 (79%) Pass Accuracy 4046 (85%)
47% Ball Possession 51%

Disciplinary/Tackles (Last 10 games)

Stoke QPR
1 (0.1 avg) Red Cards 1 (0.1 avg)
20 (2.0 avg) Yellow Cards 24 (2.4 avg)
154 (15.4 avg) Tackles 125 (12.5 avg)
115 (11.5 avg) Fouls 95 (9.5 avg)
24 (2.4 avg) Offsides 19 (1.9 avg)
499 (49.9 avg) Duels Won 399 (39.9 avg)
178 (17.8 avg) Aerial Duels Won 110 (11.0 avg)

Previous Game Statistics (Last 10)

Stoke

1.5Goals
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 1 (11%)
  • Over · 8 (89%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 1 (11%)
  • Over · 8 (89%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 9 (90%)
  • Over · 1 (10%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 2 (22%)
  • Over · 7 (78%)
CS
  • Yes · 3 (30%)
  • No · 7 (70%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 7 (70%)
  • No · 3 (30%)

QPR

1.5Goals
  • Under · 1 (10%)
  • Over · 9 (90%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 3 (33%)
  • Over · 6 (67%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (44%)
  • Over · 5 (56%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 6 (60%)
  • Over · 4 (40%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 5 (56%)
  • Over · 4 (44%)
CS
  • Yes · 2 (20%)
  • No · 8 (80%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 7 (70%)
  • No · 3 (30%)