Stoke vs Wrexham

Sat 26 Dec, 15:00 UTC · Matchweek 23 · probabilities and historical statistics

Predicted outcome

Stoke win · Most likely 37.0%
Draw 29.8%
Wrexham win 33.2%

Event markets

Both teams to score 49%Avg 56%
Over 1.5 goals 68%Avg 75%
Over 2.5 goals 42%Avg 51%
Stoke clean sheet 32%Avg 28%
Wrexham clean sheet 29%Avg 22%
Over 8.5 corners 71%Avg 66%
Over 9.5 corners 59%Avg 54%
Over 2.5 cards 69%Avg 72%
Over 3.5 cards 47%Avg 50%

This match League average

Predicted Score

1-011.2%
2-18.1%
2-06.8%

Team comparison

Attack Defense Form Discipline Cleansheets
  • Stoke
  • Wrexham

Did you know?

  • Wrexham's matches have gone over 1.5 goals in 9 of their last 10.
  • Stoke have outscored their xG by 0.62 goals per game over their last 10. Finishing that hot rarely keeps up.
  • Wrexham have won just 2 of their last 10 away matches.
  • Stoke's matches have had over 9.5 corners in 7 of their last 9 (corner data on file).

H2H

All 2 meetings on file.

DateHomeScoreAway
18 Apr 26 Wrexham 2–0 Stoke
18 Oct 25 Stoke 1–0 Wrexham
2meetings
  • Stoke win · 1 (50%)
  • Draw · 0 (0%)
  • Wrexham win · 1 (50%)
Avg. total goals 1.50 League avg: 2.62
Over 2.5 goals 0% League avg: 51%
Both teams to score 0% League avg: 56%
Whoever hosts wins 100% League avg: 43%
Avg. total corners 9.00 League avg: 10.31
Avg. total cards 1.50 League avg: 3.82
Stoke avg. goals 0.50 League avg: 1.31
Wrexham avg. goals 1.00 League avg: 1.31

Biggest win: Wrexham 2–0 Stoke (18 Apr 26).

Stoke vs Wrexham head to head: in the previous 2 meetings, Stoke have won once, Wrexham have won once and none ended in a draw. Stoke scored 1 goal and Wrexham scored 2 goals in these matches. The latest meeting, on 18 Apr 2026, was won 2-0 by Wrexham, at home against Stoke. Across these matches, both teams scored in 0 of 2 and 0 had over 2.5 goals. Stoke kept 1 clean sheet and Wrexham kept 1.

How they play

Each line runs across the 24 clubs of the league, from up to the last 19 league games of each. A marker at either end means the most or least of that measure.

Stoke
  • Shoots on sight
  • Cedes possession
Wrexham
  • Crosses and headers
  • Shoots on sight
  • Possession
    Cedes the ballKeeps the ball
    47% 18th of 24 48% 14th of 24
  • Shot selection
    Shoots on sightWaits for the chance
    0.09 xG a shot 22nd of 24 0.09 xG a shot 18th of 24
  • Set pieces
    Open playSet pieces
    32% of xG 10th of 24 28% of xG 11th of 24
  • Route to goal
    On the groundCrosses and headers
    19% of shots 11th of 24 23% of shots 4th of 24

Where they differ

  • Wrexham go more through the air than Stoke, 23% of shots against 19%.

Ball Stats (Last 10 games)

Stoke Wrexham
16 (1.6 avg) Goals 12 (1.2 avg)
115 (11.5 avg) Total Shots 124 (12.4 avg)
37 (3.7 avg) Shots on Target 32 (3.2 avg)
25 (2.5 avg) Blocked Shots 35 (3.5 avg)
52 (5.2 avg) Corners 45 (4.5 avg)
783 (78.3 avg) Attacks 782 (78.2 avg)
358 (35.8 avg) Dangerous Attacks 356 (35.6 avg)
89 (8.9 avg) Key Passes 80 (8.0 avg)
3839 (383.9 avg) Passes 4260 (426.0 avg)
3015 (79%) Pass Accuracy 3403 (80%)
47% Ball Possession 47%

Disciplinary/Tackles (Last 10 games)

Stoke Wrexham
1 (0.1 avg) Red Cards 0 (0.0 avg)
20 (2.0 avg) Yellow Cards 14 (1.4 avg)
154 (15.4 avg) Tackles 162 (16.2 avg)
115 (11.5 avg) Fouls 103 (10.3 avg)
24 (2.4 avg) Offsides 18 (1.8 avg)
499 (49.9 avg) Duels Won 436 (43.6 avg)
178 (17.8 avg) Aerial Duels Won 154 (15.4 avg)

Previous Game Statistics (Last 10)

Stoke

1.5Goals
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 1 (11%)
  • Over · 8 (89%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 1 (11%)
  • Over · 8 (89%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 9 (90%)
  • Over · 1 (10%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 2 (22%)
  • Over · 7 (78%)
CS
  • Yes · 3 (30%)
  • No · 7 (70%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 7 (70%)
  • No · 3 (30%)

Wrexham

1.5Goals
  • Under · 1 (10%)
  • Over · 9 (90%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 3 (33%)
  • Over · 6 (67%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 6 (60%)
  • Over · 4 (40%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (44%)
  • Over · 5 (56%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 8 (80%)
  • Over · 2 (20%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 6 (67%)
  • Over · 3 (33%)
CS
  • Yes · 1 (10%)
  • No · 9 (90%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 6 (60%)
  • No · 4 (40%)